Sail Newport's Friday Night Lights Series #1

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 St. George's School St. George's School Dragons 37
2 The Prout School The Prout School Crusaders 74
3 East Greenwich High School East Greenwich High School Avengers 86
4 Moses Brown School Moses Brown School Quakers 87
5 Patriots Patriots Patriots 91
6 Warriors Warriors Warriors 102
7 North Kingstown High School North Kingstown High School Skippers 132
8 Vikings Vikings Vikings 145
9 RI 1 RI 1 RI 1 163
10 Lincoln School Lincoln School Lynxes 180
11 Barrington High School Barrington High School Eagles 186
12 RI 2 RI 2 RI 2 217
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
St. George's School St. George's School Dragons A 2 3 1 3 3 12 Sadie Bolton '26
Izzy Pepper '24
Patriots Patriots Patriots B 3 1 2 1 5 12
The Prout School The Prout School Crusaders A 5 2 4 2 1 14 Ethan Brown '25
Maddie Ammatuna '26
St. George's School St. George's School Dragons B 4 7 5 5 4 25 Daphne Walsh '27
Jane Marvin '24
Moses Brown School Moses Brown School Quakers A 9 6 3 4 7 29 Jack Kirkman '26
Ava Belli '24
Warriors Warriors Warriors A 12 5 6 7 8 38
East Greenwich High School East Greenwich High School Avengers B 7 9 15 6 2 39 Davis Collette '26 [1-5]
Milo Baumgartner '25 [1-2]
Cailin Tolppa '26 [3-5]
East Greenwich High School East Greenwich High School Avengers A 1 8 9 11 18 47 Pierson Falk '24 [1-2]
Zacharie Carron '27 [3-5]
Isaac Kaldor '25 [1-2]
Griffin Mason '28 [3-5]
North Kingstown High School North Kingstown High School Skippers A 6 4 19 18 11 58 Grayson Edge '27 [1-2]
Joseph Decubellis '25 [3-5]
Freya Mcgeoch '27 [1-2]
Cormac Bradley '27 [3-5]
Moses Brown School Moses Brown School Quakers B 11 12 8 15 12 58 Teo Fremont-Smith '25
Brooke Kelley '24
The Prout School The Prout School Crusaders B 15 15 7 14 9 60 Aurora Meunier Mott '24
Paige Constantine '26
RI 1 RI 1 RI 1 A 14 11 10 8 19 62
Warriors Warriors Warriors B 8 13 20 10 13 64
Vikings Vikings Vikings A 10 20 11 12 17 70
Lincoln School Lincoln School Lynxes B 19 10 12 17 14 72 Gillian Case '25 [1-2]
Audrey Pautz '27 [3-5]
Susannah Duggan '25 [1-2]
M. Annie Liu '27 [3-5]
North Kingstown High School North Kingstown High School Skippers B 16 19 13 20 6 74 Olivia Rohrbach '26 [1-5]
Isabella Langfield '25 [1-4]
Freya Mcgeoch '27 [5]
Vikings Vikings Vikings B 21 14 14 16 10 75
Patriots Patriots Patriots A 17 16 17 9 20 79
Barrington High School Barrington High School Eagles A 23 17 16 13 15 84 Ellery Kloc '26
Briella Weimer '26
RI 1 RI 1 RI 1 B 13 22 22 23 21 101
Barrington High School Barrington High School Eagles B 18 24 18 19 23 102 Gareth Stafford '26
Sophia Lapine '26
RI 2 RI 2 RI 2 A 24 23 21 22 16 106
Lincoln School Lincoln School Lynxes A 20 18 24 24 22 108 Olivia Vincent '24 [1-2, 5]
Moy Duffy Mchugh '26 [3-4]
Georgiana Fischer '24 [1-2, 5]
Grace Gaumont '24 [3-4]
RI 2 RI 2 RI 2 B 22 21 23 21 24 111
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2019 (11 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Barrington High SchoolBarrington High School Eagles11111
East Greenwich High SchoolEast Greenwich High School Avengers22222
Lincoln SchoolLincoln School Lynxes33333
Moses Brown SchoolMoses Brown School Quakers44444
North Kingstown High SchoolNorth Kingstown High School Skippers55555
PatriotsPatriots Patriots66666
VikingsVikings Vikings77777
St. George's SchoolSt. George's School Dragons88888
The Prout SchoolThe Prout School Crusaders99999
RI 1RI 1 RI 11010101010
RI 2RI 2 RI 21111111111
WarriorsWarriors Warriors1212121212

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Barrington High SchoolBarrington High School Eagles1313131313
East Greenwich High SchoolEast Greenwich High School Avengers1414141414
Lincoln SchoolLincoln School Lynxes1515151515
Moses Brown SchoolMoses Brown School Quakers1616161616
North Kingstown High SchoolNorth Kingstown High School Skippers1717171717
PatriotsPatriots Patriots1818181818
VikingsVikings Vikings1919191919
St. George's SchoolSt. George's School Dragons2020202020
The Prout SchoolThe Prout School Crusaders2121212121
RI 1RI 1 RI 12222222222
RI 2RI 2 RI 22323232323
WarriorsWarriors Warriors2424242424

Conditions — 04/26/2024 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 65%  ·  Pressure 1032.2 hPa

Temperature

47°F
↑ 49°F   ↓ 42°F
Feels like 42°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.1 kn
avg  ·  max 11.8 kn
Gusts to 15.7 kn
From SSW (209°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover6% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity65% Pressure1032.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Sail Newport: a favourites’ day (+0.04)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.17 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.20
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.42 ± 0.23)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Sail Newport by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 2 labelled days at Sail Newport, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →