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Fleet Race Friday 1

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 13 15 15
2 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 5 28 28
3 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 6 29 29
4 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 14 36 36
5 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 17 39 39
6 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 1 39 39
7 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 11 40 40
8 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 15 41 41
9 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 9 43 43
10 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 12 47 47
11 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 18 55 55
12 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 16 56 56
13 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 4 58 58
14 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 3 59 59
15 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 8 61 61
16 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 10 67 67
17 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 7 68 68
18 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 2 77 77
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 13 9 1 1 3 1 15 Peter Herlihy '25
Theo Binder '25
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 5 1 4 7 12 4 28 Ben Glennon '28
George Spalding '28
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 6 14 2 2 5 6 29 Patrick Tomlinson '28
Will Brooks '28
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 14 3 5 5 4 OCS 36 Jack Spillane '25
Leo Lothian '28
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 17 2 13 10 6 8 39 Grayden Mott '25
Campbell Carr '25
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 1 6 9 8 9 7 39 Maria Castle '25
Hanna Anderson '26
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 11 10 6 4 8 12 40 Colin Macinnis '27
Nick Proudlove '27
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 15 13 3 13 7 5 41 Sander Skaane '27
Elinor Grant '27
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 9 17 10 12 1 3 43 Claudia Bria '28
Leo Lothian '28
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 12 4 12 9 11 11 47 Myles Olney '25
Grady Gao '27
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 18 7 11 16 2 OCS 55 Abby Wei '27
Charlotte Eberly '27
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 16 18 7 3 13 15 56 Eliza Corral '25
Hudson Poor '25
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 4 5 8 14 17 14 58 Jeremy Bullock '25
Yasha Chumak '28
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 3 15 14 11 10 9 59 Finn Ladue '27
Nik Shumway '27
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 8 8 15 6 16 16 61 Elizabeth Spillane '28
Lilly Menyhart '28
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 10 11 17 15 14 10 67 Madeleine Carr '27
Lara Proudlove '28
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 7 12 18 18 18 2 68 Hayden Pyle '28 [1-5]
Kyle Cameron '26 [1-3]
Olivia Wadsworth '27 [4-5]
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 2 16 16 17 15 13 77 Zach Lieberman-Wingerter '26
Grady Gao '27
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2024 (8 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 111111
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 101010101010
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 111111111111
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 121212121212
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 131313131313
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 141414141414
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 151515151515
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 161616161616
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 171717171717
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 181818181818
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 222222
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 333333
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 444444
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 555555
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 666666
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 777777
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 888888
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 999999

Conditions — 03/28/2025 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 37%  ·  Pressure 1019.8 hPa

Temperature

53°F
↑ 57°F   ↓ 43°F
Feels like 44°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.9 kn
avg  ·  max 11.6 kn
Gusts to 26.0 kn
From WSW (256°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover95% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity37% Pressure1019.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Tabor Academy: an underdogs’ day (−0.09)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.03 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.12
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.24 ± 0.21)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.09 means a rating gap counts about 8% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Tabor Academy by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 6 labelled days at Tabor Academy, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →