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4/3 Fleet Race

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 1 8 21 29
2 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 8 23 13 36
3 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 7 24 13 37
4 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 5 27 11 38
5 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 3 14 25 39
6 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 2 21 19 40
7 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 4 22 24 46
8 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 9 15 33 48
9 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 6 27 21 48
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 1 1 1 4 2 8 Peter Herlihy '25
George Spalding '28
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 3 5 3 5 1 14 Patrick Tomlinson '28
Campbell Carr '25
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 9 7 2 1 5 15 Myles Olney '25
Lara Proudlove '28
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 2 9 5 3 4 21 Ben Glennon '28
Leo Lothian '28
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 4 2 8 2 DSQ 22 Jack Spillane '25
Leo Lothian '28
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 8 6 7 7 3 23 Claudia Bria '28
Lilly Menyhart '28
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 7 4 4 8 8 24 Sander Skaane '27
Hudson Poor '25
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 5 3 9 9 6 27 Grayden Mott '25
Charlotte Eberly '27
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 6 8 6 6 7 27 Colin Macinnis '27
Nick Proudlove '27
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 5 1 1 5 4 11 Abby Wei '27
Elinor Grant '27
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 7 2 3 1 7 13 Eliza Corral '25
Hanna Anderson '26
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 8 3 7 2 1 13 Jeremy Bullock '25
Nik Shumway '27
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 2 5 5 4 5 19 Grady Gao '27
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 1 4 6 8 3 21 Hayden Pyle '28
Kyle Cameron '26
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 6 8 8 3 2 21 Elizabeth Spillane '28
Olivia Wadsworth '27
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 4 7 2 9 6 24 Finn Ladue '27
Yasha Chumak '28
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 3 6 4 6 9 25 Madeleine Carr '27
Kay Wetmore '27
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 9 9 9 7 8 33 Zach Lieberman-Wingerter '26
Grady Gao '27
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2024 (8 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 14444
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 25555
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 36666
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 47777
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 58888
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 69999
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 710101010
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 811111111
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 912121212

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 14444
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 25555
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 36666
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 47777
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 58888
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 69999
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 710101010
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 811111111
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 912121212

Conditions — 04/03/2025 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 92%  ·  Pressure 1018.9 hPa

Temperature

51°F
↑ 55°F   ↓ 46°F
Feels like 44°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
14.8 kn
avg  ·  max 16.5 kn
Gusts to 37.1 kn
From SSW (207°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.0 hrs Humidity92% Pressure1018.9 hPa Rain0.16 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 16 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Tabor Academy: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.36)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.02 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.34
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.16 ± 0.25)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.36 means a rating gap counts about 31% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Tabor Academy by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 6 labelled days at Tabor Academy, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →