Navigate

Foundry Spring #2

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School White (Mixed) 10 8 18
2 Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Blue 13 6 19
3 Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools MIXED 14 5 19
4 St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats 8 11 19
5 Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Pirates 5 21 26
6 Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit MUDJ 12 18 30
7 Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Mixed 18 18 36
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2025 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A
Birmingham Public SchoolsBirmingham Public Schools MIXED991
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School Blue337
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School White (Mixed)116
Mercy/University of Detroit JesuitMercy/University of Detroit Jesuit MUDJ668
Rocky River High SchoolRocky River High School Mixed779
Rocky River High SchoolRocky River High School Pirates8810
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OHSt. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats10103

Division B

Team1B2B3B
Birmingham Public SchoolsBirmingham Public Schools MIXED10103
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School Blue668
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School White (Mixed)337
Mercy/University of Detroit JesuitMercy/University of Detroit Jesuit MUDJ779
Rocky River High SchoolRocky River High School Mixed8810
Rocky River High SchoolRocky River High School Pirates991
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OHSt. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats116

Conditions — 05/17/2025 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 63%  ·  Pressure 1000.8 hPa

Temperature

64°F
↑ 68°F   ↓ 61°F
Feels like 59°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
13.8 kn
avg  ·  max 15.7 kn
Gusts to 37.5 kn
From W (264°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover58% Sunshine9.4 hrs Humidity63% Pressure1000.8 hPa Rain0.04 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 17 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Rocky River: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.12)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.02 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.10
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.45 ± 0.44)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.12 means a rating gap counts about 11% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Rocky River by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 2 labelled days at Rocky River, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →