Ciara Nordstrom

Crew Rating

Career: 79.59 percentile of ICSA crews (limited evidence)
0.751.001.251.501.75B. Cooper (10 races): -0.29B. CooperP. Horst (3 races): -0.10P. HorstSpring 2025: rating 1.47Spring 2025Grosse Pointe South High SchoolC. Smith (8 races): +0.72C. SmithFall 2025: rating 0.95Fall 2025Grosse Pointe South High SchoolC. Riley (8 races): +0.55C. RileySpring 2026: rating 0.84Spring 2026Grosse Pointe South High School
▲ boats did better with this crew than with the skipper's usual crews▼ worseArrow length = size of the push, in rating points
Season Team Rating Range League
percentile
Team
percentile
On team Races Team page
Spring 2026 Grosse Pointe South High School 0.84 Rating 0.84; 90% range -2.5 to 4.2; team skipper average 0.62 60.54 65.38 5 of 13 8 Team page
Fall 2025 Grosse Pointe South High School 0.95 Rating 0.95; 90% range -2.4 to 4.3; team skipper average 0.46 69.89 70.83 4 of 12 8 Team page
Spring 2025 Grosse Pointe South High School 1.47 Rating 1.47; 90% range -1.6 to 4.5; team skipper average 1.12 73.36 70.00 2 of 5 13 Team page

Team Race Rating

Rating Rank vs fleet rating Record
-0.10 (fleet -0.15) unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) +0.00
about what the fleet rating predicts
as crew 30–11 (73%)
SeasonRegattas Skipper W–LCrew W–L
Spring 20263—18–7
Spring 20252—12–4

Team race surprisal: regatta by regatta

Over 5 graded regattas (41 matches) the record is 30–11 against 30.2 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−0.2). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 2 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 2 bits of surprise in all.

DateRegattaRole Value Perf. RecordExp.
wins
Δ Surprise
(bits)
P(this good
or better)
2026-05-16National Invitational Tournament (Founders Trophy)crew1.171.233–62.9+0.070.061%
2026-04-252026 MISSA Baker Championshipcrew1.542.279–18.6+0.730.256%
2026-04-11MISSA NE Baker Pre-Qualifiercrew1.524.526–05.9≥+3.000.288%
2025-04-26GPYC - MISSA Baker Qualifiercrew1.28-0.851–32.2−2.131.398%
2025-04-11MISSA NE Baker Pre Qualifiercrew1.081.5111–110.7+0.430.160%

Regatta results

Regatta Role Div Races Avg Rating
Spring 2026 Team page Season
National Invitational Tournament (Founders Trophy) Crew TR 16 50% —
MISSA NE Baker Pre-Qualifier Crew TR 9 89% —
MISSA Mallory Qualifier 2026 Crew B 2 5.0 +0.21
Ice Breaker Regatta Skipper B 5 10.2 -2.10
Capitol City Regatta Crew A 6 6.2 +0.34
2026 MISSA Baker Championship Crew TR 24 58% —
Fall 2025 Team page Season
2026 Rose Bowl Regatta - BRONZE Crew B 8 4.4 +0.72
Spring 2025 Team page Season
Westerville Classic Crew B 7 3.0 +0.10
MISSA NE Mallory Pre Qualifier Crew B 3 4.7 -0.39
MISSA NE Baker Pre Qualifier Crew TR 12 92% —
GPYC - MISSA Baker Qualifier Crew TR 12 42% —
Foundry Spring #2 Crew A 3 4.3 -0.10

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →

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