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MISSA Icebreaker Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School Scouts 17 30 47
2 Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Eagles 27 22 49
3 Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Varsity 29 35 64
4 University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 51 28 79
5 New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 62 42 104
6 Marquette University High School Marquette University High School Hill Toppers 47 63 110
7 Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 61 49 110
8 Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 55 66 121
9 Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 57 70 127
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School Scouts 1 3 2 1 1 3 2 2 2 17 Owen Kohut '25
Jackson Schwartz '25
Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Eagles 4 2 5 4 4 5 1 1 1 27 Gavin Eskilson '25 [1-5]
Duke Diep '27 [6-9]
Jack Eskilson '28 [1-5]
Gavin Eskilson '25 [6-9]
Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Varsity 5 1 1 7 3 1 4 4 3 29 Nick Crull '26
Reese Levinson '25
Marquette University High School Marquette University High School Hill Toppers 2 5 7 8 2 4 5 7 7 47 Carson Boemer '27
Taiya De Vries '25
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 6 4 3 3 7 7 3 9 9 51 Lydia Frost '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Cruise Lickerman '26 [3-4, 7-9]
Illana Umanskiy '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 3 7 6 9 6 6 6 6 6 55 Bleu Strnad '26
Gianna Scandariato '27
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 7 6 9 2 8 9 7 5 4 57 Sofia Sandoval '25
Katherine Anderson '23
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 8 8 4 6 5 8 9 8 5 61 Liam Kipnis '27
Ethan Bucciarelli '28
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 9 DNF 8 5 9 2 8 3 8 62 Yoon-Soo Ban '25 [1-9]
Paula Kowalczyk '26 [1-5]
Gabriel Vegas '27 [6-9]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Eagles 1 1 1 2 1 3 6 2 5 22 Grace Renz '26 [1-5]
Quinn Frakt '27 [6-9]
Duke Diep '27 [1-5]
Jack Eskilson '28 [6-9]
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 3 4 3 4 2 1 1 6 4 28 Jack Colyer '25
Ray Han '26
Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School Scouts 2 3 2 1 3 5 4 4 6 30 Keegan Chatburn '25 [1-5]
Jack Carter '28 [6-9]
Tullis Mengelkoch '28 [1-5]
Keegan Chatburn '25 [6-9]
Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Varsity 6 6 5 6 4 2 2 1 3 35 Braden Basile '27
Rider Myers '26
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 5 7 6 8 5 4 3 3 1 42 Anthony Sullivan '29
Camila Benes '26
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 4 2 4 9 6 8 7 7 2 49 Nolan Graham '28 [1-9]
Luna Hallihan '28 [1-4]
Camden Brandt '28 [5-9]
Marquette University High School Marquette University High School Hill Toppers 9 8 8 3 7 7 5 8 8 63 Tj Sippel '28
Declan Wagner '28
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 7 5 7 5 9 9 8 9 7 66 Laura Koszeghy '26
Frank Wildi '25
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 8 9 9 7 8 6 9 5 9 70 Finn Connolly '26
Juliet Townsend '28
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2025 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
University of Chicago Laboratory SchoolsUniversity of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons999999999
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Wildkits111111111
Jones College PrepJones College Prep Eagles222222222
Lake Forest High SchoolLake Forest High School Scouts333333333
Loyola AcademyLoyola Academy Ramblers444444444
Marquette University High SchoolMarquette University High School Hill Toppers555555555
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian666666666
Rocky River High SchoolRocky River High School Varsity777777777
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, ILSaint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack888888888

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
University of Chicago Laboratory SchoolsUniversity of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons181818181818181818
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Wildkits101010101010101010
Jones College PrepJones College Prep Eagles111111111111111111
Lake Forest High SchoolLake Forest High School Scouts121212121212121212
Loyola AcademyLoyola Academy Ramblers131313131313131313
Marquette University High SchoolMarquette University High School Hill Toppers141414141414141414
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian151515151515151515
Rocky River High SchoolRocky River High School Varsity161616161616161616
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, ILSaint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack171717171717171717

Conditions — 03/29/2025 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 75%  ·  Pressure 1010.0 hPa

Temperature

66°F
↑ 68°F   ↓ 61°F
Feels like 64°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.1 kn
avg  ·  max 10.3 kn
Gusts to 24.5 kn
From SSW (202°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover69% Sunshine8.9 hrs Humidity75% Pressure1010.0 hPa Rain0.03 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 11 kn · S 12 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at DePaul College Prep/Latin of Chicago/New Trier HS/St. Ignatius (IL)/Walter Payton Colleg: a favourites’ day (+0.02)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.03 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.05
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.13 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at DePaul College Prep/Latin of Chicago/New Trier HS/St. Ignatius (IL)/Walter Payton Colleg by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at DePaul College Prep/Latin of Chicago/New Trier HS/St. Ignatius (IL)/Walter Payton Colleg, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →