NWISA Silver Ranking Regatta #2

HostSqualicum
Date03/15/2025
TypeDistrict Champ Qualifier
BoatCFJ
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Lakeridge High School (OR)	Lake Ridge	51	17	68
2	Bainbridge High School	Spartans 1	74	13	87
3	Bainbridge High School	Spartans 2	37	61	98
4	Central Kitsap High School	Cougars	35	72	107
5	Portland Waldorf School (OR)	Portland Waldorf (O	46	68	114
6	Gig Harbor High School	Tides	73	59	132
7	Ida B. Wells (OR)	Trojans	73	63	136
8	Roosevelt High School	Rough Riders	73	79	152
9	Anacortes High School	Seahawks	43	133	176
10	Hood River Valley High School	Eagles 1	99	83	182
11	North Kitsap High School	Dogfish	105	78	183
12	Bellarmine Preparatory School	Lions	115	74	189
13	Olympic High School (WA)	Trojans	107	104	211
14	Bainbridge High School	Spartans 3	112	113	225
15	Squalicum High School	Storm	95	152	247
16	Oak Harbor High School	Wildcats	151	128	279
17	Hood River Valley High School	Eagles 2	151	129	280
18	Port Angeles High School	Roughriders	134	160	294
19	Wolverines	Wolverines	148	149	297
20	Capital High School	Cougars	172	155	327

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	TOT	Sailors
Central Kitsap High School	Cougars	1	1	5	4	2	7	2	4	9	35	Elijah Dekker '26 [1-4] Keller Matthews '26 [5-9] Liem Webb Magallanez '27 [1-2] John Tabone '28 [3-4] Sadie Evans '27 [5-6, 9] Amber Faragalli '26 [7-8]
Bainbridge High School	Spartans 2	8	6	1	2	4	5	7	3	1	37	Daniel Chapman '27 Owen Willhoit '28
Anacortes High School	Seahawks	10	4	2	1	1	1	1	9	14	43	Cameron Furin '25 Sophie Reddick '27
Portland Waldorf School (OR)	Portland Waldorf (O	4	5	3	8	15	3	5	1	2	46	Desmond Lathrop '27 Joel Guren '26
Lakeridge High School (OR)	Lake Ridge	5	11	6	11	3	4	3	5	3	51	Dagny Kruger '25 Adrian Carlson '25
Roosevelt High School	Rough Riders	2	3	7	3	6	DSQ	13	13	5	73	Elias Lawrence '28 Aleksander Reiter '26
Gig Harbor High School	Tides	6	7	9	7	11	12	8	6	7	73	Tru Jackson '27 Finnegan Drennan '28
Ida B. Wells (OR)	Trojans	15	9	11	15	5	6	6	2	4	73	Alder Silkie '28 Neil Merims '26
Bainbridge High School	Spartans 1	7	8	4	5	OCS	2	4	12	11	74	Suraj Siddaiah '26 [1-9] Gabrielle Jelic '27 [1-4] Atlas Montgomery '27 [5-9]
Squalicum High School	Storm	13	2	12	6	14	10	16	14	8	95	Dawson Meyers '26 [1-9] Atticus Andress '26 [1-2, 5-6, 9] Ajax Neumann '28 [3-4, 7-8]
Hood River Valley High School	Eagles 1	3	18	8	9	12	13	10	16	10	99	Lauren Mack '27 Julian Traviesa '28
North Kitsap High School	Dogfish	19	17	17	14	7	9	9	7	6	105	Amber Faragalli '26 [1-4, 6] Maya Zander '26 [5, 7] Elijah Dekker '26 [8-9] Kaisen Olkonen '27 [1-4] Amber Faragalli '26 [5, 9] Maya Zander '26 [6, 8] Elijah Dekker '26 [7]
Olympic High School (WA)	Trojans	11	12	14	10	18	8	11	8	15	107	Elsa Bischoff '26 [1-4, 7-8] Victor Gehring '26 [5-6, 9] Eli Carlson '28 [1-9]
Bainbridge High School	Spartans 3	9	19	10	18	8	11	14	11	12	112	Alden Lemon '25 [1-9] Riley Wert '28 [1-4] Elijah Owen '28 [5-9]
Bellarmine Preparatory School	Lions	17	10	15	13	10	15	12	10	13	115	Luke Zeigler '26 Cameron Ramirez '26
Port Angeles High School	Roughriders	12	14	18	12	9	16	18	18	17	134	Caelan Prater '27 Serenity Romo '25
Wolverines	Wolverines	18	15	13	17	13	18	19	19	16	148
Oak Harbor High School	Wildcats	14	13	20	20	17	14	20	15	18	151	Dante Muthee '27 Lilly Swackhamer '29
Hood River Valley High School	Eagles 2	16	16	19	16	16	17	15	17	19	151	Ripley Vogt '27 Jackson Morich '28
Capital High School	Cougars	DNS	DNS	16	19	19	19	17	20	20	172	Wheeler Tran '28 Andre Echeverri '28

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	TOT	Sailors
Bainbridge High School	Spartans 1	2	2	2	1	1	2	1	1	1	13	Cyrus Yan '26 [1-9] Atlas Montgomery '27 [1-3] Gabrielle Jelic '27 [4-9]
Lakeridge High School (OR)	Lake Ridge	1	3	1	3	2	1	2	2	2	17	Oliver Fogarty '25 Eleanor Crandall '25
Gig Harbor High School	Tides	4	9	4	7	9	10	6	7	3	59	Charlie Yando '28 Aiden Spiker '28
Bainbridge High School	Spartans 2	3	1	11	2	8	12	3	9	12	61	Gretchen Fiscus '26 [1-6] Ella Baker '27 [7-9] Ella Baker '27 [1-6] Gretchen Fiscus '26 [7-9]
Ida B. Wells (OR)	Trojans	9	6	3	9	3	6	12	8	7	63	Alex Tharp '26 Adrian Carlson '25
Portland Waldorf School (OR)	Portland Waldorf (O	8	4	14	10	6	5	10	5	6	68	Griffin Adams '26 Zack Jordan '25
Central Kitsap High School	Cougars	10	7	10	5	5	3	5	13	14	72	Maya Zander '26 [1-2, 7] Avery Lawley '25 [3] Lucas Burbank '26 [4-5, 9] Liem Webb Magallanez '27 [6, 8] Avery Lawley '25 [1-2, 7] Maya Zander '26 [3] Liem Webb Magallanez '27 [4-5, 9] Lucas Burbank '26 [6, 8]
Bellarmine Preparatory School	Lions	6	11	7	4	10	9	8	14	5	74	Wesley Wysham '28 Allison Stewart '27
North Kitsap High School	Dogfish	7	12	12	11	4	13	4	4	11	78	Victor Gehring '26 [1-3] Ian Anthony '27 [4, 6, 8] Kaisen Olkonen '27 [5, 7, 9] Sadie Evans '27 [1-2] Liem Webb Magallanez '27 [3] Kaisen Olkonen '27 [4, 6, 8] Ian Anthony '27 [5, 7, 9]
Roosevelt High School	Rough Riders	11	5	5	12	16	4	11	6	9	79	Hao-Ran Hsu '27 Rowan Fisher '28
Hood River Valley High School	Eagles 1	17	8	16	8	13	7	7	3	4	83	Claire Couvreux '28 Eda O'Connor '28
Olympic High School (WA)	Trojans	14	17	13	6	7	20	9	10	8	104	Ellyaena Jackson '29 [1-3] Avery Lawley '25 [4-9] Gracie Yeadon '27 [1-3] John Tabone '28 [4-9]
Bainbridge High School	Spartans 3	5	13	9	16	14	16	16	11	13	113	Jules Dewey '29 [1-9] Elijah Owen '28 [1-3] Riley Wert '28 [4-9]
Oak Harbor High School	Wildcats	13	10	6	14	19	15	20	16	15	128	Chase Johnson '27 Ossian Merkel '29
Hood River Valley High School	Eagles 2	16	14	17	18	11	11	13	12	17	129	Green Sutton '28 Noah Sanford '29
Anacortes High School	Seahawks	12	15	8	17	17	8	17	20	19	133	Lucas Vanasse '28 [1-9] Lucas Cornelius '25 [1-2] Chase Johnson '27 [3-9]
Wolverines	Wolverines	19	19	18	13	15	14	18	15	18	149
Squalicum High School	Storm	15	16	15	19	18	17	15	17	20	152	Marin Hatch '28 Aiofe Tamminga '27
Capital High School	Cougars	18	20	19	20	12	18	19	19	10	155	Jack Kesler '28 Ryan Parris '27
Port Angeles High School	Roughriders	20	18	20	15	20	19	14	18	16	160	William Weidenhoeft '28 Sophia Schiess '26

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.150+0.15

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2025 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A	8A	9A
Anacortes High School Seahawks	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Bainbridge High School Spartans 1	36	36	36	36	36	36	36	36	36
Bainbridge High School Spartans 2	37	37	37	37	37	37	37	37	37
Bainbridge High School Spartans 3	38	38	38	38	38	38	38	38	38
Bellarmine Preparatory School Lions	111	111	111	111	111	111	111	111	111
Capital High School Cougars	101	101	101	101	101	101	101	101	101
Central Kitsap High School Cougars	129	129	129	129	129	129	129	129	129
Wolverines Wolverines	18	18	18	18	18	18	18	18	18
Gig Harbor High School Tides	108	108	108	108	108	108	108	108	108
Hood River Valley High School Eagles 1	170	170	170	170	170	170	170	170	170
Hood River Valley High School Eagles 2	162	162	162	162	162	162	162	162	162
North Kitsap High School Dogfish	128	128	128	128	128	128	128	128	128
Oak Harbor High School Wildcats	49	49	49	49	49	49	49	49	49
Olympic High School (WA) Trojans	127	127	127	127	127	127	127	127	127
Port Angeles High School Roughriders	156	156	156	156	156	156	156	156	156
Roosevelt High School Rough Riders	12	12	12	12	12	12	12	12	12
Squalicum High School Storm	59	59	61	61	61	61	61	61	61

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B	7B	8B	9B
Anacortes High School Seahawks	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Bainbridge High School Spartans 1	36	36	36	36	36	36	36	36	36
Bainbridge High School Spartans 2	37	37	37	37	37	37	37	37	37
Bainbridge High School Spartans 3	38	38	38	38	38	38	38	38	38
Bellarmine Preparatory School Lions	111	111	111	111	111	111	111	111	111
Capital High School Cougars	101	101	101	101	101	101	101	101	101
Central Kitsap High School Cougars	129	129	129	129	129	129	129	129	129
Wolverines Wolverines	18	18	18	18	18	18	18	18	18
Gig Harbor High School Tides	108	108	108	108	108	108	108	108	108
Hood River Valley High School Eagles 1	170	170	170	170	170	170	170	170	170
Hood River Valley High School Eagles 2	162	162	162	162	162	162	162	162	162
North Kitsap High School Dogfish	128	128	128	128	128	128	128	128	128
Oak Harbor High School Wildcats	49	49	49	49	49	49	49	49	49
Olympic High School (WA) Trojans	127	127	127	127	127	127	127	127	127
Port Angeles High School Roughriders	156	156	156	156	156	156	156	156	156
Roosevelt High School Rough Riders	12	12	12	12	12	12	12	12	12
Squalicum High School Storm	59	59	61	61	61	61	61	61	61

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Anacortes High School	Cameron Furin '25	Sophie Reddick '27
Seahawks	Lucas Vanasse '28 [1-9]	Lucas Cornelius '25 [1-2] Chase Johnson '27 [3-9]
Bainbridge High School	Suraj Siddaiah '26 [1-9]	Gabrielle Jelic '27 [1-4] Atlas Montgomery '27 [5-9]
Spartans 1	Cyrus Yan '26 [1-9]	Atlas Montgomery '27 [1-3] Gabrielle Jelic '27 [4-9]
Bainbridge High School	Daniel Chapman '27	Owen Willhoit '28
Spartans 2	Gretchen Fiscus '26 [1-6] Ella Baker '27 [7-9]	Ella Baker '27 [1-6] Gretchen Fiscus '26 [7-9]
Bainbridge High School	Alden Lemon '25 [1-9]	Riley Wert '28 [1-4] Elijah Owen '28 [5-9]
Spartans 3	Jules Dewey '29 [1-9]	Elijah Owen '28 [1-3] Riley Wert '28 [4-9]
Bellarmine Preparatory School	Luke Zeigler '26	Cameron Ramirez '26
Lions	Wesley Wysham '28	Allison Stewart '27
Capital High School	Wheeler Tran '28	Andre Echeverri '28
Cougars	Jack Kesler '28	Ryan Parris '27
Central Kitsap High School	Elijah Dekker '26 [1-4] Keller Matthews '26 [5-9]	Liem Webb Magallanez '27 [1-2] John Tabone '28 [3-4] Sadie Evans '27 [5-6, 9] Amber Faragalli '26 [7-8]
Cougars	Maya Zander '26 [1-2, 7] Avery Lawley '25 [3] Lucas Burbank '26 [4-5, 9] Liem Webb Magallanez '27 [6, 8]	Avery Lawley '25 [1-2, 7] Maya Zander '26 [3] Liem Webb Magallanez '27 [4-5, 9] Lucas Burbank '26 [6, 8]
Gig Harbor High School	Tru Jackson '27	Finnegan Drennan '28
Tides	Charlie Yando '28	Aiden Spiker '28
Hood River Valley High School	Lauren Mack '27	Julian Traviesa '28
Eagles 1	Claire Couvreux '28	Eda O'Connor '28
Hood River Valley High School	Ripley Vogt '27	Jackson Morich '28
Eagles 2	Green Sutton '28	Noah Sanford '29
Ida B. Wells (OR)	Alder Silkie '28	Neil Merims '26
Trojans	Alex Tharp '26	Adrian Carlson '25
Lakeridge High School (OR)	Dagny Kruger '25	Adrian Carlson '25
Lake Ridge	Oliver Fogarty '25	Eleanor Crandall '25
North Kitsap High School	Amber Faragalli '26 [1-4, 6] Maya Zander '26 [5, 7] Elijah Dekker '26 [8-9]	Kaisen Olkonen '27 [1-4] Amber Faragalli '26 [5, 9] Maya Zander '26 [6, 8] Elijah Dekker '26 [7]
Dogfish	Victor Gehring '26 [1-3] Ian Anthony '27 [4, 6, 8] Kaisen Olkonen '27 [5, 7, 9]	Sadie Evans '27 [1-2] Liem Webb Magallanez '27 [3] Kaisen Olkonen '27 [4, 6, 8] Ian Anthony '27 [5, 7, 9]
Oak Harbor High School	Dante Muthee '27	Lilly Swackhamer '29
Wildcats	Chase Johnson '27	Ossian Merkel '29
Olympic High School (WA)	Elsa Bischoff '26 [1-4, 7-8] Victor Gehring '26 [5-6, 9]	Eli Carlson '28 [1-9]
Trojans	Ellyaena Jackson '29 [1-3] Avery Lawley '25 [4-9]	Gracie Yeadon '27 [1-3] John Tabone '28 [4-9]
Port Angeles High School	Caelan Prater '27	Serenity Romo '25
Roughriders	William Weidenhoeft '28	Sophia Schiess '26
Portland Waldorf School (OR)	Desmond Lathrop '27	Joel Guren '26
Portland Waldorf (O	Griffin Adams '26	Zack Jordan '25
Roosevelt High School	Elias Lawrence '28	Aleksander Reiter '26
Rough Riders	Hao-Ran Hsu '27	Rowan Fisher '28
Squalicum High School	Dawson Meyers '26 [1-9]	Atticus Andress '26 [1-2, 5-6, 9] Ajax Neumann '28 [3-4, 7-8]
Storm	Marin Hatch '28	Aiofe Tamminga '27

Conditions — 03/15/2025 (8am–6pm)

🌨️Moderate snow

Humidity 93% · Pressure 1001.1 hPa

Temperature

40°F

↑ 44°F ↓ 36°F

Feels like 34°F

Wind

● from ▲ toward

7.4 kn

avg · max 12.0 kn

Gusts to 27.4 kn

From SSE (161°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover98% Sunshine1.7 hrs Humidity93% Pressure1001.1 hPa Rain0.49 in Snow0.52 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 10 kn · SE 10 kn (scorer’s report)

In this breeze at Squalicum: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.16)

Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.

Fleet adjustment +0.13 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.28

Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.39 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.16 means a rating gap counts about 13% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Squalicum by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 2 labelled days at Squalicum, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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