SEISA Girls Championship

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Flour Bluff High School Flour Bluff High School Hornets 1 13 13
2 Flour Bluff High School Flour Bluff High School Hornets 2 21 21
3 The Willow School The Willow School Willow Lions 1 23 23
4 Louise S. McGehee Louise S. McGehee Hawksa 36 36
5 Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 2 50 50
6 Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 4 53 53
7 Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 1 57 57
8 Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 3 74 74
9 The Willow School The Willow School Willow Lions 2 78 78
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Flour Bluff High School Flour Bluff High School Hornets 1 1 1 1 1 3 2 1 1 2 13 Jessica Hobbs '27
Breanna Kreft '27
Flour Bluff High School Flour Bluff High School Hornets 2 3 3 2 4 1 1 2 2 3 21 Yasmeen Djilali '27
Claira Shores '27
The Willow School The Willow School Willow Lions 1 2 2 4 2 2 4 3 3 1 23 Olivia Mcgowan '28
Emma Parks '26
Louise S. McGehee Louise S. McGehee Hawksa 4 7 3 3 4 3 4 4 4 36 Virginia Lovell '28
Mary Claire Leckert '28
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 2 5 4 7 6 5 6 5 5 7 50 Maggie Lob '26
Ellena Mcguire '25
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 4 6 5 5 7 6 5 6 7 6 53 Mackenzie Caballero '25
Anna Koveleskie '25
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 1 8 6 6 5 7 7 7 6 5 57 Caroline Rozands '25
Lauren Galligan '25
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 3 7 8 9 9 8 8 8 9 8 74 Alexandra Sanchez '25 [1-4, 7-9]
Emma Pscenicka '26 [5-6]
Prinzalina Wallis '26 [1-4, 7-9]
Jordan Alexis '26 [5]
Ella Ory '26 [6]
The Willow School The Willow School Willow Lions 2 9 9 8 8 9 9 9 8 9 78 Marigny Gill '25
Charlotte Kunian '27
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2025 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
Flour Bluff High SchoolFlour Bluff High School Hornets 1111111111
Flour Bluff High SchoolFlour Bluff High School Hornets 2222222222
Louise S. McGeheeLouise S. McGehee Hawksa333333333
The Willow SchoolThe Willow School Willow Lions 1444444444
The Willow SchoolThe Willow School Willow Lions 2555555555
Ursuline AcademyUrsuline Academy Lions 1666666666
Ursuline AcademyUrsuline Academy Lions 2777777777
Ursuline AcademyUrsuline Academy Lions 3888888888
Ursuline AcademyUrsuline Academy Lions 4999999999

Conditions — 03/29/2025 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Partly cloudy
Humidity 83%  ·  Pressure 1014.7 hPa

Temperature

73°F
↑ 76°F   ↓ 67°F
Feels like 75°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.8 kn
avg  ·  max 11.8 kn
Gusts to 26.8 kn
From SSE (152°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover88% Sunshine8.9 hrs Humidity83% Pressure1014.7 hPa Rain0.38 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 14 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Ursuline Academy: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.25)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.17 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.42
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.39 ± 0.19)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.25 means a rating gap counts about 22% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Ursuline Academy by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 10 labelled days at Ursuline Academy, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →