Ursuline Academy '25
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| -0.32 (fleet -0.50) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.01 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 0–10 (0%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2023 | 1 | 0–10 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 1 graded regattas (10 matches) the record is 0–10 against 0.8 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−0.8). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 1 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 1 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-04-02 | SEISA Champs - Team | skipper | -0.41 | -3.41 | 0–10 | 0.8 | ≤−3.00 | 1.1 | >99% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Wet & Cool Regatta | Skipper | A | 8 | 8.0 | -0.38 |
| Spring Series 5 NOLA | Skipper | A | 3 | 9.3 | -1.30 |
| SEISA Girls Championship | Skipper | A | 9 | 6.3 | -1.19 |
| Girls Catholic Schools Regatta | Skipper | A | 7 | 12.4 | -1.07 |
| Fall 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Sugar Bowl Regatta | Skipper | A | 8 | 5.9 | -0.76 |
| New Orleans Fall Series 2 | Skipper | A | 3 | 5.0 | 0.74 |
| FWBC VIKING FALL FLING | Skipper | A | 10 | 6.3 | -1.18 |
| Spring 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Spring Series 4 NOLA | Skipper | A | 3 | 6.7 | 0.86 |
| SEISA Champs - Fleet Racing | Skipper | A | 2 | 6.5 | -2.30 |
| NOLA Spring Series 2 | Skipper | A | 2 | 7.0 | 0.32 |
| NOLA Spring 6 | Skipper | A | 3 | 11.3 | -0.96 |
| Fall 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| Ursuline Schools Regatta | Skipper | A | 10 | 2.9 | 0.12 |
| Sugar Bowl | Skipper | A | 2 | 7.5 | -1.48 |
| NOLA Fall Series 2 | Skipper | A | 3 | 8.0 | -0.25 |
| NOLA Fall 3 | Skipper | A | 3 | 7.0 | 0.21 |
| New Orleans Fall Series 1 | Skipper | A | 1 | 5.0 | — |
| Spring 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| Spring Series 6 NOLA | Skipper | A | 3 | 6.7 | -0.62 |
| SEISA Champs - Team | Skipper | TR | 10 | 0% | — |
| New Orleans Spring Series 1 | Skipper | A | 3 | 10.3 | -0.98 |
| New Orleans Spring 4 | Skipper | A | 3 | 9.3 | -0.93 |
| 2023 SEISA Fleet Champs | Skipper | B | 4 | 5.8 | -2.32 |
| Fall 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| NOLA Fall Series 3 | Skipper | A | 3 | 9.7 | -1.41 |
| NOLA Fall 6 | Skipper | A | 1 | 4.0 | — |
| New Orleans Great Oaks Qualifier | Skipper | A | 5 | 14.0 | -0.75 |
| New Orleans Fall Series 1 | Skipper | A | 3 | 7.0 | -0.43 |
| Community Sailing Girls Regatta | Skipper | B | 8 | 5.5 | -2.27 |
| Allstate Sugar Bowl | Skipper | B | 2 | 7.5 | -1.51 |
| 2022 ISSA - PCISA All Girls Invitational | Skipper | A | 5 | 27.0 | -3.07 |
| Spring 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| Spring Series 5 NOLA | Crew | A | 3 | 6.3 | — |
| Rock the New Year | Skipper | A | 2 | 4.5 | -1.49 |
| New Orleans Spring 4 | Skipper | A | 3 | 8.0 | -1.73 |
| Fall 2021 Team page Season | |||||
| NOLA Fall 5 | Skipper | A | 3 | 6.3 | -2.70 |
| New Orleans Fall Series 3 | Skipper | A | 3 | 7.3 | -2.80 |
| Spring 2021 Team page Season | |||||
| NOLA Series 6 | Crew | A | 2 | 4.0 | — |
| New Orleans Yacht Club High School Regatta | Crew | A | — | — | — |
| New Orleans Spring Series 4 | Skipper | A | 2 | 8.5 | — |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ICSA | Caroline Rozands |  University of South Florida |
'29 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
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