2023 SEISA Fleet Champs

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Clear Falls High School Clear Falls High School Knights 17 16 33
2 Lake Travis High School Lake Travis High School Cavaliers 20 17 37
3 Clear Lake High School Clear Lake High School Falcons 23 29 52
4 Jesuit High School, NOLA Jesuit High School, NOLA Blue Jays 43 43 86
5 Saint Stanislaus Saint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 51 48 99
6 Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 56 57 113
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Clear Falls High School Clear Falls High School Knights 1 1 1 3 1 3 1 1 3 2 17 Hamilton Barclay '23
Korbin Bendele '25
Lake Travis High School Lake Travis High School Cavaliers 2 2 3 1 2 2 2 2 1 3 20 James Brock '24
Lilly Wind '25
Clear Lake High School Clear Lake High School Falcons 3 3 2 2 3 1 3 3 2 1 23 Matias Martin '23 [1-10]
Cole Gourley '25 [1-8]
Gabriella "Gabby" Golemi '26 [9-10]
Jesuit High School, NOLA Jesuit High School, NOLA Blue Jays 4 4 4 4 4 5 4 4 5 5 43 Connor Fanberg '26 [1-8]
David Karcher '26 [9-10]
David Karcher '26 [1-2]
Harrison Dietz '24 [3-8]
Will Patrias '24 [9-10]
Saint Stanislaus Saint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 5 5 5 6 6 4 6 6 4 4 51 Jeremy Reddoch '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Ruston Breisacher '24 [3-4, 7-8]
Ashley Hilton '24 [1-2, 5-6]
C.T. Ilgenfritz '23 [3-4, 7-10]
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 6 6 6 5 5 6 5 5 6 6 56 Julia Poche '24 [1-4, 7-8]
Estella Holland '26 [5-6, 9-10]
Sibria Adams '23 [1-2, 7-8]
Estella Holland '26 [3-4]
Ella Ory '26 [5-6, 9-10]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Clear Falls High School Clear Falls High School Knights 2 1 1 1 2 1 3 2 1 2 16 Ava Anderson '23
Kailey Warrior '23
Lake Travis High School Lake Travis High School Cavaliers 1 2 3 2 1 3 1 1 2 1 17 Wyatt Tauber '24
Laura Covington '24
Clear Lake High School Clear Lake High School Falcons 3 3 2 3 3 2 2 4 4 3 29 Jack Cronan '25 [1-10]
Gabriella "Gabby" Golemi '26 [1-6]
Drew Gourley '23 [7-8]
Andrew "Andy" Hibbetts '25 [9-10]
Jesuit High School, NOLA Jesuit High School, NOLA Blue Jays 4 4 4 4 5 4 5 6 3 4 43 Aidan Mckoin '26 [1-10]
Harrison Dietz '24 [1-2]
Dylan Davis '24 [3-8]
Degan Dansereau '24 [9-10]
Saint Stanislaus Saint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 5 6 5 5 4 5 4 3 6 5 48 Devon Long '24 [1-2, 7-10]
Aidan Castle '25 [3-6]
Karoline Burroughs '26 [1-2, 5-10]
Fynn Erichson '24 [3-4]
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 6 5 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 6 57 Evie Barras '24 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Caroline Rozands '25 [3-4, 7-8]
Madelyn Oster '24 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Anna Koveleskie '25 [3-4, 7-8]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Clear Falls High SchoolClear Falls High School Knights1122334455
Clear Lake High SchoolClear Lake High School Falcons2233445566
Jesuit High School, NOLAJesuit High School, NOLA Blue Jays3344556611
Lake Travis High SchoolLake Travis High School Cavaliers4455661122
Saint StanislausSaint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws5566112233
Ursuline AcademyUrsuline Academy Lions6611223344

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Clear Falls High SchoolClear Falls High School Knights77889910101111
Clear Lake High SchoolClear Lake High School Falcons8899101011111212
Jesuit High School, NOLAJesuit High School, NOLA Blue Jays9910101111121277
Lake Travis High SchoolLake Travis High School Cavaliers1010111112127788
Saint StanislausSaint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws11111212778899
Ursuline AcademyUrsuline Academy Lions12127788991010
School / Team SkipperCrew
Clear Falls High School Clear Falls High School Hamilton Barclay '23 Korbin Bendele '25
Knights Ava Anderson '23 Kailey Warrior '23
Clear Lake High School Clear Lake High School Matias Martin '23 [1-10] Cole Gourley '25 [1-8]
Gabriella "Gabby" Golemi '26 [9-10]
Falcons Jack Cronan '25 [1-10] Gabriella "Gabby" Golemi '26 [1-6]
Drew Gourley '23 [7-8]
Andrew "Andy" Hibbetts '25 [9-10]
Jesuit High School, NOLA Jesuit High School, NOLA Connor Fanberg '26 [1-8]
David Karcher '26 [9-10]
David Karcher '26 [1-2]
Harrison Dietz '24 [3-8]
Will Patrias '24 [9-10]
Blue Jays Aidan Mckoin '26 [1-10] Harrison Dietz '24 [1-2]
Dylan Davis '24 [3-8]
Degan Dansereau '24 [9-10]
Lake Travis High School Lake Travis High School James Brock '24 Lilly Wind '25
Cavaliers Wyatt Tauber '24 Laura Covington '24
Saint Stanislaus Saint Stanislaus Jeremy Reddoch '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Ruston Breisacher '24 [3-4, 7-8]
Ashley Hilton '24 [1-2, 5-6]
C.T. Ilgenfritz '23 [3-4, 7-10]
Rock-A-Chaws Devon Long '24 [1-2, 7-10]
Aidan Castle '25 [3-6]
Karoline Burroughs '26 [1-2, 5-10]
Fynn Erichson '24 [3-4]
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Julia Poche '24 [1-4, 7-8]
Estella Holland '26 [5-6, 9-10]
Sibria Adams '23 [1-2, 7-8]
Estella Holland '26 [3-4]
Ella Ory '26 [5-6, 9-10]
Lions Evie Barras '24 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Caroline Rozands '25 [3-4, 7-8]
Madelyn Oster '24 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Anna Koveleskie '25 [3-4, 7-8]

Conditions — 04/01/2023 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 78%  ·  Pressure 1019.3 hPa

Temperature

76°F
↑ 80°F   ↓ 69°F
Feels like 81°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.9 kn
avg  ·  max 6.9 kn
Gusts to 14.2 kn
From NE (34°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover92% Sunshine8.2 hrs Humidity78% Pressure1019.3 hPa Rain0.10 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 8 kn · SE 12 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Clear Falls: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.10)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.03 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.13
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.40 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.10 means a rating gap counts about 9% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Clear Falls by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 9 labelled days at Clear Falls, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →