Sugar Bowl Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Saint Stanislaus Saint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 2 35 25 60
2 St. Patrick Catholic High School St. Patrick Catholic High School Fighting Irish 23 38 61
3 The Willow School The Willow School Willow Lions 30 41 71
4 Saint Stanislaus Saint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 1 55 23 78
5 Jesuit High School, NOLA Jesuit High School, NOLA Blue Jays 30 62 92
6 Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 62 49 111
7 Ben Franklin High School Ben Franklin High School Falcons 76 57 133
8 Mount Carmel Academy Mount Carmel Academy CUBS 49 90 139
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
St. Patrick Catholic High School St. Patrick Catholic High School Fighting Irish 1 1 2 1 6 3 1 3 2 3 23 Court Salloum '26 [1-10]
Blake Beale '26 [1-8]
Caroline Beattie '30 [9-10]
The Willow School The Willow School Willow Lions 2 2 1 2 1 6 3 8 1 4 30 Olivia Mcgowan '28 [1-10]
Emma Parks '26 [1-6]
Rachel Hutchings '28 [7-10]
Jesuit High School, NOLA Jesuit High School, NOLA Blue Jays 3 3 6 5 4 1 2 1 4 1 30 Parker Lilly '29 [1-10]
Thomas Denning '28 [1-8]
Matthew Brown '26 [9-10]
Saint Stanislaus Saint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 2 5 4 4 3 2 2 6 4 3 2 35 Karoline Burroughs '26
Emma Harris '27
Mount Carmel Academy Mount Carmel Academy CUBS 7 6 5 6 3 4 5 2 5 6 49 Katherine Frost '29
Ashley Nguyen '29
Saint Stanislaus Saint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 1 4 7 3 7 5 5 7 6 6 5 55 Landon Newton '26 [1-10]
Matthew Fasullo '26 [1-2]
Michael Dawley '26 [3-10]
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 6 5 7 4 7 7 4 7 8 7 62 Caroline Rozands '25 [1-8]
Julie Mavor '26 [9-10]
Ceceilia Zinsel '25 [1-8]
Emma Pscenicka '26 [9-10]
Ben Franklin High School Ben Franklin High School Falcons 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 5 7 8 76 Jonathan Shi '25 [1-4]
Rad Jennings '28 [5-10]
Connor Mussell '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Aidan Johnson '26 [3-4]
Molly Reyher '28 [7-8]
Jonathan Shi '25 [9-10]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Saint Stanislaus Saint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 1 1 1 1 2 5 2 2 1 3 5 23 Aidan Castle '25 [1-10]
Kade Johnston '26 [1-2, 9-10]
Xander Hartfield '30 [3-4, 7-8]
Jonah Grumme '26 [5-6]
Saint Stanislaus Saint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 2 2 3 2 1 1 5 4 2 2 3 25 Jackson Timberlake '27
Charlie Harris '30
St. Patrick Catholic High School St. Patrick Catholic High School Fighting Irish 3 2 3 4 3 3 1 6 DSQ 4 38 John Hobbs Beattie '30
Cooper Joachim '30
The Willow School The Willow School Willow Lions 4 4 5 5 4 7 3 7 1 1 41 Marigny Gill '25 [1-4]
Emma Parks '26 [5-8]
Liam Christopher '25 [9-10]
Lola Marino '27 [1-4]
Chase Nieuwenhuizen '28 [5-10]
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 6 5 4 3 6 6 5 4 4 6 49 Alexandra Sanchez '25 [1-2]
Estella Holland '26 [3-10]
Emma Pscenicka '26 [1-2]
Anna Koveleskie '25 [3-4, 9-10]
Lauren Galligan '25 [5-6]
Elle Goodwin '27 [7-8]
Ben Franklin High School Ben Franklin High School Falcons 5 6 6 6 7 1 DSQ 5 5 7 57 Cecilia Raines '28 [1-2, 9-10]
Laura Fisher '27 [3-4]
Auden Emerson '27 [5-8]
Laura Fisher '27 [1-2, 7-10]
Cecilia Raines '28 [3-6]
Jesuit High School, NOLA Jesuit High School, NOLA Blue Jays DNS DNS DNS DNS 2 4 OCS 3 6 2 62 No Show [1-4]
Liam Moore '29 [5-8]
Pierre Worms '29 [9-10]
No Show [1-4]
Pierre Worms '29 [5-8]
Liam Moore '29 [9-10]
Mount Carmel Academy Mount Carmel Academy CUBS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 90 No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2018 (8 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Ben Franklin High SchoolBen Franklin High School Falcons224466881010
Jesuit High School, NOLAJesuit High School, NOLA Blue Jays44668810101212
Mount Carmel AcademyMount Carmel Academy CUBS6688101012121414
St. Patrick Catholic High SchoolSt. Patrick Catholic High School Fighting Irish1212141416162244
Saint StanislausSaint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 1881010121214141616
Saint StanislausSaint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 2101012121414161622
The Willow SchoolThe Willow School Willow Lions14141616224466
Ursuline AcademyUrsuline Academy Lions161622446688

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Ben Franklin High SchoolBen Franklin High School Falcons101012121414161622
Jesuit High School, NOLAJesuit High School, NOLA Blue Jays1212141416162244
Mount Carmel AcademyMount Carmel Academy CUBS14141616224466
St. Patrick Catholic High SchoolSt. Patrick Catholic High School Fighting Irish44668810101212
Saint StanislausSaint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 1161622446688
Saint StanislausSaint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 2224466881010
The Willow SchoolThe Willow School Willow Lions6688101012121414
Ursuline AcademyUrsuline Academy Lions881010121214141616
School / Team SkipperCrew
Ben Franklin High School Ben Franklin High School Jonathan Shi '25 [1-4]
Rad Jennings '28 [5-10]
Connor Mussell '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Aidan Johnson '26 [3-4]
Molly Reyher '28 [7-8]
Jonathan Shi '25 [9-10]
Falcons Cecilia Raines '28 [1-2, 9-10]
Laura Fisher '27 [3-4]
Auden Emerson '27 [5-8]
Laura Fisher '27 [1-2, 7-10]
Cecilia Raines '28 [3-6]
Jesuit High School, NOLA Jesuit High School, NOLA Parker Lilly '29 [1-10] Thomas Denning '28 [1-8]
Matthew Brown '26 [9-10]
Blue Jays No Show [1-4]
Liam Moore '29 [5-8]
Pierre Worms '29 [9-10]
No Show [1-4]
Pierre Worms '29 [5-8]
Liam Moore '29 [9-10]
Mount Carmel Academy Mount Carmel Academy Katherine Frost '29 Ashley Nguyen '29
CUBS No Show No Show
Saint Stanislaus Saint Stanislaus Landon Newton '26 [1-10] Matthew Fasullo '26 [1-2]
Michael Dawley '26 [3-10]
Rock-A-Chaws 1 Aidan Castle '25 [1-10] Kade Johnston '26 [1-2, 9-10]
Xander Hartfield '30 [3-4, 7-8]
Jonah Grumme '26 [5-6]
Saint Stanislaus Saint Stanislaus Karoline Burroughs '26 Emma Harris '27
Rock-A-Chaws 2 Jackson Timberlake '27 Charlie Harris '30
St. Patrick Catholic High School St. Patrick Catholic High School Court Salloum '26 [1-10] Blake Beale '26 [1-8]
Caroline Beattie '30 [9-10]
Fighting Irish John Hobbs Beattie '30 Cooper Joachim '30
The Willow School The Willow School Olivia Mcgowan '28 [1-10] Emma Parks '26 [1-6]
Rachel Hutchings '28 [7-10]
Willow Lions Marigny Gill '25 [1-4]
Emma Parks '26 [5-8]
Liam Christopher '25 [9-10]
Lola Marino '27 [1-4]
Chase Nieuwenhuizen '28 [5-10]
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Caroline Rozands '25 [1-8]
Julie Mavor '26 [9-10]
Ceceilia Zinsel '25 [1-8]
Emma Pscenicka '26 [9-10]
Lions Alexandra Sanchez '25 [1-2]
Estella Holland '26 [3-10]
Emma Pscenicka '26 [1-2]
Anna Koveleskie '25 [3-4, 9-10]
Lauren Galligan '25 [5-6]
Elle Goodwin '27 [7-8]

Conditions — 12/07/2024 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 50%  ·  Pressure 1028.3 hPa

Temperature

50°F
↑ 58°F   ↓ 37°F
Feels like 44°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.5 kn
avg  ·  max 6.6 kn
Gusts to 12.8 kn
From ENE (73°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover90% Sunshine9.0 hrs Humidity50% Pressure1028.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 7 kn · SE 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at St. Stanislaus: a favourites’ day (+0.06)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.13 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.19
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.14 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at St. Stanislaus by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 7 labelled days at St. Stanislaus, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →