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New Orleans Yacht Club High School Regatta

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 St. Michael Catholic High School St. Michael Catholic High School Cardinals 47
2 Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions-Pink 80
3 Ben Franklin High School Ben Franklin High School Falcons 80
4 Jesuit High School, NOLA Jesuit High School, NOLA Blue Jays 81
5 Mount Carmel Academy Mount Carmel Academy CUBS 91
6 Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions-Blue 134
7 Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions-White 147
8 Academy of the Sacred Heart Academy of the Sacred Heart ASH Varsity 183
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
St. Michael Catholic High School St. Michael Catholic High School Cardinals A 1 1 2 1 1 1 7 Nate Hartwell '24
Ava Cocke '23
Mount Carmel Academy Mount Carmel Academy CUBS A 9 2 1 2 6 3 23 Kate Gibbons '23
Emory Friend '22
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions-Pink A 2 3 3 3 4 12 27 Emily Threeton '22
Emily Williams '23
Jesuit High School, NOLA Jesuit High School, NOLA Blue Jays A 6 5 5 8 2 2 28 Caleb Keister '22
Degan Dansereau '24
Ben Franklin High School Ben Franklin High School Falcons A 14 4 10 4 3 4 39 Harriss Thorne '23
Malachi Sheahan '23
St. Michael Catholic High School St. Michael Catholic High School Cardinals B 4 7 4 5 10 10 40 Robert Montgomery '22
Sullivan Stankoski '23
Ben Franklin High School Ben Franklin High School Falcons B 5 9 7 7 7 6 41 Sahana Jaligam '22
Elise Poche '23
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions-Pink B 3 DNF DNS 6 5 5 53 Cassidy O'Brien '21
Sophie Chevis '21
Jesuit High School, NOLA Jesuit High School, NOLA Blue Jays B 11 8 9 10 8 7 53 R.Ellis Beasley '22
Jack Finch '24
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions-Blue B 12 11 12 12 9 8 64 Meghan Keen '22 [1-6]
Ceceilia Zinsel '25 [1-3]
Sibria Adams '23 [4-6]
Mount Carmel Academy Mount Carmel Academy CUBS B 13 14 6 13 11 11 68 Molly Lagarde '24
Vivian Cerruti '24
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions-White A 10 10 11 9 12 DNF 69 Emerson Goodlett '24 [1-4]
Karen Stiegler '21 [5-6]
Madelyn Oster '24 [1-4]
Kelsa Marie Jacobs '24 [5-6]
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions-Blue A 8 12 13 11 DNF 9 70 Julia Poche '24 [1-4, 6]
Mackenzie Caballero '25 [5]
Evie Barras '24 [1-4, 6]
Caroline Rozands '25 [5]
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions-White B 7 6 14 DNS DNF DNS 78 Isabella White '22
Isabella Webster '22
Academy of the Sacred Heart Academy of the Sacred Heart ASH Varsity A 15 13 8 14 DNS DNS 84 Ellie Hebert '23
Shelby Marie Lasalle '23
Academy of the Sacred Heart Academy of the Sacred Heart ASH Varsity B 16 15 DNF DNS DNF DNS 99 Mary Rose Neumeyer '21
Elise Hieger '23
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2020 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Academy of the Sacred HeartAcademy of the Sacred Heart ASH Varsity181818181818
Ben Franklin High SchoolBen Franklin High School Falcons222222
Jesuit High School, NOLAJesuit High School, NOLA Blue Jays191919191919
Mount Carmel AcademyMount Carmel Academy CUBS722072207220722072207220
St. Michael Catholic High SchoolSt. Michael Catholic High School Cardinals161616161616
Ursuline AcademyUrsuline Academy Lions-Pink172717271727172717271727
Ursuline AcademyUrsuline Academy Lions-White444444

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Academy of the Sacred HeartAcademy of the Sacred Heart ASH Varsity323232323232
Ben Franklin High SchoolBen Franklin High School Falcons111111
Jesuit High School, NOLAJesuit High School, NOLA Blue Jays404040404040
Mount Carmel AcademyMount Carmel Academy CUBS722172217221722172217221
St. Michael Catholic High SchoolSt. Michael Catholic High School Cardinals181818181818
Ursuline AcademyUrsuline Academy Lions-Pink666666
Ursuline AcademyUrsuline Academy Lions-White555555

Conditions — 04/24/2021 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 75%  ·  Pressure 1008.4 hPa

Temperature

80°F
↑ 83°F   ↓ 73°F
Feels like 82°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
13.6 kn
avg  ·  max 16.1 kn
Gusts to 34.2 kn
From WSW (240°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover32% Sunshine10.6 hrs Humidity75% Pressure1008.4 hPa Rain0.08 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 18 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at New Orleans Yacht Club: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.13)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.11 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.15 ± 0.21)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.13 means a rating gap counts about 12% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at New Orleans Yacht Club by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at New Orleans Yacht Club, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →