Barnstable HS '25
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.96 (fleet 1.49) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.04 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 6–8 (43%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2025 | 1 | 6–8 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 1 graded regattas (14 matches) the record is 6–8 against 3.2 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+2.8). 1 regatta clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 0 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 2 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-03 | NESSA Team Racing Tournament (Terk Trophy) | skipper | 0.91 | 2.24 | 6–8 | 3.2 | +1.32 | 2.2 | 7% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| NESSA O'Day Qualifier- Hyannis | Skipper | A | 8 | 5.9 | 1.20 |
| NESSA Team Racing Tournament (Terk Trophy) | Skipper | TR | 14 | 43% | — |
| NESSA Fleet Racing Championship (O'Day Trophy) | Skipper | A | 16 | 12.2 | 0.65 |
| Cape & Islands Champs | Skipper | A | 7 | 5.4 | 1.36 |
| Spring 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| NESSA O'Day Qualifier - Hyannis, MA | Skipper | A | 9 | 5.7 | 0.49 |
| 2024 Cape & Island League Championship | Skipper | A | 7 | 7.0 | 0.65 |
| Spring 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| O'Day Qualifier - Hyannis, MA | Skipper | B | 4 | 7.8 | 0.58 |
| Cape & Island League Fleet Championship | Skipper | B | 2 | 5.5 | 1.02 |
| Spring 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| O'Day Qualifier @ Hyannis | Crew | B | 5 | 8.2 | — |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ICSA | Brendan Wojkowski |  University of Michigan |
'29 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
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