NESSA O'Day Qualifier- Hyannis

HostHyannis YC
Date05/10/2025
TypeDistrict Champ Qualifier
BoatC420
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Dartmouth High School	Sailing	15	26	41
2	Tabor Academy	Seawolves	29	25	54
3	Barnstable HS	Red Hawks	47	27	74
4	Nantucket High School	Whalers	38	43	81
5	Duxbury High School	Dragons	43	50	93
6	Marthas Vineyard RHS	Vineyarders	32	62	94
7	Cape Cod Academy	Seahawks	49	54	103
8	Old Rochester	Bulldogs	54	50	104
9	Sturgis Charter Public School	Navigators	67	68	135
10	Falmouth High School, MA	Clippers	82	74	156
11	Salisbury School	Knights	98 MRP	79 MRP	177 MRP
12	Nauset Regional High School	Nauset	94	90	184
13	Falmouth Academy	Mariners	100	95	195

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	TOT	Sailors
Dartmouth High School	Sailing	2	1	3	1	3	3	1	1	15	Sam Sperry '26 Sophia Litos '25
Tabor Academy	Seawolves	6	3	4	2	1	6	5	2	29	Patrick Tomlinson '28 [1-6] Grayden Mott '25 [7-8] Campbell Carr '25 [1-2, 5-8] Hudson Poor '25 [3-4]
Marthas Vineyard RHS	Vineyarders	1	7	1	6	6	1	7	3	32	Jack Schneider '25 Nicholas Merriam '26
Nantucket High School	Whalers	4	2	7	3	7	2	4	9	38	Rory Murray '25 Jacob Heneke '26
Duxbury High School	Dragons	3	9	2	4	5	5	8	7	43	Derek Kirby '25 [1-8] Clara Destenaves '27 [1-6] Nick Maslennikov '28 [7-8]
Barnstable HS	Red Hawks	7	6	8	7	9	4	2	4	47	Brendan Wojkowski '25 Eleanor Bullock '28
Cape Cod Academy	Seahawks	10	5	5	8	2	8	3	8	49	Lydia Stanney '27 Max Wesp '26
Old Rochester	Bulldogs	11	4	6	5	4	7	12	5	54	Linden White '26 Molly Wronski '26
Sturgis Charter Public School	Navigators	5	8	11	13	8	10	6	6	67	Kevin Sheedy '25 [1-4, 7-8] Jaan Hunter '28 [5-6] Phoebe Thorrold '25 [1-4, 7-8]
Falmouth High School, MA	Clippers	8	12	10	11	10	11	10	10	82	Kunio Saito '26 Molly Keefe '27
Nauset Regional High School	Nauset	12	11	13	10	13	12	11	12	94	Luke Pierce '28 [1-8] Jessie Swain '25 [1-4] Cora Camp '28 [5-8]
Salisbury School	Knights	9	10	9	9	12	9	9	11	98 MRP	No Show No Show
Falmouth Academy	Mariners	13	13	12	12	11	13	13	13	100	Nick Leach '27 Jack Leach '29

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	TOT	Sailors
Tabor Academy	Seawolves	3	1	1	9	2	2	5	2	25	Jeremy Bullock '25 [1-6] Colin Macinnis '27 [7-8] Nik Shumway '27 [1-6] Nick Proudlove '27 [7-8]
Dartmouth High School	Sailing	2	3	2	1	4	9	1	4	26	Finn Sperry '26 Phoebe Murray '26
Barnstable HS	Red Hawks	1	4	6	2	1	1	6	6	27	Laine Jansen '28 Colt Hill '25
Nantucket High School	Whalers	4	2	5	6	10	7	4	5	43	Sadie Paterson '26 [1-6] Clementine Kelly '26 [7-8] Clementine Kelly '26 [1-6] Emy Browers '28 [7-8]
Duxbury High School	Dragons	5	10	3	3	3	12	2	12	50	Vaughan Knecht '25 [1-4] Jack Bailey-Gates '28 [5-8] Jack Bailey-Gates '28 [1-4] Conor Gleason '28 [5-8]
Old Rochester	Bulldogs	10	6	9	4	11	6	3	1	50	Caitlyn Lund '26 [1-2, 5-6] Claire Vergoni '28 [3-4, 7-8] Addie Crete '27 [1-2, 5-6] Hadley Kuppens '28 [3-4, 7-8]
Cape Cod Academy	Seahawks	9	5	4	10	5	3	8	10	54	Alex Daigle '25 [1-8] Chloe Donavan '28 [1-2] Alex Herman '26 [3-8]
Marthas Vineyard RHS	Vineyarders	8	11	7	5	6	4	BKD	13	62	Finn Robinson '25 [1-2] Esme Colon '26 [3-8] Odin Robinson '27 [1-4, 7-8] Emmett Taylor '28 [5-6]
Sturgis Charter Public School	Navigators	11	8	11	13	7	5	10	3	68	Sam Bartlett '25 [1-2, 5-6] Noah Lyonnais '28 [3-4, 7-8] Jameson Mcalpine '28 [1-2] Mae Cleary '28 [3-4, 7-8] Dillon George '27 [5-6]
Falmouth High School, MA	Clippers	7	9	10	7	13	10	9	9	74	Kaiden Holt '27 [1-4] Lillian Karl '27 [5-8] Maisie Chase '26 [1-4, 7-8] Sadie Enea '27 [5-6]
Salisbury School	Knights	6	7	8	8	8	8	7	7	79 MRP	No Show No Show
Nauset Regional High School	Nauset	12	12	13	12	9	13	11	8	90	Mia Nadeau '28 Cam Long '27
Falmouth Academy	Mariners	13	13	12	11	12	11	12	11	95	Willow Lajoie '26 [1-6] Will Thrasher '26 [7-8] Torsten Houtler '26 [1-2, 7-8] Will Thrasher '26 [3-6]

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.120+0.12

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2023 (8 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A	8A
Barnstable HS Red Hawks	1	1	3	3	5	5	7	7
Cape Cod Academy Seahawks	2	2	4	4	6	6	8	8
Dartmouth High School Sailing	3	3	5	5	7	7	9	9
Duxbury High School Dragons	4	4	6	6	8	8	10	10
Falmouth Academy Mariners	5	5	7	7	9	9	11	11
Falmouth High School, MA Clippers	6	6	8	8	10	10	12	12
Marthas Vineyard RHS Vineyarders	7	7	9	9	11	11	13	13
Nantucket High School Whalers	8	8	10	10	12	12	1	1
Nauset Regional High School Nauset	9	9	11	11	13	13	2	2
Old Rochester Bulldogs	10	10	12	12	1	1	3	3
Salisbury School Knights	11	11	13	13	2	2	4	4
Sturgis Charter Public School Navigators	12	12	1	1	3	3	5	5
Tabor Academy Seawolves	13	13	2	2	4	4	6	6

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B	7B	8B
Barnstable HS Red Hawks	2	2	4	4	6	6	8	8
Cape Cod Academy Seahawks	3	3	5	5	7	7	9	9
Dartmouth High School Sailing	4	4	6	6	8	8	10	10
Duxbury High School Dragons	5	5	7	7	9	9	11	11
Falmouth Academy Mariners	6	6	8	8	10	10	12	12
Falmouth High School, MA Clippers	7	7	9	9	11	11	13	13
Marthas Vineyard RHS Vineyarders	8	8	10	10	12	12	1	1
Nantucket High School Whalers	9	9	11	11	13	13	2	2
Nauset Regional High School Nauset	10	10	12	12	1	1	3	3
Old Rochester Bulldogs	11	11	13	13	2	2	4	4
Salisbury School Knights	12	12	1	1	3	3	5	5
Sturgis Charter Public School Navigators	13	13	2	2	4	4	6	6
Tabor Academy Seawolves	1	1	3	3	5	5	7	7

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Barnstable HS	Brendan Wojkowski '25	Eleanor Bullock '28
Red Hawks	Laine Jansen '28	Colt Hill '25
Cape Cod Academy	Lydia Stanney '27	Max Wesp '26
Seahawks	Alex Daigle '25 [1-8]	Chloe Donavan '28 [1-2] Alex Herman '26 [3-8]
Dartmouth High School	Sam Sperry '26	Sophia Litos '25
Sailing	Finn Sperry '26	Phoebe Murray '26
Duxbury High School	Derek Kirby '25 [1-8]	Clara Destenaves '27 [1-6] Nick Maslennikov '28 [7-8]
Dragons	Vaughan Knecht '25 [1-4] Jack Bailey-Gates '28 [5-8]	Jack Bailey-Gates '28 [1-4] Conor Gleason '28 [5-8]
Falmouth Academy	Nick Leach '27	Jack Leach '29
Mariners	Willow Lajoie '26 [1-6] Will Thrasher '26 [7-8]	Torsten Houtler '26 [1-2, 7-8] Will Thrasher '26 [3-6]
Falmouth High School, MA	Kunio Saito '26	Molly Keefe '27
Clippers	Kaiden Holt '27 [1-4] Lillian Karl '27 [5-8]	Maisie Chase '26 [1-4, 7-8] Sadie Enea '27 [5-6]
Marthas Vineyard RHS	Jack Schneider '25	Nicholas Merriam '26
Vineyarders	Finn Robinson '25 [1-2] Esme Colon '26 [3-8]	Odin Robinson '27 [1-4, 7-8] Emmett Taylor '28 [5-6]
Nantucket High School	Rory Murray '25	Jacob Heneke '26
Whalers	Sadie Paterson '26 [1-6] Clementine Kelly '26 [7-8]	Clementine Kelly '26 [1-6] Emy Browers '28 [7-8]
Nauset Regional High School	Luke Pierce '28 [1-8]	Jessie Swain '25 [1-4] Cora Camp '28 [5-8]
Nauset	Mia Nadeau '28	Cam Long '27
Old Rochester	Linden White '26	Molly Wronski '26
Bulldogs	Caitlyn Lund '26 [1-2, 5-6] Claire Vergoni '28 [3-4, 7-8]	Addie Crete '27 [1-2, 5-6] Hadley Kuppens '28 [3-4, 7-8]
Salisbury School	No Show	No Show
Knights	No Show	No Show
Sturgis Charter Public School	Kevin Sheedy '25 [1-4, 7-8] Jaan Hunter '28 [5-6]	Phoebe Thorrold '25 [1-4, 7-8]
Navigators	Sam Bartlett '25 [1-2, 5-6] Noah Lyonnais '28 [3-4, 7-8]	Jameson Mcalpine '28 [1-2] Mae Cleary '28 [3-4, 7-8] Dillon George '27 [5-6]
Tabor Academy	Patrick Tomlinson '28 [1-6] Grayden Mott '25 [7-8]	Campbell Carr '25 [1-2, 5-8] Hudson Poor '25 [3-4]
Seawolves	Jeremy Bullock '25 [1-6] Colin Macinnis '27 [7-8]	Nik Shumway '27 [1-6] Nick Proudlove '27 [7-8]

Conditions — 05/10/2025 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle

Humidity 76% · Pressure 1008.2 hPa

Temperature

57°F

↑ 62°F ↓ 53°F

Feels like 52°F

Wind

● from ▲ toward

10.4 kn

avg · max 14.2 kn

Gusts to 30.1 kn

From WNW (291°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover92% Sunshine1.1 hrs Humidity76% Pressure1008.2 hPa Rain0.04 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 13 kn (scorer’s report)

In this breeze at Hyannis YC: a typical day (+0.01)

Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.

Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.09

Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.02 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Hyannis YC by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at Hyannis YC, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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