Duxbury High School '28
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.13 (fleet 0.17) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.02 ± 0.17 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 14–13 (52%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 | 1 | 3–5 | — |
| Spring 2025 | 2 | 11–8 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 3 graded regattas (27 matches) the record is 14–13 against 12.2 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+1.8). 1 regatta clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 1 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 2 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | MBL Team Race Tournament | skipper | 0.21 | 0.40 | 3–5 | 2.7 | +0.19 | 0.0 | 56% |
| 2025-05-17 | MBL TR Tournament | skipper | 0.24 | 1.71 | 8–2 | 5.7 | +1.47 | 1.7 | 12% |
| 2025-05-03 | NESSA Team Racing Tournament (Terk Trophy) | skipper | 0.07 | -0.45 | 3–6 | 3.7 | −0.52 | 0.2 | 82% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| 2026 NESSA O’Day Qualifier - Sharon | Skipper | A | 3 | 8.0 | 0.91 |
| MBL Team Race Tournament | Skipper | TR | 8 | 38% | — |
| Carl Zimba MBL Champs - 420A | Skipper | A | 4 | 11.5 | -1.10 |
| Fall 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Roy Williams Invitational | Skipper | A | 8 | 15.6 | -0.43 |
| NESSA Great Oaks Qualifier | Skipper | A | 4 | 9.0 | 0.61 |
| Fall FunFest | Skipper | A | 3 | 15.0 | -0.74 |
| Duxbury Bay Maritime School Invitational | Skipper | A | 6 | 10.7 | 0.94 |
| 2025 Arnold Brown Regatta | Skipper | A | 4 | 7.2 | 1.21 |
| Spring 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| NESSA O'Day Qualifier- Hyannis | Crew | B | 8 | 6.2 | -0.21 |
| NESSA Team Racing Tournament (Terk Trophy) | Skipper | TR | 9 | 33% | — |
| MBL TR Tournament | Skipper | TR | 10 | 80% | — |
| MBL Fleet Race Invitational | Skipper | B | 2 | 14.0 | — |
| Donald Greene Regatta 2025 | Skipper | A | 2 | 11.0 | 0.08 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
To have this profile removed, email quinnbrighton2005@gmail.com.
