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NESSA Great Oaks Qualifier

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Greely High School - Maine Greely High School - Maine Rangers 10 10
2 Sharon High School Sharon High School Eagles 15 15
3 Cape Cod Academy Cape Cod Academy Seahawks 23 23
4 Staples High School Staples High School Wreckers 23 23
5 Cape Elizabeth High School Cape Elizabeth High School Capers 28 28
6 East Greenwich High School East Greenwich High School Avengers 28 28
7 Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs 30 30
8 Guilford High School Guilford High School Grizzlies 30 30
9 Fairfield Ludlowe High School Fairfield Ludlowe High School Falcons 30 30
10 Falmouth High School (ME) Falmouth High School (ME) Navigators 33 33
11 Duxbury High School Duxbury High School Dragons 36 36
12 Wilton High School Wilton High School Warriors 39 39
13 Cheverus High School Cheverus High School Varsity 46 46
14 Portsmouth High School RI Portsmouth High School RI Patriots 51 51
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Greely High School - Maine Greely High School - Maine Rangers 5 1 1 3 10 Hunter Weiss '26
Evelyn Lacasse '27
Sharon High School Sharon High School Eagles 1 7 5 2 15 Ethan Huang '26
Rachel Wen '27
Cape Cod Academy Cape Cod Academy Seahawks 3 6 4 10 23 Lydia Stanney '27
Max Wesp '26
Staples High School Staples High School Wreckers 4 DSQ 3 1 23 Graham Lewis '28 [1-4]
Luka Leonidov '28 [1-2]
Madilyn Brundige '28 [3-4]
Cape Elizabeth High School Cape Elizabeth High School Capers 6 9 8 5 28 Gabe Tourangeau '27 [1-4]
Celeste Tourangeu '26 [1-2]
Eva Rhile '29 [3-4]
East Greenwich High School East Greenwich High School Avengers 7 4 10 7 28 Colin Auvil '26
Davis Collette '26
Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs 9 11 6 4 30 Adrian Jenkins '28
Clem Dean '26
Guilford High School Guilford High School Grizzlies 12 5 7 6 30 Carter Mikolay '28
Lyra Monaco '26
Fairfield Ludlowe High School Fairfield Ludlowe High School Falcons DSQ 2 2 11 30 Reid Smith '27
Cameron Cooleen '26
Falmouth High School (ME) Falmouth High School (ME) Navigators 10 3 11 9 33 Noelle Caola '28 [1-2]
Molly Gerding '26 [3-4]
Beck Langston '27 [1-2]
Anna King '28 [3-4]
Duxbury High School Duxbury High School Dragons 2 13 9 12 36 Jack Bailey-Gates '28
Conor Gleason '28
Wilton High School Wilton High School Warriors 11 8 12 8 39 Rachel Phippen '26
Sophia Traska '26
Cheverus High School Cheverus High School Varsity 8 12 13 13 46 Lucy Pitcock '27
Edwin Maurais '27
Portsmouth High School RI Portsmouth High School RI Patriots 13 10 14 14 51 Ava Mcdermott '26
Pia Streuli '28
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2025 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Cape Cod AcademyCape Cod Academy Seahawks5566
Cape Elizabeth High SchoolCape Elizabeth High School Capers6655
Cheverus High SchoolCheverus High School Varsity7788
Duxbury High SchoolDuxbury High School Dragons8877
East Greenwich High SchoolEast Greenwich High School Avengers991010
Fairfield Ludlowe High SchoolFairfield Ludlowe High School Falcons101099
Falmouth High School (ME)Falmouth High School (ME) Navigators11111212
Greely High School - MaineGreely High School - Maine Rangers12121111
Guilford High SchoolGuilford High School Grizzlies13131414
Portland High SchoolPortland High School Bulldogs14141313
Portsmouth High School RIPortsmouth High School RI Patriots15151616
Sharon High SchoolSharon High School Eagles16161515
Staples High SchoolStaples High School Wreckers17171818
Wilton High SchoolWilton High School Warriors18181717

Conditions — 09/20/2025 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 57%  ·  Pressure 1025.0 hPa

Temperature

62°F
↑ 66°F   ↓ 54°F
Feels like 61°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
2.7 kn
avg  ·  max 5.2 kn
Gusts to 12.1 kn
From NE (34°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover11% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity57% Pressure1025.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Sharon High School: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.06 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.06
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.23 ± 0.28)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Sharon High School by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at Sharon High School, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →