Adrian Jenkins

Rating History

Singlehanded & Keelboat Ratings

DisciplineRating Rank RacesLast raced
Keelboat0.43unranked (fewer than 10 races or not active)9Fall 2025

Team Race Rating

Rating Rank vs fleet rating Record
0.69 (fleet 1.04) unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) +0.05 ± 0.17
about what the fleet rating predicts
as skipper 10–10 (50%)
SeasonRegattas Skipper W–LCrew W–L
Spring 202626–5—
Spring 202524–5—
0.30.40.50.60.70.8Spring 2025Spring 2026Dick Levesque Maine State Championship (2025-05-03): rating 0.44, fleet rating alone 0.44, offset +0.00; record 2-1 in this boatClipper Challenge Spring 2026 (2026-04-04): rating 0.49, fleet rating alone 0.48, offset +0.01; record 4-5 in this boatClipperboats Team Race Event (2026-05-02): rating 0.67, fleet rating alone 0.64, offset +0.03; record 2-0 in this boatTeam race rating

Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.

Team race surprisal: regatta by regatta

Over 3 graded regattas (18 matches) the record is 8–10 against 6.3 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+1.7). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 0 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 1 bits of surprise in all.

DateRegattaRole Value Perf. RecordExp.
wins
Δ Surprise
(bits)
P(this good
or better)
2026-04-04Clipper Challenge Spring 2026skipper0.691.244–53.1+0.560.337%
2025-05-03Dick Levesque Maine State Championshipskipper0.531.932–11.2+1.410.635%
2025-04-05Greevus Team Raceskipper0.580.612–42.0+0.030.066%

Regatta results

Regatta Role Div Races Avg Rating
Spring 2026 Team page Season
PBSL #1 Skipper A 8 2.9 1.41
Downeast Championships Skipper A 6 5.7 -0.03
Clipperboats Team Race Event Skipper TR 6 33% —
Clipper Challenge Spring 2026 Skipper TR 14 25% —
2026 NESSA O'Day Qualifier - Portland, ME Skipper B 4 2.2 2.59
Fall 2025 Team page Season
Roy Williams Invitational Skipper A 12 13.2 0.46
NESSA NKBI Qualifier Keelboat Skipper A 9 4.3 0.01
NESSA Great Oaks Qualifier Skipper A 4 7.5 1.09
Fall FunFest Skipper A 3 11.3 0.74
Clipper Challenge Skipper A 6 2.7 1.03
Spring 2025 Team page Season
NESSA O'Day Qualifier - Portland Skipper B 5 7.0 -0.00
Greevus Team Race Skipper TR 14 21% —
Downeast Championships Crew B 2 1.5 —
Dick Levesque Maine State Championship Crew TR 11 64% —

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →

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