NESSA O'Day Qualifier - Portland

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Lincoln Academy Lincoln Academy Eagles 7 10 17
2 East Greenwich High School East Greenwich High School Avengers 24 22 46
3 Portsmouth High School RI Portsmouth High School RI Patriots 25 23 48
4 Falmouth High School (ME) Falmouth High School (ME) Navigators 28 26 54
5 Greely High School - Maine Greely High School - Maine Rangers 35 26 61
6 Yarmouth High School Yarmouth High School Clippers 35 31 66
7 Cape Elizabeth High School Cape Elizabeth High School Capers 37 33 70
8 Camden Hills RHS Camden Hills RHS Varsity 40 35 75
9 St. John Paul II School St. John Paul II School Lions 33 46 79
10 Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs 45 35 80
11 Oceanside High School Oceanside High School Mariners 24 58 82
12 Sacred Heart Greenwich Sacred Heart Greenwich Tigers 57 46 103
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Lincoln Academy Lincoln Academy Eagles 1 1 1 2 2 7 Otto Schoenthal '25 [1-5]
Charley Carelton '28 [1-4]
Camden Peck '27 [5]
Oceanside High School Oceanside High School Mariners 2 2 9 7 4 24 Henri Weymouth '26
Henry Ackor '26
East Greenwich High School East Greenwich High School Avengers 3 11 4 1 5 24 Colin Auvil '26
Harper Kelley '25
Portsmouth High School RI Portsmouth High School RI Patriots 7 10 2 3 3 25 James Hacket '26
Pia Streuli '28
Falmouth High School (ME) Falmouth High School (ME) Navigators 6 5 8 8 1 28 Wilson Langston '25
Beck Langston '27
St. John Paul II School St. John Paul II School Lions 8 7 3 4 11 33 Izzy Morris '27
Donovan Hegner '25
Greely High School - Maine Greely High School - Maine Rangers 4 6 7 11 7 35 Hunter Weiss '26
Anca Jacobs '28
Yarmouth High School Yarmouth High School Clippers 5 9 5 6 10 35 Reid Garofoli '27 [1-5]
Syrin Hassan '27 [1-4]
Myah Hassan '25 [5]
Cape Elizabeth High School Cape Elizabeth High School Capers 12 8 6 5 6 37 Gabe Tourangeau '27
Luca Kleeman '27
Camden Hills RHS Camden Hills RHS Varsity 9 3 11 9 8 40 Charles Conover '25
Oliver Lee '26
Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs 10 4 10 12 9 45 Harriet Mishkin '25
Clem Dean '26
Sacred Heart Greenwich Sacred Heart Greenwich Tigers 11 12 12 10 12 57 Caitlin Dean '26 [1-2]
Leighton Appleman '28 [3-4]
Giustina Lowenstine '28 [5]
Emily Shull '25 [1-2]
Lily Fitzpatrick '26 [3-4]
Molly Chute '27 [5]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Lincoln Academy Lincoln Academy Eagles 1 1 2 3 3 10 Griffin Chace '26 [1-5]
Noah Arbuckle '25 [1-2]
Cullen Cox '27 [3-5]
East Greenwich High School East Greenwich High School Avengers 4 6 1 1 10 22 Milo Baumgartner '25
Isaac Kaldor '25
Portsmouth High School RI Portsmouth High School RI Patriots 3 3 9 2 6 23 Nehuel Armenanzas '25
Elena Sun '25
Falmouth High School (ME) Falmouth High School (ME) Navigators 5 2 5 6 8 26 William Kelley '25 [1-5]
Ian Doherty '25 [1-2, 5]
Benjamin Gelchinsky '25 [3-4]
Greely High School - Maine Greely High School - Maine Rangers 7 4 7 4 4 26 Alex Wharton '25
Jack Chmielewski '25
Yarmouth High School Yarmouth High School Clippers 2 5 10 7 7 31 Maxwell Miller '28 [1-4]
Eliana Goldman '26 [5]
Eva Goldman '28 [1-4]
Myah Hassan '25 [5]
Cape Elizabeth High School Cape Elizabeth High School Capers 8 9 3 8 5 33 Ruby Mcgonigal '28
Duke Lalwer '27
Camden Hills RHS Camden Hills RHS Varsity 6 7 8 5 9 35 Elliot Condon '25
Teague Buchanan '26
Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs 10 11 4 9 1 35 Adrian Jenkins '28
Tray Miller '26
Sacred Heart Greenwich Sacred Heart Greenwich Tigers 9 8 6 10 DNF 46 Avery Quake '26 [1-2]
Caitlin Dean '26 [3-4]
Gabrielle Arredondo '27 [5]
Ava Clear '25 [1-2]
Emily Shull '25 [3-4]
Frankie Hinton '27 [5]
St. John Paul II School St. John Paul II School Lions 11 10 12 11 2 46 Florence Carlson '28
Anthony Cacciatore '28
Oceanside High School Oceanside High School Mariners 12 12 11 12 11 58 Sarah Vallance '26
Joshua Placides '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.200+0.20
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2019 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Camden Hills RHSCamden Hills RHS Varsity11335
Cape Elizabeth High SchoolCape Elizabeth High School Capers22446
East Greenwich High SchoolEast Greenwich High School Avengers33557
Falmouth High School (ME)Falmouth High School (ME) Navigators44668
Greely High School - MaineGreely High School - Maine Rangers55779
Lincoln AcademyLincoln Academy Eagles668810
Oceanside High SchoolOceanside High School Mariners779911
St. John Paul II SchoolSt. John Paul II School Lions1111113
Portland High SchoolPortland High School Bulldogs88101012
Portsmouth High School RIPortsmouth High School RI Patriots9911111
Sacred Heart GreenwichSacred Heart Greenwich Tigers101012122
Yarmouth High SchoolYarmouth High School Clippers1212224

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Camden Hills RHSCamden Hills RHS Varsity22446
Cape Elizabeth High SchoolCape Elizabeth High School Capers33557
East Greenwich High SchoolEast Greenwich High School Avengers44668
Falmouth High School (ME)Falmouth High School (ME) Navigators55779
Greely High School - MaineGreely High School - Maine Rangers668810
Lincoln AcademyLincoln Academy Eagles779911
Oceanside High SchoolOceanside High School Mariners88101012
St. John Paul II SchoolSt. John Paul II School Lions1212224
Portland High SchoolPortland High School Bulldogs9911111
Portsmouth High School RIPortsmouth High School RI Patriots101012122
Sacred Heart GreenwichSacred Heart Greenwich Tigers1111113
Yarmouth High SchoolYarmouth High School Clippers11335
School / Team SkipperCrew
Camden Hills RHS Camden Hills RHS Charles Conover '25 Oliver Lee '26
Varsity Elliot Condon '25 Teague Buchanan '26
Cape Elizabeth High School Cape Elizabeth High School Gabe Tourangeau '27 Luca Kleeman '27
Capers Ruby Mcgonigal '28 Duke Lalwer '27
East Greenwich High School East Greenwich High School Colin Auvil '26 Harper Kelley '25
Avengers Milo Baumgartner '25 Isaac Kaldor '25
Falmouth High School (ME) Falmouth High School (ME) Wilson Langston '25 Beck Langston '27
Navigators William Kelley '25 [1-5] Ian Doherty '25 [1-2, 5]
Benjamin Gelchinsky '25 [3-4]
Greely High School - Maine Greely High School - Maine Hunter Weiss '26 Anca Jacobs '28
Rangers Alex Wharton '25 Jack Chmielewski '25
Lincoln Academy Lincoln Academy Otto Schoenthal '25 [1-5] Charley Carelton '28 [1-4]
Camden Peck '27 [5]
Eagles Griffin Chace '26 [1-5] Noah Arbuckle '25 [1-2]
Cullen Cox '27 [3-5]
Oceanside High School Oceanside High School Henri Weymouth '26 Henry Ackor '26
Mariners Sarah Vallance '26 Joshua Placides '25
Portland High School Portland High School Harriet Mishkin '25 Clem Dean '26
Bulldogs Adrian Jenkins '28 Tray Miller '26
Portsmouth High School RI Portsmouth High School RI James Hacket '26 Pia Streuli '28
Patriots Nehuel Armenanzas '25 Elena Sun '25
Sacred Heart Greenwich Sacred Heart Greenwich Caitlin Dean '26 [1-2]
Leighton Appleman '28 [3-4]
Giustina Lowenstine '28 [5]
Emily Shull '25 [1-2]
Lily Fitzpatrick '26 [3-4]
Molly Chute '27 [5]
Tigers Avery Quake '26 [1-2]
Caitlin Dean '26 [3-4]
Gabrielle Arredondo '27 [5]
Ava Clear '25 [1-2]
Emily Shull '25 [3-4]
Frankie Hinton '27 [5]
St. John Paul II School St. John Paul II School Izzy Morris '27 Donovan Hegner '25
Lions Florence Carlson '28 Anthony Cacciatore '28
Yarmouth High School Yarmouth High School Reid Garofoli '27 [1-5] Syrin Hassan '27 [1-4]
Myah Hassan '25 [5]
Clippers Maxwell Miller '28 [1-4]
Eliana Goldman '26 [5]
Eva Goldman '28 [1-4]
Myah Hassan '25 [5]

Conditions — 05/10/2025 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 41%  ·  Pressure 1016.8 hPa

Temperature

64°F
↑ 67°F   ↓ 54°F
Feels like 59°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.8 kn
avg  ·  max 6.3 kn
Gusts to 18.1 kn
From SSW (207°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover95% Sunshine9.3 hrs Humidity41% Pressure1016.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 11 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Portland: an underdogs’ day (−0.07)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.32 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Portland by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 5 labelled days at Portland, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →