Fairfield Ludlowe High School '27
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.64 (fleet 1.10) | 188 of 231 | −0.04 ± 0.16 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 25–29 (46%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 | 3 | 16–19 | — |
| Spring 2025 | 2 | 9–10 | — |
Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 5 graded regattas (54 matches) the record is 25–29 against 28.7 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−3.7). 1 regatta clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 4 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 5 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | National Invitational Tournament (Founders Trophy) | skipper | 0.93 | -0.10 | 6–10 | 8.5 | −1.04 | 1.4 | 95% |
| 2026-05-02 | 2026 NESSA Team Racing Tournament (Terk Trophy) | skipper | 0.74 | 1.75 | 9–5 | 6.8 | +1.01 | 1.2 | 16% |
| 2026-04-29 | FCSL 2026 Gold Cup | skipper | 0.82 | -0.38 | 1–4 | 1.5 | −1.20 | 0.4 | 93% |
| 2025-05-03 | NESSA Team Racing Tournament (Terk Trophy) | skipper | 0.99 | 0.10 | 8–6 | 10.0 | −0.89 | 1.0 | 94% |
| 2025-04-30 | FCSL 2025 Gold Cup | skipper | 1.02 | -0.32 | 1–4 | 1.8 | −1.34 | 0.6 | 93% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| 2026 NESSA Team Racing Tournament (Terk Trophy) | Skipper | TR | 14 | 64% | — |
| National Invitational Tournament (Founders Trophy) | Skipper | TR | 16 | 38% | — |
| FCSL 2026 Gold Cup | Skipper | TR | 5 | 20% | — |
| CT States 2026 | Skipper | A | 6 | 10.7 | 0.77 |
| Fall 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Tabor Fall Invite - e420 | Skipper | A | 4 | 9.5 | 1.56 |
| Roy Williams Invitational | Skipper | A | 8 | 11.8 | 0.98 |
| NESSA Great Oaks Qualifier | Skipper | A | 3 | 5.0 | 1.14 |
| Fall FunFest | Skipper | A | 3 | 11.3 | 0.71 |
| 2025 Catholic Cup | Skipper | A | 5 | 2.2 | -0.24 |
| Spring 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| NESSA Team Racing Tournament (Terk Trophy) | Skipper | TR | 14 | 57% | — |
| NESSA Fleet Racing Championship (O'Day Trophy) | Skipper | B | 2 | 12.5 | 0.48 |
| FCSL 2025 Gold Cup | Skipper | TR | 5 | 20% | — |
| CT States | Skipper | A | 3 | 9.3 | 0.39 |
| Fall 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Tabor Fall Invite - 420 | Skipper | B | 4 | 7.5 | 0.77 |
| Roy Williams Invitational Regatta | Skipper | B | 7 | 8.4 | 1.31 |
| ISSA Great Oaks Invitational Silver | Skipper | A | 9 | 4.3 | 1.33 |
| Catholic Cup | Crew | A | 6 | 3.2 | -0.18 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
To have this profile removed, email quinnbrighton2005@gmail.com.
