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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Greens Farms Academy Greens Farms Academy Dragons 13 9 22
2 Fairfield Ludlowe High School Fairfield Ludlowe High School Falcons 19 16 35
3 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 29 14 43
4 Weston High School Weston High School Trojans 29 30 59
5 Guilford High School Guilford High School Grizzlies 16 47 63
6 Staples High School Staples High School Wreckers 37 29 66
7 Xavier High School Xavier High School Xavier High Falcons 37 33 70
8 Warriors Warriors Warriors 39 46 85
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Greens Farms Academy Greens Farms Academy Dragons 1 2 1 1 7 1 13 Emmet Ennico '25
Skylar Dreas '26
Guilford High School Guilford High School Grizzlies 3 4 2 3 2 2 16 Carter Mikolay '28
Legare Schutz '28
Fairfield Ludlowe High School Fairfield Ludlowe High School Falcons 4 3 5 2 1 4 19 Bradley Kirkpatrick '25
Reid Smith '27
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 2 1 4 4 DNS DNS 29 Hayden Pyle '28
Ethan Lucas '25
Weston High School Weston High School Trojans 8 6 3 6 3 3 29 Hannah Austin '27
Glen Kopis '26
Staples High School Staples High School Wreckers 5 8 DSQ 5 5 5 37 Mark Adipietro '25
John Palmer '26
Xavier High School Xavier High School Xavier High Falcons 6 7 6 8 4 6 37 James Aronson '25
Gavin Peterson '25
Warriors Warriors Warriors 7 5 7 7 6 7 39
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Greens Farms Academy Greens Farms Academy Dragons 1 1 1 3 2 1 9 Avery Beck '27
Caroline Collins '26
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 2 3 2 2 1 4 14 Madeleine Carr '27
Kay Wetmore '27
Fairfield Ludlowe High School Fairfield Ludlowe High School Falcons 3 2 5 1 3 2 16 Cameron Cooleen '26
Maeve Kenney '28
Staples High School Staples High School Wreckers 5 5 4 5 5 5 29 Grace Sinclair '26
Annabelle Lott '25
Weston High School Weston High School Trojans 4 DSQ 6 4 4 3 30 William Walker '26
James Krichavsky '27
Xavier High School Xavier High School Xavier High Falcons 6 6 3 6 6 6 33 Oliver Snow '25
Cooper Harrison '27
Warriors Warriors Warriors 8 4 7 OCS OCS OCS 46
Guilford High School Guilford High School Grizzlies 7 7 8 7 DNS DNS 47 Andrew Meyer '28
Lyra Monaco '26
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2024 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Fairfield Ludlowe High SchoolFairfield Ludlowe High School Falcons101012121414
Greens Farms AcademyGreens Farms Academy Dragons111113131515
Guilford High SchoolGuilford High School Grizzlies121214141616
Staples High SchoolStaples High School Wreckers131315151717
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves141416161010
Weston High SchoolWeston High School Trojans151517171111
WarriorsWarriors Warriors161610101212
Xavier High SchoolXavier High School Xavier High Falcons171711111313

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Fairfield Ludlowe High SchoolFairfield Ludlowe High School Falcons111113131515
Greens Farms AcademyGreens Farms Academy Dragons121214141616
Guilford High SchoolGuilford High School Grizzlies131315151717
Staples High SchoolStaples High School Wreckers141416161010
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves151517171111
Weston High SchoolWeston High School Trojans161610101212
WarriorsWarriors Warriors171711111313
Xavier High SchoolXavier High School Xavier High Falcons101012121414

Conditions — 10/12/2024 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 39%  ·  Pressure 1012.1 hPa

Temperature

69°F
↑ 72°F   ↓ 62°F
Feels like 63°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.8 kn
avg  ·  max 11.1 kn
Gusts to 24.3 kn
From WNW (298°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover7% Sunshine10.9 hrs Humidity39% Pressure1012.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 12 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Fairfield Ludlowe: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.13 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.13
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.06 ± 0.20)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Fairfield Ludlowe by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Fairfield Ludlowe, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →