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Tabor Fall Invite - 420

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves - Red 12 17 29
2 Greens Farms Academy Greens Farms Academy Dragons 1 35 9 44
3 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves - White 30 30 60
4 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves - Blue 21 41 62
5 St. George's School St. George's School Dragons 1 24 40 64
6 Barrington High School Barrington High School Eagles 29 47 76
7 St. George's School St. George's School Dragons 2 44 36 80
8 Greens Farms Academy Greens Farms Academy Dragons 2 49 48 97
9 Marblehead High School Marblehead High School Fishwagons 66 MRP 33 MRP 99 MRP
10 Marthas Vineyard RHS Marthas Vineyard RHS Vineyarders 33 66 99
11 Hingham High School Hingham High School Habormen 50 49 99
12 Duxbury High School Duxbury High School Dragons 2 43 63 106
13 Fairfield Ludlowe High School Fairfield Ludlowe High School Falcons 74 38 112
14 East Greenwich High School East Greenwich High School Avengers 68 50 118
15 Sharon High School Sharon High School Eagles 70 58 128
16 Duxbury High School Duxbury High School Dragons 1 62 71 133
17 Cape Cod Academy Cape Cod Academy Seahawks 84 77 161
18 Champlain VUHS Champlain VUHS Varsity 84 90 174
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves - Red 1 1 5 1 4 12 Peter Herlihy '25
Theo Binder '25
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves - Blue 2 8 2 4 5 21 Eliza Corral '25
Hanna Anderson '26
St. George's School St. George's School Dragons 1 4 5 4 2 9 24 Georgia Shuster '25
Daphne Walsh '27
Barrington High School Barrington High School Eagles 5 6 8 7 3 29 Duffy Macaulay '27 [1-5]
Quin Schneider '25 [1-2, 5]
Ellery Kloc '26 [3-4]
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves - White 6 11 1 6 6 30 Jack Spillane '25
Leo Lothian '28
Marthas Vineyard RHS Marthas Vineyard RHS Vineyarders 7 7 9 8 2 33 Jack Schneider '25 [1-5]
Madelyn Crowell '27 [1-2]
Nicholas Merriam '26 [3-5]
Greens Farms Academy Greens Farms Academy Dragons 1 13 2 7 12 1 35 Glen Foster '26
Skylar Dreas '26
Duxbury High School Duxbury High School Dragons 2 8 3 6 15 11 43 Vaughan Knecht '25
Will Skypeck '26
St. George's School St. George's School Dragons 2 10 9 12 3 10 44 Sadie Bolton '26
Claire Hackel '27
Greens Farms Academy Greens Farms Academy Dragons 2 11 4 11 9 14 49 Avery Beck '27
Alec Crum '27
Hingham High School Hingham High School Habormen 12 12 3 5 18 50 Caroline O'Hara '25
Jessica Scipione '27
Duxbury High School Duxbury High School Dragons 1 OCS 13 13 10 7 62 Derek Kirby '25
Abigail Weekly '25
Marblehead High School Marblehead High School Fishwagons 3 10 10 11 12 66 MRP No Show
No Show
East Greenwich High School East Greenwich High School Avengers 9 14 15 14 16 68 Davis Collette '26
Isaac Kaldor '25
Sharon High School Sharon High School Eagles 14 16 16 16 8 70 Sage Kamocsay '25
Sanjana Jadhav '25
Fairfield Ludlowe High School Fairfield Ludlowe High School Falcons 17 15 14 13 15 74 Luke Demartino '27
Maeve Kenney '28
Champlain VUHS Champlain VUHS Varsity 15 OCS 18 OCS 13 84 Dash Miller '29
Ethan Metayer '25
Cape Cod Academy Cape Cod Academy Seahawks 16 17 17 17 17 84 Noah Belson '25 [1-4]
Jemma Meadows '25 [5]
Sara Zhong '28 [1-2]
Cynthia Zhen '27 [3-5]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Greens Farms Academy Greens Farms Academy Dragons 1 1 5 1 1 1 9 Emmet Ennico '25
Caroline Collins '26
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves - Red 2 1 2 7 5 17 Sander Skaane '27 [1-2]
Abby Wei '27 [3-5]
Elinor Grant '27 [1-2]
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves - White 5 9 5 5 6 30 Claudia Bria '28 [1-2]
Grayden Mott '25 [3-5]
Morgan Whitlock '25 [1-2]
Hayden Pyle '28 [3-5]
Marblehead High School Marblehead High School Fishwagons 4 2 3 2 2 33 MRP No Show
No Show
St. George's School St. George's School Dragons 2 7 6 8 6 9 36 Jack Gaynor '27
Alina Pacheco '28
Fairfield Ludlowe High School Fairfield Ludlowe High School Falcons 3 RDG 4 15 8 38 Reid Smith '27
Josh Stupak '26
St. George's School St. George's School Dragons 1 10 7 7 9 7 40 Norris Brookes '28
Johnny Malkani '28
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves - Blue 11 RDG 6 4 12 41 Maria Castle '25 [1-2]
Myles Olney '25 [3-5]
Charlotte Eberly '27 [1-2]
Campbell Carr '25 [3-5]
Barrington High School Barrington High School Eagles 6 4 13 10 14 47 Moses Densley '25 [1-2]
Briella Weimer '26 [3-5]
Abby Guertler '25 [1-2]
Greens Farms Academy Greens Farms Academy Dragons 2 9 13 9 13 4 48 Colin Verrengia '27
Ollie Ennico '28
Hingham High School Hingham High School Habormen 8 8 11 12 10 49 Chris Hoppe '25
Logan De Laar '26
East Greenwich High School East Greenwich High School Avengers 12 3 16 3 16 50 Sophia Joyce '27 [1-5]
Cailin Tolppa '26 [1-2]
Griffin Mason '28 [3-5]
Sharon High School Sharon High School Eagles 17 10 10 8 13 58 Arthur Do '25 [1-2]
Thomas Ha '26 [3-5]
Henry Comeau '25 [1-2]
Ray Luo '25 [3-5]
Duxbury High School Duxbury High School Dragons 2 13 14 14 11 11 63 Kylie Gallagher '25
Nicholas Bueche '25
Marthas Vineyard RHS Marthas Vineyard RHS Vineyarders 15 17 15 16 3 66 Odin Robinson '27 [1-2]
Madelyn Crowell '27 [3-5]
William Simmons '26 [1-2]
Duxbury High School Duxbury High School Dragons 1 16 11 12 17 15 71 Anya Schabort '26
Efstathios Amoratis '25
Cape Cod Academy Cape Cod Academy Seahawks 14 15 17 14 17 77 Nick Kowaleski '25
Jemma Meadows '25
Champlain VUHS Champlain VUHS Varsity 18 18 18 18 18 90 Allen Timmons '27
Hudson Tippett '27
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2024 (8 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Barrington High SchoolBarrington High School Eagles11335
Cape Cod AcademyCape Cod Academy Seahawks22446
Champlain VUHSChamplain VUHS Varsity33557
Duxbury High SchoolDuxbury High School Dragons 144668
Duxbury High SchoolDuxbury High School Dragons 255779
East Greenwich High SchoolEast Greenwich High School Avengers668810
Fairfield Ludlowe High SchoolFairfield Ludlowe High School Falcons779911
Greens Farms AcademyGreens Farms Academy Dragons 188101012
Greens Farms AcademyGreens Farms Academy Dragons 299111113
Hingham High SchoolHingham High School Habormen1010121214
Marblehead High SchoolMarblehead High School Fishwagons1111131315
Marthas Vineyard RHSMarthas Vineyard RHS Vineyarders1212141416
Sharon High SchoolSharon High School Eagles1313151517
St. George's SchoolSt. George's School Dragons 11414161618
St. George's SchoolSt. George's School Dragons 2151517171
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves - Blue1717113
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves - Red161618182
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves - White1818224

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Barrington High SchoolBarrington High School Eagles22446
Cape Cod AcademyCape Cod Academy Seahawks33557
Champlain VUHSChamplain VUHS Varsity44668
Duxbury High SchoolDuxbury High School Dragons 155779
Duxbury High SchoolDuxbury High School Dragons 2668810
East Greenwich High SchoolEast Greenwich High School Avengers779911
Fairfield Ludlowe High SchoolFairfield Ludlowe High School Falcons88101012
Greens Farms AcademyGreens Farms Academy Dragons 199111113
Greens Farms AcademyGreens Farms Academy Dragons 21010121214
Hingham High SchoolHingham High School Habormen1111131315
Marblehead High SchoolMarblehead High School Fishwagons1212141416
Marthas Vineyard RHSMarthas Vineyard RHS Vineyarders1313151517
Sharon High SchoolSharon High School Eagles1414161618
St. George's SchoolSt. George's School Dragons 1151517171
St. George's SchoolSt. George's School Dragons 2161618182
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves - Blue1818224
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves - Red1717113
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves - White11335
School / Team SkipperCrew
Barrington High School Barrington High School Duffy Macaulay '27 [1-5] Quin Schneider '25 [1-2, 5]
Ellery Kloc '26 [3-4]
Eagles Moses Densley '25 [1-2]
Briella Weimer '26 [3-5]		 Abby Guertler '25 [1-2]
Cape Cod Academy Cape Cod Academy Noah Belson '25 [1-4]
Jemma Meadows '25 [5]		 Sara Zhong '28 [1-2]
Cynthia Zhen '27 [3-5]
Seahawks Nick Kowaleski '25 Jemma Meadows '25
Champlain VUHS Champlain VUHS Dash Miller '29 Ethan Metayer '25
Varsity Allen Timmons '27 Hudson Tippett '27
Duxbury High School Duxbury High School Derek Kirby '25 Abigail Weekly '25
Dragons 1 Anya Schabort '26 Efstathios Amoratis '25
Duxbury High School Duxbury High School Vaughan Knecht '25 Will Skypeck '26
Dragons 2 Kylie Gallagher '25 Nicholas Bueche '25
East Greenwich High School East Greenwich High School Davis Collette '26 Isaac Kaldor '25
Avengers Sophia Joyce '27 [1-5] Cailin Tolppa '26 [1-2]
Griffin Mason '28 [3-5]
Fairfield Ludlowe High School Fairfield Ludlowe High School Luke Demartino '27 Maeve Kenney '28
Falcons Reid Smith '27 Josh Stupak '26
Greens Farms Academy Greens Farms Academy Glen Foster '26 Skylar Dreas '26
Dragons 1 Emmet Ennico '25 Caroline Collins '26
Greens Farms Academy Greens Farms Academy Avery Beck '27 Alec Crum '27
Dragons 2 Colin Verrengia '27 Ollie Ennico '28
Hingham High School Hingham High School Caroline O'Hara '25 Jessica Scipione '27
Habormen Chris Hoppe '25 Logan De Laar '26
Marblehead High School Marblehead High School No Show No Show
Fishwagons No Show No Show
Marthas Vineyard RHS Marthas Vineyard RHS Jack Schneider '25 [1-5] Madelyn Crowell '27 [1-2]
Nicholas Merriam '26 [3-5]
Vineyarders Odin Robinson '27 [1-2]
Madelyn Crowell '27 [3-5]		 William Simmons '26 [1-2]
Sharon High School Sharon High School Sage Kamocsay '25 Sanjana Jadhav '25
Eagles Arthur Do '25 [1-2]
Thomas Ha '26 [3-5]		 Henry Comeau '25 [1-2]
Ray Luo '25 [3-5]
St. George's School St. George's School Georgia Shuster '25 Daphne Walsh '27
Dragons 1 Norris Brookes '28 Johnny Malkani '28
St. George's School St. George's School Sadie Bolton '26 Claire Hackel '27
Dragons 2 Jack Gaynor '27 Alina Pacheco '28
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Eliza Corral '25 Hanna Anderson '26
Seawolves - Blue Maria Castle '25 [1-2]
Myles Olney '25 [3-5]		 Charlotte Eberly '27 [1-2]
Campbell Carr '25 [3-5]
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Peter Herlihy '25 Theo Binder '25
Seawolves - Red Sander Skaane '27 [1-2]
Abby Wei '27 [3-5]		 Elinor Grant '27 [1-2]
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Jack Spillane '25 Leo Lothian '28
Seawolves - White Claudia Bria '28 [1-2]
Grayden Mott '25 [3-5]		 Morgan Whitlock '25 [1-2]
Hayden Pyle '28 [3-5]

Conditions — 10/19/2024 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 59%  ·  Pressure 1031.9 hPa

Temperature

58°F
↑ 64°F   ↓ 46°F
Feels like 55°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.5 kn
avg  ·  max 5.5 kn
Gusts to 12.2 kn
From SW (224°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine10.8 hrs Humidity59% Pressure1031.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Tabor Academy: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.20)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.03 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.16
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.11 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.20 means a rating gap counts about 17% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Tabor Academy by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 6 labelled days at Tabor Academy, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →