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2025 Arnold Brown Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 St. George's School St. George's School Dragons 8 29 37
2 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 25 21 46
3 Marblehead High School Marblehead High School Fishwagons 31 23 54
4 Yarmouth High School Yarmouth High School Clippers 31 32 63
5 East Greenwich High School East Greenwich High School Avengers 42 27 69
6 Cape Cod Academy Cape Cod Academy Seahawks 45 31 76
7 Sharon High School Sharon High School Eagles 32 45 77
8 Hingham High School Hingham High School Harborwomen 42 42 84
9 Duxbury High School Duxbury High School Dragons 47 45 92
10 Greely High School - Maine Greely High School - Maine Rangers 52 57 109
11 Falmouth High School, MA Falmouth High School, MA Clippers 59 54 113
12 Marthas Vineyard RHS Marthas Vineyard RHS Vineyarders 54 62 116
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
St. George's School St. George's School Dragons 1 2 1 2 1 1 8 Amelon Rule '26
Avery Peterson '26
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 2 1 2 3 6 11 25 Patrick Tomlinson '28
Leo Lothian '28
Yarmouth High School Yarmouth High School Clippers 7 7 3 5 5 4 31 Reid Garofoli '27
Syrin Hassan '27
Marblehead High School Marblehead High School Fishwagons 8 3 6 1 3 10 31 Db Murray '26
Tyler Dana '26
Sharon High School Sharon High School Eagles 6 6 4 6 8 2 32 Ethan Huang '26
Rachel Wen '27
East Greenwich High School East Greenwich High School Avengers 3 4 5 8 10 12 42 Colin Auvil '26
Davis Collette '26
Hingham High School Hingham High School Harborwomen 5 10 8 10 4 5 42 Nora Synnott '27
Grace Mahoney '28
Cape Cod Academy Cape Cod Academy Seahawks 12 9 11 4 2 7 45 Lydia Stanney '27
Alex Herman '26
Duxbury High School Duxbury High School Dragons 10 8 10 7 9 3 47 Anya Schabort '26 [1-2]
Jack Bailey-Gates '28 [3-6]
Will Skypeck '26 [1-2]
Conor Gleason '28 [3-6]
Greely High School - Maine Greely High School - Maine Rangers 11 5 9 11 7 9 52 Hunter Weiss '26
Evelyn Lacasse '27
Marthas Vineyard RHS Marthas Vineyard RHS Vineyarders 9 11 7 9 12 6 54 Madelyn Crowell '27 [1-6]
Nicholas Merriam '26 [1-4]
Pickle Eville '26 [5-6]
Falmouth High School, MA Falmouth High School, MA Clippers 4 12 12 12 11 8 59 Kunio Saito '26 [1-6]
Maisie Chase '26 [1-4]
Caleb Villanueva '28 [5-6]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 7 1 2 2 5 4 21 Ben Glennon '28
Charlotte Eberly '27
Marblehead High School Marblehead High School Fishwagons 1 8 4 6 1 3 23 Thomas Svencer '26
Grafton Hamilton '28
East Greenwich High School East Greenwich High School Avengers 2 3 5 8 4 5 27 Griffin Mason '28
Sophia Joyce '27
St. George's School St. George's School Dragons 9 7 1 1 10 1 29 Sadie Bolton '26
Isabelle Getchell '26
Cape Cod Academy Cape Cod Academy Seahawks 4 2 3 7 8 7 31 Max Wesp '26
Alexandra Parker '28
Yarmouth High School Yarmouth High School Clippers 5 6 6 4 9 2 32 Maxwell Miller '28 [1-6]
Eva Goldman '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Eliana Goldman '26 [3-4]
Hingham High School Hingham High School Harborwomen 3 5 9 5 11 9 42 Audrey Smith '26
Sally Egan '27
Sharon High School Sharon High School Eagles 6 12 7 3 6 11 45 Thomas Ha '26 [1-2]
Nathan Pitha '27 [3-6]
Maia Muzio '27 [1-2]
Alex Ng '27 [3-6]
Duxbury High School Duxbury High School Dragons 12 4 11 10 2 6 45 Clara Destenaves '27 [1-4]
Colton Petronaci '28 [5-6]
Colton Petronaci '28 [1-4]
Will Skypeck '26 [5-6]
Falmouth High School, MA Falmouth High School, MA Clippers 8 11 8 12 7 8 54 Lillian Karl '27 [1]
Leah Campbell '27 [2]
Kaden Matthias '28 [3-6]
Leah Campbell '27 [1]
Lillian Karl '27 [2]
Lilly Allietta '28 [3-6]
Greely High School - Maine Greely High School - Maine Rangers 11 10 12 11 3 10 57 Tristan Wessel '29 [1-6]
Amelia Wnek '28 [1-4]
Owen Mcallister '26 [5-6]
Marthas Vineyard RHS Marthas Vineyard RHS Vineyarders 10 9 10 9 12 12 62 William Simmons '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Declan Mccarthy '28 [3-4]
Pickle Eville '26 [1-2]
Emmett Taylor '28 [3-6]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.150+0.15
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2024 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Cape Cod AcademyCape Cod Academy Seahawks113355
Duxbury High SchoolDuxbury High School Dragons224466
East Greenwich High SchoolEast Greenwich High School Avengers335577
Falmouth High School, MAFalmouth High School, MA Clippers446688
Greely High School - MaineGreely High School - Maine Rangers557799
Hingham High SchoolHingham High School Harborwomen66881010
Marblehead High SchoolMarblehead High School Fishwagons77991111
Marthas Vineyard RHSMarthas Vineyard RHS Vineyarders8810101212
Sharon High SchoolSharon High School Eagles99111111
St. George's SchoolSt. George's School Dragons1010121222
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves11111133
Yarmouth High SchoolYarmouth High School Clippers12122244

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Cape Cod AcademyCape Cod Academy Seahawks224466
Duxbury High SchoolDuxbury High School Dragons335577
East Greenwich High SchoolEast Greenwich High School Avengers446688
Falmouth High School, MAFalmouth High School, MA Clippers557799
Greely High School - MaineGreely High School - Maine Rangers66881010
Hingham High SchoolHingham High School Harborwomen77991111
Marblehead High SchoolMarblehead High School Fishwagons8810101212
Marthas Vineyard RHSMarthas Vineyard RHS Vineyarders99111111
Sharon High SchoolSharon High School Eagles1010121222
St. George's SchoolSt. George's School Dragons11111133
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves12122244
Yarmouth High SchoolYarmouth High School Clippers113355
School / Team SkipperCrew
Cape Cod Academy Cape Cod Academy Lydia Stanney '27 Alex Herman '26
Seahawks Max Wesp '26 Alexandra Parker '28
Duxbury High School Duxbury High School Anya Schabort '26 [1-2]
Jack Bailey-Gates '28 [3-6]		 Will Skypeck '26 [1-2]
Conor Gleason '28 [3-6]
Dragons Clara Destenaves '27 [1-4]
Colton Petronaci '28 [5-6]		 Colton Petronaci '28 [1-4]
Will Skypeck '26 [5-6]
East Greenwich High School East Greenwich High School Colin Auvil '26 Davis Collette '26
Avengers Griffin Mason '28 Sophia Joyce '27
Falmouth High School, MA Falmouth High School, MA Kunio Saito '26 [1-6] Maisie Chase '26 [1-4]
Caleb Villanueva '28 [5-6]
Clippers Lillian Karl '27 [1]
Leah Campbell '27 [2]
Kaden Matthias '28 [3-6]		 Leah Campbell '27 [1]
Lillian Karl '27 [2]
Lilly Allietta '28 [3-6]
Greely High School - Maine Greely High School - Maine Hunter Weiss '26 Evelyn Lacasse '27
Rangers Tristan Wessel '29 [1-6] Amelia Wnek '28 [1-4]
Owen Mcallister '26 [5-6]
Hingham High School Hingham High School Nora Synnott '27 Grace Mahoney '28
Harborwomen Audrey Smith '26 Sally Egan '27
Marblehead High School Marblehead High School Db Murray '26 Tyler Dana '26
Fishwagons Thomas Svencer '26 Grafton Hamilton '28
Marthas Vineyard RHS Marthas Vineyard RHS Madelyn Crowell '27 [1-6] Nicholas Merriam '26 [1-4]
Pickle Eville '26 [5-6]
Vineyarders William Simmons '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Declan Mccarthy '28 [3-4]		 Pickle Eville '26 [1-2]
Emmett Taylor '28 [3-6]
Sharon High School Sharon High School Ethan Huang '26 Rachel Wen '27
Eagles Thomas Ha '26 [1-2]
Nathan Pitha '27 [3-6]		 Maia Muzio '27 [1-2]
Alex Ng '27 [3-6]
St. George's School St. George's School Amelon Rule '26 Avery Peterson '26
Dragons Sadie Bolton '26 Isabelle Getchell '26
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Patrick Tomlinson '28 Leo Lothian '28
Seawolves Ben Glennon '28 Charlotte Eberly '27
Yarmouth High School Yarmouth High School Reid Garofoli '27 Syrin Hassan '27
Clippers Maxwell Miller '28 [1-6] Eva Goldman '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Eliana Goldman '26 [3-4]

Conditions — 09/13/2025 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 64%  ·  Pressure 1020.5 hPa

Temperature

65°F
↑ 68°F   ↓ 60°F
Feels like 65°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.8 kn
avg  ·  max 6.6 kn
Gusts to 14.2 kn
From ESE (120°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover5% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity64% Pressure1020.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Marthas Vineyard Reg: an underdogs’ day (−0.05)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.03 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.02
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.30 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Marthas Vineyard Reg by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Marthas Vineyard Reg, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →