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O'Day Qualifier @ Hyannis

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 19 16 35
2 Belmont Hill School Belmont Hill School Varsity 62 43 105
3 Hingham High School Hingham High School Hingham 59 48 107
4 East Greenwich High School East Greenwich High School Avengers 65 51 116
5 St. John Paul II School St. John Paul II School Varsity 69 52 121
6 Marthas Vineyard RHS Marthas Vineyard RHS Vineyarders 53 75 128
7 Dover Sherborn RHS Dover Sherborn RHS Varsity 64 90 154
8 North Kingstown High School North Kingstown High School Skippers 67 88 155
9 Barnstable HS Barnstable HS Raiders 86 77 163
10 Newton Country Day School Newton Country Day School Falcons 79 87 166
11 Falmouth High School, MA Falmouth High School, MA Clippers 104 100 204
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 7 3 1 1 19 Wyatt Bischoff '23 [1-11]
Carter Riggs '22 [1-10]
Young Hu '22 [11]
Marthas Vineyard RHS Marthas Vineyard RHS Vineyarders 11 4 5 4 5 2 9 1 2 2 8 53 Sam Riley '23 [1-11]
Jocelyn Balinuas '24 [1-4]
Griffin Stead '23 [5-11]
Hingham High School Hingham High School Hingham 3 5 2 6 10 5 6 4 6 5 7 59 Ethan Burt '22 [1-2, 5-8, 11]
Julia Scipione '25 [3-4, 9-10]
Gabe Synnott '24 [1-2, 5-8]
Caroline O'Hara '25 [3-4, 9-10]
Carter Driggs '28 [11]
Belmont Hill School Belmont Hill School Varsity 2 3 11 10 4 8 4 3 10 3 4 62 Quinn Healey '23
Michael Salvatore '23
Dover Sherborn RHS Dover Sherborn RHS Varsity 4 2 6 5 8 3 2 8 7 9 10 64 Abby Wayne '23 [1-11]
Charlotte Buehler '22 [1-8, 11]
Yasi Nee '25 [9-10]
East Greenwich High School East Greenwich High School Avengers 6 7 10 7 2 4 3 5 5 7 9 65 Zachary Amelotte '23
Mara Oancea '23
North Kingstown High School North Kingstown High School Skippers 10 6 4 8 3 6 10 2 8 4 6 67 Marykate Hanus '24
Olivia Soucy '24
St. John Paul II School St. John Paul II School Varsity 9 9 3 2 6 9 5 9 9 6 2 69 Sophie Menyhart '23
Allison Coursey '25
Newton Country Day School Newton Country Day School Falcons 8 11 8 9 11 7 7 6 1 8 3 79 Jane Mathews '22
Caroline Meckel '24
Barnstable HS Barnstable HS Raiders 7 8 7 3 9 11 11 11 4 10 5 86 Allison Nystrom '22 [1-6, 8-11]
Mary Sives '22 [7]
Ronan Contrino '22 [1-6]
Ellianna Ramos '22 [7-11]
Falmouth High School, MA Falmouth High School, MA Clippers 5 10 9 11 7 10 8 10 11 11 DNS 104 Clark Olsen '23
Juliana Dvorak '23
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 5 16 Jonnie Ciffolillo '23 [1-4]
Sophia Peck '22 [5-11]
Young Hu '22 [1-4]
Ellie Dyroff '22 [5-8]
Jack Thompson '23 [9-11]
Belmont Hill School Belmont Hill School Varsity 2 2 2 2 2 7 3 3 7 11 2 43 Wilton Lawton '23
Trey Penna '23
Hingham High School Hingham High School Hingham 3 4 7 3 4 3 4 4 4 5 7 48 Sara Menesale '24 [1-2, 5-11]
Carter Driggs '28 [3-4]
Ellie Smith '24 [1-4, 7-11]
Carter Driggs '28 [5-6]
East Greenwich High School East Greenwich High School Avengers 4 9 4 6 6 11 5 2 2 1 1 51 Curtis Sims '22 [1-6]
Owen Warren '24 [7-11]
Shannon Brecher '22 [1-6]
Madeleine Jarbeau '24 [7-11]
St. John Paul II School St. John Paul II School Varsity 7 6 3 7 3 4 6 6 3 3 4 52 Jack Homa '23
Colman Monac '25
Marthas Vineyard RHS Marthas Vineyard RHS Vineyarders 8 10 8 5 9 2 2 9 10 6 6 75 Henry Kyburg Abbott '23 [1-11]
Juliet Morse '23 [1-4, 8-11]
Annabelle Brothers '23 [5-7]
Barnstable HS Barnstable HS Raiders 6 3 5 4 8 10 10 11 5 7 8 77 Jeremy Bullock '24 [1-6]
Jordyn Johnson '23 [7-11]
Camryn Johnson '25 [1-6]
Brendan Wojkowski '25 [7-11]
Newton Country Day School Newton Country Day School Falcons 5 8 11 9 10 9 8 8 6 10 3 87 Annie Depriest '22
Avery Spaulding '25
North Kingstown High School North Kingstown High School Skippers 10 5 10 11 7 8 7 7 8 4 11 88 Slate Evans '24 [1-6]
Alice Dunning '25 [7-11]
Julia Degenova '23 [1-6]
Morgan Martucci '23 [7-11]
Dover Sherborn RHS Dover Sherborn RHS Varsity 9 7 6 8 DNS 6 11 5 9 8 9 90 Hunter Crane '24 [1-8]
Kylie Craig '24 [9-11]
Caly Kuzdzal '24 [1-6]
Dylan Covell '24 [7-11]
Falmouth High School, MA Falmouth High School, MA Clippers 11 11 9 10 5 5 9 10 11 9 10 100 Joseph Simpkins '23
Trayton Diangelis '23
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.160+0.16
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2022 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A
Barnstable HSBarnstable HS Raiders11223344556
Belmont Hill SchoolBelmont Hill School Varsity22334455667
Dover Sherborn RHSDover Sherborn RHS Varsity33445566778
East Greenwich High SchoolEast Greenwich High School Avengers44556677889
Falmouth High School, MAFalmouth High School, MA Clippers556677889910
Hingham High SchoolHingham High School Hingham66778899101011
Marthas Vineyard RHSMarthas Vineyard RHS Vineyarders778899101011111
Newton Country Day SchoolNewton Country Day School Falcons889910101111112
North Kingstown High SchoolNorth Kingstown High School Skippers991010111111223
St. John Paul II SchoolSt. John Paul II School Varsity101011111122334
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves1111112233445

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B
Barnstable HSBarnstable HS Raiders11223344556
Belmont Hill SchoolBelmont Hill School Varsity22334455667
Dover Sherborn RHSDover Sherborn RHS Varsity33445566778
East Greenwich High SchoolEast Greenwich High School Avengers44556677889
Falmouth High School, MAFalmouth High School, MA Clippers556677889910
Hingham High SchoolHingham High School Hingham66778899101011
Marthas Vineyard RHSMarthas Vineyard RHS Vineyarders778899101011111
Newton Country Day SchoolNewton Country Day School Falcons889910101111112
North Kingstown High SchoolNorth Kingstown High School Skippers991010111111223
St. John Paul II SchoolSt. John Paul II School Varsity101011111122334
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves1111112233445
School / Team SkipperCrew
Barnstable HS Barnstable HS Allison Nystrom '22 [1-6, 8-11]
Mary Sives '22 [7]		 Ronan Contrino '22 [1-6]
Ellianna Ramos '22 [7-11]
Raiders Jeremy Bullock '24 [1-6]
Jordyn Johnson '23 [7-11]		 Camryn Johnson '25 [1-6]
Brendan Wojkowski '25 [7-11]
Belmont Hill School Belmont Hill School Quinn Healey '23 Michael Salvatore '23
Varsity Wilton Lawton '23 Trey Penna '23
Dover Sherborn RHS Dover Sherborn RHS Abby Wayne '23 [1-11] Charlotte Buehler '22 [1-8, 11]
Yasi Nee '25 [9-10]
Varsity Hunter Crane '24 [1-8]
Kylie Craig '24 [9-11]		 Caly Kuzdzal '24 [1-6]
Dylan Covell '24 [7-11]
East Greenwich High School East Greenwich High School Zachary Amelotte '23 Mara Oancea '23
Avengers Curtis Sims '22 [1-6]
Owen Warren '24 [7-11]		 Shannon Brecher '22 [1-6]
Madeleine Jarbeau '24 [7-11]
Falmouth High School, MA Falmouth High School, MA Clark Olsen '23 Juliana Dvorak '23
Clippers Joseph Simpkins '23 Trayton Diangelis '23
Hingham High School Hingham High School Ethan Burt '22 [1-2, 5-8, 11]
Julia Scipione '25 [3-4, 9-10]		 Gabe Synnott '24 [1-2, 5-8]
Caroline O'Hara '25 [3-4, 9-10]
Carter Driggs '28 [11]
Hingham Sara Menesale '24 [1-2, 5-11]
Carter Driggs '28 [3-4]		 Ellie Smith '24 [1-4, 7-11]
Carter Driggs '28 [5-6]
Marthas Vineyard RHS Marthas Vineyard RHS Sam Riley '23 [1-11] Jocelyn Balinuas '24 [1-4]
Griffin Stead '23 [5-11]
Vineyarders Henry Kyburg Abbott '23 [1-11] Juliet Morse '23 [1-4, 8-11]
Annabelle Brothers '23 [5-7]
Newton Country Day School Newton Country Day School Jane Mathews '22 Caroline Meckel '24
Falcons Annie Depriest '22 Avery Spaulding '25
North Kingstown High School North Kingstown High School Marykate Hanus '24 Olivia Soucy '24
Skippers Slate Evans '24 [1-6]
Alice Dunning '25 [7-11]		 Julia Degenova '23 [1-6]
Morgan Martucci '23 [7-11]
St. John Paul II School St. John Paul II School Sophie Menyhart '23 Allison Coursey '25
Varsity Jack Homa '23 Colman Monac '25
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Wyatt Bischoff '23 [1-11] Carter Riggs '22 [1-10]
Young Hu '22 [11]
Seawolves Jonnie Ciffolillo '23 [1-4]
Sophia Peck '22 [5-11]		 Young Hu '22 [1-4]
Ellie Dyroff '22 [5-8]
Jack Thompson '23 [9-11]

Conditions — 05/01/2022 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 51%  ·  Pressure 1019.8 hPa

Temperature

57°F
↑ 60°F   ↓ 50°F
Feels like 53°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.7 kn
avg  ·  max 9.1 kn
Gusts to 19.0 kn
From NE (44°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity51% Pressure1019.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Hyannis YC/ Barnstable HS: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.10 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.12
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.02 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Hyannis YC/ Barnstable HS by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Hyannis YC/ Barnstable HS: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →