Greenwich Country Day School '28
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.68 (fleet 1.10) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.00 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 2–3 (40%) as crew 3–2 (60%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2025 | 2 | 2–3 | — |
| Spring 2024 | 1 | — | 3–2 |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 2 graded regattas (8 matches) the record is 5–3 against 3.7 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+1.3). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 0 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 1 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-05 | IHYC Super Saturday 1 | skipper | 0.78 | 1.31 | 2–1 | 1.7 | +0.53 | 0.1 | 60% |
| 2024-04-30 | FCSL Silver Cup | crew | 0.06 | 2.34 | 3–2 | 1.9 | +2.28 | 1.3 | 25% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| CT States 2026 | Skipper | B | 6 | 6.0 | 1.83 |
| 2026 NESSA O'Day Qualifier - Groton, CT | Skipper | B | 8 | 3.8 | 1.75 |
| 2026 NESSA Fleet Racing Championship(O'Day Trophy) | Skipper | B | 12 | 13.2 | 0.93 |
| Spring 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| IHYC Super Saturday 1 | Skipper | TR | 11 | 27% | — |
| Second FCSL Wednesday Team Race Meet | Skipper | TR | 7 | 43% | — |
| CT States | Skipper | A | 7 | 9.4 | 0.29 |
| Spring 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| FCSL Silver Cup | Crew | TR | 5 | 60% | — |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
To have this profile removed, email quinnbrighton2005@gmail.com.
