Greenwich Country Day School '26
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.08 (fleet 0.11) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.01 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 3–2 (60%) as crew 2–3 (40%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2025 | 2 | — | 2–3 |
| Spring 2024 | 1 | 3–2 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 2 graded regattas (8 matches) the record is 5–3 against 3.7 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+1.3). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 0 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 1 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-05 | IHYC Super Saturday 1 | crew | 0.84 | 1.37 | 2–1 | 1.7 | +0.53 | 0.1 | 60% |
| 2024-04-30 | FCSL Silver Cup | skipper | 0.06 | 2.34 | 3–2 | 1.9 | +2.28 | 1.3 | 25% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| NESSA O'Day Qualifier - Groton, CT | Crew | A, B | 7 | 9.1 | -0.05 |
| IHYC Super Saturday 1 | Crew | TR | 11 | 27% | — |
| Second FCSL Wednesday Team Race Meet | Crew | TR | 7 | 43% | — |
| CT States | Crew | B | 2 | 16.5 | -0.54 |
| Spring 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| FCSL Silver Cup | Skipper | TR | 5 | 60% | — |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
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