Greene School '27
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.62 (fleet 2.63) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.01 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 4–10 (29%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 | 1 | 4–10 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 1 graded regattas (14 matches) the record is 4–10 against 5.4 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−1.4). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 1 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 1 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | SAISA Baker Team Race Qualifier | skipper | 1.69 | 0.96 | 4–10 | 5.4 | −0.73 | 0.6 | 88% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| SAISA SP #5 Varsity | Skipper | B | 6 | 9.5 | 1.56 |
| SAISA South Points 7 - Varsity | Skipper | B | 4 | 1.8 | 4.83 |
| SAISA South Points 4 | Skipper | B | 8 | 3.6 | 3.48 |
| SAISA Doublehanded Championship/Mallory Qualifier | Skipper | B | 9 | 5.2 | 2.99 |
| SAISA Baker Team Race Qualifier | Skipper | TR | 14 | 29% | — |
| Fall 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| SAISA SP 2 Varsity | Skipper | B | 5 | 4.0 | 3.21 |
| SAISA South Points #1 2025-26 | Skipper | B | 5 | 6.6 | 1.89 |
| SAISA South Points #3 | Skipper | B | 6 | 2.7 | 3.83 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
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