SAISA SP 2 Varsity

HostJensen Beach
Date10/18/2025
TypeIn-District
BoatC420
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Gulliver Preparatory School	Raiders	19	19	38
2	Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart	Carrollton School	17	25	42
3	MAST Academy	Makos	22	22	44
4	Ransom Everglades School	Raiders	27	17	44
5	Greene School	Dolphins	31	20	51
6	Pine Crest School	Panthers	27	25	52
7	Immaculata La Salle High School	Royal Lions	35	40	75
8	Palmer Trinity School	Falcons	43	46	89
9	St. Petersburg High School	Green Devils	32	61	93
10	Westminster Christian School	Warriors	67	39	106
11	H. B. Plant High School	Panthers	57	51	108
12	Antilles School	Hurricanes	53	57	110
13	St. Thomas Aquinas High School	Raiders	69	62	131
14	Shorecrest Preparatory School	Chargers	66	70	136
15	Coral Gables Senior High	Cavaliers	66	70	136
16	Good Hope County Day School	Panthers	80	67	147
17	South Fork High School	SF BULLDOGS	64	89	153
18	Jensen Beach High School	Falcons	84	76	160

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	TOT	Sailors
Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart	Carrollton School	3	1	7	4	2	17	Audrey Russler '26 Leighton Rivero '27
Gulliver Preparatory School	Raiders	4	8	1	2	4	19	Connor Karr '28 Danika Torres '27
MAST Academy	Makos	1	3	2	5	11	22	Davide Bazzoni '26 [1-4] Oliver Holt '26 [5] Julia Gil '26 [1-4]
Ransom Everglades School	Raiders	6	4	4	8	5	27	Ava Mc Aliley '26 [1-2, 5] Tommy Zaydon '28 [3-4] Leyla Amjad '26 [1-2, 5] Carmela Brana '28 [3-4]
Pine Crest School	Panthers	8	2	3	6	8	27	Miles Julien '27 Aurora Christiansen '26
Greene School	Dolphins	2	OCS	6	3	1	31	Drew Lamm '26 Elizabeth Kniskern '26
St. Petersburg High School	Green Devils	5	6	10	1	10	32	John Hartney '28 Adam Mendelblatt '26
Immaculata La Salle High School	Royal Lions	7	10	5	10	3	35	Isabella Henrich '26 [1-2, 5] Beck Brill '27 [3-4] Diego De Teran '28 [1-2, 5] Mia Noritake '29 [3-4]
Palmer Trinity School	Falcons	10	7	9	11	6	43	Sydney Fraind '29 [1-5] Nicole Rincon '29 [1-2, 5] Matteo Iannelli '26 [3-4]
Antilles School	Hurricanes	11	12	11	7	12	53	Emma Walters '26 [1-5] Mariana Diehl '28 [1-4] Ann-Michel Franklin '27 [5]
H. B. Plant High School	Panthers	12	5	8	13	OCS	57	Jessica Martello '27 Shea Mcgraw '27
South Fork High School	SF BULLDOGS	13	13	13	16	9	64	Claire Rawlings '28 Jonathan Bratt '26
Shorecrest Preparatory School	Chargers	15	11	14	9	17	66	Josh O'Connor '26 [1-5] Frances Humphreys '27 [1-4] Ellen Hommeyer '26 [5]
Coral Gables Senior High	Cavaliers	17	15	12	15	7	66	Sebastien De Leon '27 Marco Gonzalez '27
Westminster Christian School	Warriors	14	9	15	14	15	67	Castan Conley '27 Daniel Couto '27
St. Thomas Aquinas High School	Raiders	9	OCS	16	12	13	69	Cole Fanchi '26 Marin Redmond '28
Good Hope County Day School	Panthers	16	16	17	17	14	80	Aj Mauro '28 William Simon '28
Jensen Beach High School	Falcons	18	14	18	18	16	84	William Walker '28 Ellie Freeman '26

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	TOT	Sailors
Ransom Everglades School	Raiders	1	3	4	7	2	17	Max Wolfensberger '26 [1-2, 5] Brayden Zawyer '28 [3-4] Elisa De Becker '28 [1-2, 5] Simone Carrasco '27 [3-4]
Gulliver Preparatory School	Raiders	3	1	1	13	1	19	Alfonso Lanseros '27 [1-2] Arturo Zizold '29 [3-5] Sebastian Taylor '28 [1-2]
Greene School	Dolphins	2	6	5	1	6	20	Kaeman Floyd '27 Julia Palmisciano '27
MAST Academy	Makos	7	4	2	2	7	22	Minx Anthony '26 [1-4] Elena Bazzoni '28 [5] Andrea Bolz '27 [1-4] Maryna Downey '27 [5]
Pine Crest School	Panthers	4	2	9	6	4	25	Charles Julien '29 Alexandra Tournoy '29
Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart	Carrollton School	6	8	3	5	3	25	Elizabeth Xydas '28 Alexandra Kolaya '27
Westminster Christian School	Warriors	5	7	6	9	12	39	Peter Gleason '28 Victoria Estrada '27
Immaculata La Salle High School	Royal Lions	13	10	8	4	5	40	Marina Wardlaw '27 [1-2, 5] Leonardo Tarzani '27 [3-4] Luis Flores '29 [1-2, 5] Gianluca Mazzuca '29 [3-4]
Palmer Trinity School	Falcons	10	9	10	8	9	46	Mason Roachell '29 Carter Roachell '27
H. B. Plant High School	Panthers	16	5	OCS	3	8	51	Cabel Clark '28 Violet Jonas '27
Antilles School	Hurricanes	8	12	7	17	13	57	Mila Melbourne '28 Wynne Williams '27
St. Petersburg High School	Green Devils	12	15	11	12	11	61	Gloria Privis '26 [1-4] Ryder Ellis '27 [5] Parker Connell '28 [1-4]
St. Thomas Aquinas High School	Raiders	11	11	14	11	15	62	Pierce Weber '27 [1-2] Max Weaver '29 [3-4] Matthew St. Romain '27 [5] Danielle Lynch Smith '26 [1-2] Delfina '26 [3-4] Mariana Balcells '28 [5]
Good Hope County Day School	Panthers	14	13	16	14	10	67	Croix Benton '27 Eduardo Hermida '28
Coral Gables Senior High	Cavaliers	9	16	13	15	17	70	Kailee Moure '29 [1-2] Stephanie Gregg '28 [3-5] Anouk Theurillat '29 [1-2, 5] Kailee Moure '29 [3-4]
Shorecrest Preparatory School	Chargers	17	17	12	10	14	70	Arden Katcha '26 [1-5] Ellen Hommeyer '26 [1-2] Morgan Mckineey '29 [3-4] Skye Hughes '29 [5]
Jensen Beach High School	Falcons	15	14	15	16	16	76	Delaney Romeyk '26 Anastasia Zaripova '28
South Fork High School	SF BULLDOGS	18	18	17	18	18	89	Luke Prohaska '27 Carter Deyarmond '29

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.100+0.10

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2025 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A
Antilles School Hurricanes	1	1	1	1	1
Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School	2	2	2	2	2
Coral Gables Senior High Cavaliers	3	3	3	3	3
Good Hope County Day School Panthers	4	4	4	4	4
Greene School Dolphins	17	17	17	17	17
Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders	5	5	5	5	5
Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions	7	7	7	7	7
Jensen Beach High School Falcons	8	8	8	8	8
MAST Academy Makos	9	9	9	9	9
Palmer Trinity School Falcons	10	10	10	10	10
Pine Crest School Panthers	11	11	11	11	11
H. B. Plant High School Panthers	6	6	6	6	6
Ransom Everglades School Raiders	12	12	12	12	12
St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders	16	16	16	16	16
Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers	13	13	13	13	13
South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS	14	14	14	14	14
St. Petersburg High School Green Devils	15	15	15	15	15
Westminster Christian School Warriors	18	18	18	18	18

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B
Antilles School Hurricanes	1	1	1	1	1
Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School	2	2	2	2	2
Coral Gables Senior High Cavaliers	3	3	3	3	3
Good Hope County Day School Panthers	4	4	4	4	4
Greene School Dolphins	17	17	17	17	17
Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders	5	5	5	5	5
Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions	7	7	7	7	7
Jensen Beach High School Falcons	8	8	8	8	8
MAST Academy Makos	9	9	9	9	9
Palmer Trinity School Falcons	10	10	10	10	10
Pine Crest School Panthers	11	11	11	11	11
H. B. Plant High School Panthers	6	6	6	6	6
Ransom Everglades School Raiders	12	12	12	12	12
St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders	16	16	16	16	16
Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers	13	13	13	13	13
South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS	14	14	14	14	14
St. Petersburg High School Green Devils	15	15	15	15	15
Westminster Christian School Warriors	18	18	18	18	18

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Antilles School	Emma Walters '26 [1-5]	Mariana Diehl '28 [1-4] Ann-Michel Franklin '27 [5]
Hurricanes	Mila Melbourne '28	Wynne Williams '27
Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart	Audrey Russler '26	Leighton Rivero '27
Carrollton School	Elizabeth Xydas '28	Alexandra Kolaya '27
Coral Gables Senior High	Sebastien De Leon '27	Marco Gonzalez '27
Cavaliers	Kailee Moure '29 [1-2] Stephanie Gregg '28 [3-5]	Anouk Theurillat '29 [1-2, 5] Kailee Moure '29 [3-4]
Good Hope County Day School	Aj Mauro '28	William Simon '28
Panthers	Croix Benton '27	Eduardo Hermida '28
Greene School	Drew Lamm '26	Elizabeth Kniskern '26
Dolphins	Kaeman Floyd '27	Julia Palmisciano '27
Gulliver Preparatory School	Connor Karr '28	Danika Torres '27
Raiders	Alfonso Lanseros '27 [1-2] Arturo Zizold '29 [3-5]	Sebastian Taylor '28 [1-2]
H. B. Plant High School	Jessica Martello '27	Shea Mcgraw '27
Panthers	Cabel Clark '28	Violet Jonas '27
Immaculata La Salle High School	Isabella Henrich '26 [1-2, 5] Beck Brill '27 [3-4]	Diego De Teran '28 [1-2, 5] Mia Noritake '29 [3-4]
Royal Lions	Marina Wardlaw '27 [1-2, 5] Leonardo Tarzani '27 [3-4]	Luis Flores '29 [1-2, 5] Gianluca Mazzuca '29 [3-4]
Jensen Beach High School	William Walker '28	Ellie Freeman '26
Falcons	Delaney Romeyk '26	Anastasia Zaripova '28
MAST Academy	Davide Bazzoni '26 [1-4] Oliver Holt '26 [5]	Julia Gil '26 [1-4]
Makos	Minx Anthony '26 [1-4] Elena Bazzoni '28 [5]	Andrea Bolz '27 [1-4] Maryna Downey '27 [5]
Palmer Trinity School	Sydney Fraind '29 [1-5]	Nicole Rincon '29 [1-2, 5] Matteo Iannelli '26 [3-4]
Falcons	Mason Roachell '29	Carter Roachell '27
Pine Crest School	Miles Julien '27	Aurora Christiansen '26
Panthers	Charles Julien '29	Alexandra Tournoy '29
Ransom Everglades School	Ava Mc Aliley '26 [1-2, 5] Tommy Zaydon '28 [3-4]	Leyla Amjad '26 [1-2, 5] Carmela Brana '28 [3-4]
Raiders	Max Wolfensberger '26 [1-2, 5] Brayden Zawyer '28 [3-4]	Elisa De Becker '28 [1-2, 5] Simone Carrasco '27 [3-4]
Shorecrest Preparatory School	Josh O'Connor '26 [1-5]	Frances Humphreys '27 [1-4] Ellen Hommeyer '26 [5]
Chargers	Arden Katcha '26 [1-5]	Ellen Hommeyer '26 [1-2] Morgan Mckineey '29 [3-4] Skye Hughes '29 [5]
South Fork High School	Claire Rawlings '28	Jonathan Bratt '26
SF BULLDOGS	Luke Prohaska '27	Carter Deyarmond '29
St. Petersburg High School	John Hartney '28	Adam Mendelblatt '26
Green Devils	Gloria Privis '26 [1-4] Ryder Ellis '27 [5]	Parker Connell '28 [1-4]
St. Thomas Aquinas High School	Cole Fanchi '26	Marin Redmond '28
Raiders	Pierce Weber '27 [1-2] Max Weaver '29 [3-4] Matthew St. Romain '27 [5]	Danielle Lynch Smith '26 [1-2] Delfina '26 [3-4] Mariana Balcells '28 [5]
Westminster Christian School	Castan Conley '27	Daniel Couto '27
Warriors	Peter Gleason '28	Victoria Estrada '27

Conditions — 10/18/2025 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky

Humidity 53% · Pressure 1017.2 hPa

Temperature

79°F

↑ 80°F ↓ 75°F

Feels like 78°F

Wind

● from ▲ toward

8.7 kn

avg · max 10.2 kn

Gusts to 21.8 kn

From E (96°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover45% Sunshine10.2 hrs Humidity53% Pressure1017.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 11 kn (scorer’s report)

In this breeze at Jensen Beach: a favourites’ day (+0.08)

Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.

Fleet adjustment +0.00 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.09

Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.03 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Jensen Beach by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 6 labelled days at Jensen Beach, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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