Ransom Everglades School '28
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.72 (fleet 2.64) | 71 of 231 | +0.09 ± 0.17 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 27–14 (66%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 | 2 | 21–11 | — |
| Spring 2025 | 1 | 6–3 | — |
Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 3 graded regattas (41 matches) the record is 27–14 against 20.8 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+6.2). 2 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 0 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 4 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-15 | ISSA Team Race Championship for the Baker Trophy | skipper | 1.95 | 3.16 | 11–8 | 7.5 | +1.21 | 2.4 | 6% |
| 2026-04-18 | SAISA Baker Team Race Qualifier | skipper | 1.75 | 3.07 | 10–3 | 7.5 | +1.31 | 1.7 | 11% |
| 2025-04-26 | SAISA Baker Qualifier | skipper | 1.73 | 1.93 | 6–3 | 5.7 | +0.20 | 0.0 | 58% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| SAISA SP #5 JV | Skipper | A | 6 | 2.7 | 3.86 |
| SAISA South Points 7 - Varsity | Skipper | B | 2 | 6.5 | 2.15 |
| SAISA Baker Team Race Qualifier | Skipper | TR | 17 | 82% | — |
| ISSA Team Race Championship for the Baker Trophy | Skipper | TR | 19 | 58% | — |
| Fall 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| SAISA SP 2 Varsity | Skipper | A | 2 | 6.0 | 3.00 |
| SAISA South Points #1 JV 2025-26 | Skipper | A | 6 | 2.7 | 2.82 |
| SAISA South Points #3 | Skipper | B | 2 | 4.0 | 3.04 |
| Spring 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| SAISA SP's 3 JV | Skipper | A | 2 | 4.5 | 1.99 |
| SAISA South Points #5 Varsity. | Skipper | B | 3 | 7.3 | 1.65 |
| SAISA Baker Qualifier | Skipper | TR | 18 | 56% | — |
| ISSA Fleet Nationals (Mallory Trophy) | Crew | A | 2 | 2.0 | — |
| 2025 South Points No. 4 Junior Varsity | Skipper | B | 5 | 2.2 | 2.88 |
| Fall 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| SAISA South Points 1 2024-25 JV | Skipper | B | 6 | 4.0 | 1.89 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
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