2025 South Points No. 4 Junior Varsity

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 2 8 7 15
2 Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 1 15 11 26
3 Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions 11 22 33
4 St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 16 18 34
5 H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 27 22 49
6 MAST Academy MAST Academy Makos 30 26 56
7 Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 33 34 67
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 2 1 3 1 1 2 8 Sander Block '28
Jonah Fishman '25
Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions 2 1 3 2 3 11 Leonardo Tarzani '27
Diego De Teran '28
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 1 4 2 4 4 1 15 Max Wolfensberger '26
Ria Bhandari '28
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 3 4 2 3 4 16 Reid Mendelblatt '26 [1-5]
Jad Abedrabbo '26 [1-4]
Sophie (Aviva) Krikstanas '27 [5]
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 6 5 5 6 5 27 Luke Mullinax '28 [1-5]
Harper Emmerson '29 [1-2]
Ashley Korakis '29 [3-5]
MAST Academy MAST Academy Makos 7 6 6 5 6 30 Nathaniel Mccormick '28
Geronimo Pinson '28
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 5 7 7 7 7 33 Ellie Lovatt '28
Genevieve Osborn '26
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 2 2 2 1 1 1 7 Brayden Zawyer '28
Eva Cunningham '27
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 1 3 1 2 2 3 11 Tommy Zaydon '28
Carmela Brana '28
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 1 3 5 3 6 18 Finnegan Cox '27 [1-2]
Ryder Ellis '27 [3-5]
Hannah Mccaffree '26 [1-2]
Ava Shakespeare '25 [3-5]
Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions 4 5 3 5 5 22 Marina Wardlaw '27 [1-2]
Gabi Mascarenhas '28 [3-5]
Alejandro Escudero '27 [1-2]
Arturo De La Rosa '27 [3-5]
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 6 4 4 4 4 22 John Lawson '27
Alexander Scarberry '28
MAST Academy MAST Academy Makos 5 6 6 7 2 26 Jose Aberastury '27
Ava Pelt '28
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 7 7 7 6 7 34 William Walker '28
Ellie Freeman '26
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.150+0.15
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2018 (9 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Immaculata La Salle High SchoolImmaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions22222
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Falcons33333
MAST AcademyMAST Academy Makos44444
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers11111
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders 155555
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders 266666
St. Petersburg High SchoolSt. Petersburg High School Green Devils77777

Conditions — 03/01/2025 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 65%  ·  Pressure 1016.4 hPa

Temperature

66°F
↑ 72°F   ↓ 55°F
Feels like 67°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.4 kn
avg  ·  max 4.6 kn
Gusts to 13.0 kn
From NW (323°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover55% Sunshine8.2 hrs Humidity65% Pressure1016.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 7 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at H. B. Plant: a favourites’ day (+0.09)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.07 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.16
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.23 ± 0.20)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.09 means a rating gap counts about 8% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at H. B. Plant by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 6 labelled days at H. B. Plant, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →