SAISA South Points #3

HostPine View/Suncoast Polytechnic
Date11/01/2025
TypePromotional
BoatC420
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Greene School	Dolphins	17	16	33
2	Gulliver Preparatory School	Raiders	14	30	44
3	MAST Academy	Makos	34	25	59
4	Ransom Everglades School	Raiders	29	39	68
5	Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart	Carrollton School	49	26	75
6	Pine Crest School	Panthers	37	40	77
7	St. Petersburg High School	Green Devils	39	47	86
8	Pine View School	Python Varsity	51	53	104
9	Immaculata La Salle High School	Royal Lions	72	33	105
10	Palmer Trinity School	Falcons	38	76	114
11	H. B. Plant High School	Panthers	60	59	119
12	Westminster Christian School	Warriors	64	58	122
13	St. Thomas Aquinas High School	Raiders	59	68	127
14	Suncoast Polytechnical High School	Suncoast Polytechnic	77	74	151
15	Shorecrest Preparatory School	Chargers	89	85	174
16	Community School of Naples	Varsity	87	89	176
17	Admiral Farragut Academy	Varsity	102	101	203

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	TOT	Sailors
Gulliver Preparatory School	Raiders	2	1	4	2	2	3	14	Connor Karr '28 Danika Torres '27
Greene School	Dolphins	5	3	1	4	3	1	17	Drew Lamm '26 Elizabeth Kniskern '26
Ransom Everglades School	Raiders	1	2	8	6	7	5	29	Ava Mc Aliley '26 Leyla Amjad '26
MAST Academy	Makos	7	9	2	8	1	7	34	Davide Bazzoni '26 [1-6] Theodore Mccormick '26 [1-2, 5-6] Julia Gil '26 [3-4]
Pine Crest School	Panthers	4	4	10	1	9	9	37	Miles Julien '27 Aurora Christiansen '26
Palmer Trinity School	Falcons	6	7	14	5	4	2	38	Sydney Fraind '29 Carter Roachell '27
St. Petersburg High School	Green Devils	8	5	5	9	6	6	39	John Hartney '28 Adam Mendelblatt '26
Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart	Carrollton School	12	6	11	7	5	8	49	Elizabeth Xydas '28 Alexandra Kolaya '27
Pine View School	Python Varsity	9	8	3	14	13	4	51	Dylan Lopez '27 Natalie Hoffman '26
St. Thomas Aquinas High School	Raiders	10	10	9	3	15	12	59	Cole Fanchi '26 Danielle Lynch Smith '26
H. B. Plant High School	Panthers	3	11	13	12	11	10	60	Jessica Martello '27 Shea Mcgraw '27
Westminster Christian School	Warriors	13	14	7	11	8	11	64	Castan Conley '27 Daniel Couto '27
Immaculata La Salle High School	Royal Lions	15	15	6	10	10	16	72	Isabella Henrich '26 Alejandro Escudero '27
Suncoast Polytechnical High School	Suncoast Polytechnic	11	12	12	15	14	13	77	Oliver Woodbury '27 Dominic Thomas '28
Community School of Naples	Varsity	16	13	15	16	12	15	87	Mason Fuller '26 Catherine Fuller '29
Shorecrest Preparatory School	Chargers	14	16	16	13	16	14	89	Josh O'Connor '26 Frances Humphreys '27
Admiral Farragut Academy	Varsity	17	17	17	17	17	17	102	Rai Michaud '26 Emma Harris '26

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	TOT	Sailors
Greene School	Dolphins	2	4	3	2	4	1	16	Kaeman Floyd '27 Julia Palmisciano '27
MAST Academy	Makos	8	5	2	6	2	2	25	Elena Bazzoni '28 [1-6] Andrea Bolz '27 [1-2, 5-6] Maryna Downey '27 [3-4]
Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart	Carrollton School	4	3	5	4	6	4	26	Sienna Kolaya '29 Leighton Rivero '27
Gulliver Preparatory School	Raiders	1	10	7	3	3	6	30	Arturo Zizold '29 Sebastian Taylor '28
Immaculata La Salle High School	Royal Lions	7	2	1	1	10	12	33	Leonardo Tarzani '27 Mia Noritake '29
Ransom Everglades School	Raiders	3	11	8	9	1	7	39	Max Wolfensberger '26 [1-4] Tommy Zaydon '28 [5-6] Elisa De Becker '28 [1-4] Sofia Rhone '26 [5-6]
Pine Crest School	Panthers	12	1	9	8	7	3	40	Charles Julien '29 [1-6] Alexandra Tournoy '29 [1-4] Truman Clark Jimenez '27 [5-6]
St. Petersburg High School	Green Devils	6	7	4	7	14	9	47	Ryder Ellis '27 [1-2] Bennett Lamb '29 [3-6] Parker Connell '28 [1-2] Gloria Privis '26 [3-6]
Pine View School	Python Varsity	5	8	12	11	9	8	53	Gabriella Pina '27 Mia Quijano '26
Westminster Christian School	Warriors	13	12	6	10	12	5	58	Peter Gleason '28 Victoria Estrada '27
H. B. Plant High School	Panthers	15	9	14	5	5	11	59	Cabel Clark '28 Violet Jonas '27
St. Thomas Aquinas High School	Raiders	10	14	10	13	11	10	68	Marin Redmond '28 [1-2] Max Weaver '29 [3-4] Pierce Weber '27 [5-6] Delfina '26 [1-2]
Suncoast Polytechnical High School	Suncoast Polytechnic	14	6	15	12	13	14	74	James Mccauley '26 Teak Gammaro '28
Palmer Trinity School	Falcons	9	16	16	14	8	13	76	Mason Roachell '29 Matteo Iannelli '26
Shorecrest Preparatory School	Chargers	11	15	11	16	16	16	85	Leo Fernandez-Pallente '27 [1-4] Arden Katcha '26 [5-6] Arden Katcha '26 [1-2] Ellen Hommeyer '26 [3-6]
Community School of Naples	Varsity	OCS	13	13	15	15	15	89	Henry Cook '26 [1-6] Darius Zafar '26 [1-2, 5-6] Lily Fletcher '28 [3-4]
Admiral Farragut Academy	Varsity	16	17	17	17	17	17	101	Grace Dougherty '27 Leah Vanarsdale '26

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.120+0.12

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2025 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A
Admiral Farragut Academy Varsity	10	10	10	10	10	10
Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School	11	11	11	11	11	11
Community School of Naples Varsity	12	12	12	12	12	12
Greene School Dolphins	25	25	25	25	25	25
Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders	13	13	13	13	13	13
Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions	15	15	15	15	15	15
MAST Academy Makos	16	16	16	16	16	16
Palmer Trinity School Falcons	17	17	17	17	17	17
Pine Crest School Panthers	18	18	18	18	18	18
Pine View School Python Varsity	19	19	19	19	19	19
H. B. Plant High School Panthers	14	14	14	14	14	14
Ransom Everglades School Raiders	20	20	20	20	20	20
St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders	23	23	23	23	23	23
Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers	21	21	21	21	21	21
St. Petersburg High School Green Devils	22	22	22	22	22	22
Suncoast Polytechnical High School Suncoast Polytechnic	24	24	24	24	24	24
Westminster Christian School Warriors	26	26	26	26	26	26

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B
Admiral Farragut Academy Varsity	10	10	10	10	10	10
Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School	11	11	11	11	11	11
Community School of Naples Varsity	12	12	12	12	12	12
Greene School Dolphins	25	25	25	25	25	25
Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders	13	13	13	13	13	13
Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions	15	15	15	15	15	15
MAST Academy Makos	16	16	16	16	16	16
Palmer Trinity School Falcons	17	17	17	17	17	17
Pine Crest School Panthers	18	18	18	18	18	18
Pine View School Python Varsity	19	19	19	19	19	19
H. B. Plant High School Panthers	14	14	14	14	14	14
Ransom Everglades School Raiders	20	20	20	20	20	20
St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders	23	23	23	23	23	23
Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers	21	21	21	21	21	21
St. Petersburg High School Green Devils	22	22	22	22	22	22
Suncoast Polytechnical High School Suncoast Polytechnic	24	24	24	24	24	24
Westminster Christian School Warriors	26	26	26	26	26	26

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Admiral Farragut Academy	Rai Michaud '26	Emma Harris '26
Varsity	Grace Dougherty '27	Leah Vanarsdale '26
Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart	Elizabeth Xydas '28	Alexandra Kolaya '27
Carrollton School	Sienna Kolaya '29	Leighton Rivero '27
Community School of Naples	Mason Fuller '26	Catherine Fuller '29
Varsity	Henry Cook '26 [1-6]	Darius Zafar '26 [1-2, 5-6] Lily Fletcher '28 [3-4]
Greene School	Drew Lamm '26	Elizabeth Kniskern '26
Dolphins	Kaeman Floyd '27	Julia Palmisciano '27
Gulliver Preparatory School	Connor Karr '28	Danika Torres '27
Raiders	Arturo Zizold '29	Sebastian Taylor '28
H. B. Plant High School	Jessica Martello '27	Shea Mcgraw '27
Panthers	Cabel Clark '28	Violet Jonas '27
Immaculata La Salle High School	Isabella Henrich '26	Alejandro Escudero '27
Royal Lions	Leonardo Tarzani '27	Mia Noritake '29
MAST Academy	Davide Bazzoni '26 [1-6]	Theodore Mccormick '26 [1-2, 5-6] Julia Gil '26 [3-4]
Makos	Elena Bazzoni '28 [1-6]	Andrea Bolz '27 [1-2, 5-6] Maryna Downey '27 [3-4]
Palmer Trinity School	Sydney Fraind '29	Carter Roachell '27
Falcons	Mason Roachell '29	Matteo Iannelli '26
Pine Crest School	Miles Julien '27	Aurora Christiansen '26
Panthers	Charles Julien '29 [1-6]	Alexandra Tournoy '29 [1-4] Truman Clark Jimenez '27 [5-6]
Pine View School	Dylan Lopez '27	Natalie Hoffman '26
Python Varsity	Gabriella Pina '27	Mia Quijano '26
Ransom Everglades School	Ava Mc Aliley '26	Leyla Amjad '26
Raiders	Max Wolfensberger '26 [1-4] Tommy Zaydon '28 [5-6]	Elisa De Becker '28 [1-4] Sofia Rhone '26 [5-6]
Shorecrest Preparatory School	Josh O'Connor '26	Frances Humphreys '27
Chargers	Leo Fernandez-Pallente '27 [1-4] Arden Katcha '26 [5-6]	Arden Katcha '26 [1-2] Ellen Hommeyer '26 [3-6]
St. Petersburg High School	John Hartney '28	Adam Mendelblatt '26
Green Devils	Ryder Ellis '27 [1-2] Bennett Lamb '29 [3-6]	Parker Connell '28 [1-2] Gloria Privis '26 [3-6]
St. Thomas Aquinas High School	Cole Fanchi '26	Danielle Lynch Smith '26
Raiders	Marin Redmond '28 [1-2] Max Weaver '29 [3-4] Pierce Weber '27 [5-6]	Delfina '26 [1-2]
Suncoast Polytechnical High School	Oliver Woodbury '27	Dominic Thomas '28
Suncoast Polytechnic	James Mccauley '26	Teak Gammaro '28
Westminster Christian School	Castan Conley '27	Daniel Couto '27
Warriors	Peter Gleason '28	Victoria Estrada '27

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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SAISA South Points #3

Division A

Division B

From the notes