Roosevelt High School '26
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.20 (fleet 1.97) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.02 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 23–7 (77%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2024 | 1 | 12–3 | — |
| Spring 2023 | 2 | 11–4 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 3 graded regattas (30 matches) the record is 23–7 against 20.3 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+2.7). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 0 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 1 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-27 | Open Team Race Champs | skipper | 1.18 | 1.92 | 12–3 | 10.6 | +0.73 | 0.6 | 30% |
| 2023-05-20 | NWISA Open Team Race Champs | skipper | 1.02 | 1.88 | 5–2 | 4.0 | +0.86 | 0.5 | 36% |
| 2023-04-23 | Anacortes Team Race Seeding Event | skipper | 0.82 | 1.09 | 6–2 | 5.7 | +0.27 | 0.0 | 58% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Combined Division Invitational Gold | Skipper | A | 10 | 7.3 | 0.82 |
| Spring 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Open Team Race Champs | Skipper | TR | 19 | 79% | — |
| Spring 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| NWISA Open Team Race Champs | Skipper | TR | 14 | 71% | — |
| Anacortes Team Race Seeding Event | Skipper | TR | 11 | 82% | — |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
To have this profile removed, email quinnbrighton2005@gmail.com.
