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68th Professor Schell Trophy

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 120 99 219
2 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 121 99 220
3 Boston College Boston College Eagles 143 87 230
4 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 103 146 249
5 Brown University Brown University Bears 137 137 274
6 Boston University Boston University Terriers 149 138 287
7 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 173 121 294
8 Yale University Yale University Elis 134 162 296
9 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 143 155 298
10 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 164 139 303
11 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 185 168 353
12 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 190 171 361
13 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 183 210 393
14 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 215 235 450
15 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 231 239 470
16 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 263 218 481
17 Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 273 245 518
18 University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 304 308 612
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 R17 R18 TOT Sailors
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 6 5 1 3 12 4 DSQ 10 1 5 1 4 4 14 1 8 2 3 103 Tomas Hornos '10
Lara Hwa '09
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 1 8 10 8 7 2 DSQ 3 13 1 12 1 1 5 4 5 10 10 120 Alan Palmer '11
Lauren Brants '09
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 3 1 6 2 4 12 DSQ 7 14 14 4 7 7 4 2 7 6 2 121 John Reyes '19 [1-18]
Elizabeth Hass '10 [1-15]
Eben Freeman '13 [16-18]
Yale University Yale University Elis 11 4 2 4 13 15 DSQ 15 9 10 3 2 2 2 3 1 11 8 134 Thomas Barrows '10
Blair Belling '11
Brown University Brown University Bears 13 10 3 13 2 11 DSQ 17 3 3 9 3 3 1 5 2 13 7 137 Fred Strammer '11
Maria Mahler-Haug '09
Boston College Boston College Eagles 2 13 14 10 1 7 DSQ 4 11 2 11 5 5 12 9 9 5 4 143 Brian Kamilar '09
Andrew Schneider '09
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 4 9 7 15 14 6 DSQ 6 4 9 5 13 9 9 6 4 3 1 143 Samuel Ingham '11 [1-18]
Cezar Gomez '11 [1-10]
Tanya Cuprak '11 [11-18]
Boston University Boston University Terriers 7 6 12 5 5 1 DSQ 1 5 7 16 10 11 6 14 3 16 5 149 Solomon Tarlin '17
Sarah Manning '16
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 10 3 9 1 10 13 DSQ 9 6 11 2 8 8 13 11 11 8 12 164 Martin Sterling '10
Sara Burke '11
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 9 2 4 7 3 3 DSQ 5 8 17 15 9 13 8 10 12 12 17 173 Matthew Paige '13 [1-14]
Jonathan Pope '17 [15-18]
Maia Agerup '20 [1-14]
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 16 14 11 17 6 5 1 14 2 12 7 11 6 10 8 15 14 14 183 Charles Modica '08 [1-10]
Nat Taylor '09 [11-18]
Sarah Shear '09 [1-10]
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 8 12 8 9 9 8 DSQ 2 7 4 17 17 10 15 13 17 1 9 185 Sam Williams '12
Anne Megargel '09
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 5 11 13 18 15 10 DSQ 13 15 16 6 6 12 3 7 6 9 6 190 Rome Kirby '11 [1-7, 11-18]
Peter Pellegrini '12 [8-10]
Karafaye Buffa '12 [1-8, 11-18]
Megan Vito '15 [9-10]
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 14 15 5 12 11 14 DSQ 18 12 6 8 15 16 7 12 16 4 11 215 Viktor Bolmgren '11
Phoebe Sprague '11
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 15 7 16 11 8 9 DSQ 16 16 8 13 12 15 17 17 10 7 15 231 William Whitman '?? [1-4, 15-18]
Joshua Greenfield '09 [5-14]
Kelly Shea '11 [1-4, 15-18]
Lisa Costich '10 [5-14]
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 12 16 15 6 17 18 DSQ 12 17 15 10 14 17 16 16 13 17 13 263 Kevin Buruchian '09
Shannon Lane '12
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 17 18 18 16 16 16 DSQ 8 10 18 14 18 14 11 15 14 15 16 273 Matthew Bourque '10
Lori Berggren '10
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 18 17 17 14 18 17 DSQ 11 18 13 18 16 18 18 18 18 18 18 304 Daniel Morris '10
Britt Wedenoja '11
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 R17 R18 TOT Sailors
Boston College Boston College Eagles 3 12 3 2 5 3 12 1 1 11 2 4 13 2 4 7 1 1 87 Adam Roberts '09
Carrie Amarante '09
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 1 6 1 5 3 5 7 6 2 1 10 9 9 1 11 6 9 7 99 Jonathan Garrity '09
Grace Charles '11
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 8 8 6 3 2 4 6 2 3 6 4 12 6 6 2 9 2 10 99 Joshua Leighton '10 [1-18]
Eben Freeman '13 [1-14]
Victoria Lee '10 [15-18]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 13 2 10 1 1 1 2 7 6 10 9 3 2 11 12 5 13 13 121 Cy Thompson '11
John Hill '12
Brown University Brown University Bears 7 7 2 BKD 8 2 15 16 11 3 14 2 5 13 5 1 14 4 137 William Brown '10
Lucia Seyfarth '10
Boston University Boston University Terriers 5 17 13 6 7 7 1 9 9 7 6 1 14 10 8 3 12 3 138 Mathew Renik '19
Julia Hall '15
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 14 5 9 12 9 12 14 4 4 4 7 5 7 3 6 10 6 8 139 Tim Murphy '10 [1-18]
Caroline Lockett '12 [1-6, 11-18]
Saverio Maldari '12 [7-10]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 9 1 5 8 6 14 9 17 7 2 3 17 11 14 16 2 3 2 146 John Evans '12
Christina Kelly '09
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 4 13 8 4 10 13 16 3 5 8 15 8 1 15 9 13 5 5 155 Jonathan Duffett '11
Jennifer Lane '15
Yale University Yale University Elis 12 9 4 10 4 11 11 14 13 5 12 11 12 4 1 12 8 9 162 Joseph Morris '12
Grace Becton '09
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 11 3 17 14 14 6 8 8 8 14 5 16 3 7 3 4 15 12 168 Edward Glackin '11
Sarah Freihofer '10
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 6 4 15 16 12 8 4 5 14 9 1 13 8 9 14 11 11 11 171 Peter Pellegrini '12
Lauren Grygiel '10
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 15 16 12 7 15 9 18 12 12 13 8 7 4 5 10 17 16 14 210 Matt Sterett '10 [1-7]
Michael Marshall '11 [8-18]
Elizabeth Pollock '11 [1-7]
Sarah Robertson '11 [8-18]
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 17 11 7 13 11 16 17 10 15 12 11 10 15 16 7 14 10 6 218 R. Dhein '09
Lydia Johnson '09
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 16 15 11 17 16 17 13 15 17 17 16 6 10 8 13 8 4 16 235 Peter Wadden '09 [1-10]
Alex Takata '12 [11-18]
Meredith Steck '09 [1-10]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 14 14 15 18 10 3 13 16 16 13 14 16 12 15 16 17 15 239 Mike Warren '10 [1-4, 11-14]
Ben Quatromoni '10 [5-10, 15-18]
Carolyn Chaikin '10 [1-4, 11-14]
Mykahla Gardiner '09 [5-10, 15-18]
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 10 10 16 11 17 18 5 11 10 15 17 15 17 17 17 15 7 17 245 Edmund Scott Jr '09
William Mclean '12
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 18 18 18 18 13 15 10 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 308 Nachiketa Tiwari '11
Mike Texter '10
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2008 (23 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A15A16A17A18A
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles181817171616151514141313121211111010
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers1717181811223344556677
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears16161515141413131212111110109988
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears15151616171718181122334455
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears3344556677889910101111
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels1414131312121111101099887766
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green131314141515161617171818112233
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson121211111010998877665544
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners1111121213131414151516161717181811
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines665544332211181817171616
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers10109988776655443322
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen22111818171716161515141413131212
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats55667788991010111112121313
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams4433221118181717161615151414
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks9910101111121213131414151516161717
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks88776655443322111818
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos778899101011111212131314141515
Yale UniversityYale University Elis112233445566778899

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B15B16B17B18B
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles181817172626151514141313121211111010
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers1717181811223344556677
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears16161515141413131212111110109988
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears15151616272718181122334455
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears3344556677889910101111
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels1414131312121111101099887766
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green131314141515262627271818112233
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson121211111010998877665544
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners1111121213131414151516161717181811
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines66553434332211181817171616
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers10109988776655443322
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen22111818272726261515141413131212
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats55667788991010111112121313
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams4433221118181717161615151414
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks9910101111121213131414151516161717
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks8877665534343322111818
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos778899101011111212131314141515
Yale UniversityYale University Elis11223334345566778899
School / Team SkipperCrew
Boston College Boston College Brian Kamilar '09 Andrew Schneider '09
Eagles Adam Roberts '09 Carrie Amarante '09
Boston University Boston University Solomon Tarlin '17 Sarah Manning '16
Terriers Mathew Renik '19 Julia Hall '15
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Viktor Bolmgren '11 Phoebe Sprague '11
Polar Bears Peter Wadden '09 [1-10]
Alex Takata '12 [11-18]		 Meredith Steck '09 [1-10]
Brown University Brown University Fred Strammer '11 Maria Mahler-Haug '09
Bears William Brown '10 Lucia Seyfarth '10
Connecticut College Connecticut College Charles Modica '08 [1-10]
Nat Taylor '09 [11-18]		 Sarah Shear '09 [1-10]
Camels Matt Sterett '10 [1-7]
Michael Marshall '11 [8-18]		 Elizabeth Pollock '11 [1-7]
Sarah Robertson '11 [8-18]
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Sam Williams '12 Anne Megargel '09
Big Green Edward Glackin '11 Sarah Freihofer '10
Harvard University Harvard University Alan Palmer '11 Lauren Brants '09
Crimson Jonathan Garrity '09 Grace Charles '11
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Matthew Bourque '10 Lori Berggren '10
Mariners Edmund Scott Jr '09 William Mclean '12
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology John Reyes '19 [1-18] Elizabeth Hass '10 [1-15]
Eben Freeman '13 [16-18]
Engineers Joshua Leighton '10 [1-18] Eben Freeman '13 [1-14]
Victoria Lee '10 [15-18]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Matthew Paige '13 [1-14]
Jonathan Pope '17 [15-18]		 Maia Agerup '20 [1-14]
Hawks Cy Thompson '11 John Hill '12
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Rome Kirby '11 [1-7, 11-18]
Peter Pellegrini '12 [8-10]		 Karafaye Buffa '12 [1-8, 11-18]
Megan Vito '15 [9-10]
Seahawks Peter Pellegrini '12 Lauren Grygiel '10
Tufts University Tufts University Tomas Hornos '10 Lara Hwa '09
Jumbos John Evans '12 Christina Kelly '09
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Samuel Ingham '11 [1-18] Cezar Gomez '11 [1-10]
Tanya Cuprak '11 [11-18]
Bears Jonathan Duffett '11 Jennifer Lane '15
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Martin Sterling '10 Sara Burke '11
Midshipmen Tim Murphy '10 [1-18] Caroline Lockett '12 [1-6, 11-18]
Saverio Maldari '12 [7-10]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Daniel Morris '10 Britt Wedenoja '11
Wolverines Nachiketa Tiwari '11 Mike Texter '10
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Kevin Buruchian '09 Shannon Lane '12
Wildcats R. Dhein '09 Lydia Johnson '09
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island William Whitman '?? [1-4, 15-18]
Joshua Greenfield '09 [5-14]		 Kelly Shea '11 [1-4, 15-18]
Lisa Costich '10 [5-14]
Rams Mike Warren '10 [1-4, 11-14]
Ben Quatromoni '10 [5-10, 15-18]		 Carolyn Chaikin '10 [1-4, 11-14]
Mykahla Gardiner '09 [5-10, 15-18]
Yale University Yale University Thomas Barrows '10 Blair Belling '11
Elis Joseph Morris '12 Grace Becton '09

Conditions — 11/01/2008 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 66%  ·  Pressure 1022.5 hPa

Temperature

51°F
↑ 55°F   ↓ 45°F
Feels like 45°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.5 kn
avg  ·  max 8.9 kn
Gusts to 17.3 kn
From NNE (17°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover55% Sunshine9.3 hrs Humidity66% Pressure1022.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 10 kn · NE 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at MIT: an underdogs’ day (−0.09)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.02 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.10
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.06 ± 0.08)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.09 means a rating gap counts about 8% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at MIT by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (112 labelled days at MIT).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →