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Southern Series 5

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 38 30 68
2 Yale University Yale University Elis 48 26 74
3 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 1 31 85 116
4 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 83 36 119
5 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 56 68 124
6 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 67 63 130
7 Brown University Brown University Bears 61 73 134
8 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 80 54 134
9 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 75 74 149
10 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 2 128 103 231
11 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 112 125 237
12 Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 98 140 238
13 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 124 124 248
14 Friars Friars Friars 165 165 330
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 1 6 2 7 2 2 4 1 2 1 1 3 31 Krysta Rohde '11
Justine Morrison '13
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 7 6 5 5 1 2 3 1 4 2 2 38 Stephen Hansel '11
Lindsey Leclair '11
Yale University Yale University Elis 1 3 6 3 3 13 2 5 5 3 4 48 Genoa Warner '12
Rafael Fernandez '13
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 3 5 2 6 7 5 4 3 10 6 5 56 Joseph Kelleher '12
Taylor Maguire '12
Brown University Brown University Bears 4 8 1 7 10 1 5 4 7 8 6 61 Nikolas Osvalds '11
Molly Bernstein '13
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 9 7 11 1 4 6 11 6 6 5 1 67 Eric Schwarm '13
Megan Carlson '12
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 5 1 10 4 12 8 6 8 2 9 10 75 Sean Badger '10
Jared Rodriguez '13
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 8 9 4 8 8 3 7 9 8 7 9 80 Matthew Schon '11
Nicole Ioannilli '13
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 10 4 13 10 5 9 8 10 3 4 7 83 Meghan Pesch '11
Midori Tanaka '12
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 2 11 3 11 9 7 9 13 11 11 11 98 Angus Page '12
Caroline Eisenmann '12
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 12 13 9 9 13 12 10 7 9 10 8 112 Bryant Dunn '13
Sarah Moffitt '12
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 11 12 12 12 6 11 13 11 12 12 12 124 John Giuliano '11
Eleanor Leonard '13
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 2 13 10 8 13 11 10 12 12 13 13 13 128 Chris Grabe '10
Rebecca O'Connor '13
Friars Friars Friars DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 165
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Yale University Yale University Elis 4 2 3 1 1 1 3 1 3 6 1 26 Michael Hession '10
Jared Shenson '12
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 7 1 2 3 3 2 2 2 5 2 30 Brennen Drysdale '11
Elizabeth Fusco '11
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 5 3 2 3 2 4 1 8 1 2 5 36 Henry Blanchette '13
Stephen Janick '13
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 6 1 8 7 5 2 4 7 4 7 3 54 Kyle Carney '13
Tom Mckenzie '13
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 7 4 5 6 6 6 6 6 7 3 7 63 Matthew Paige '13
Robert Devens '13
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 3 5 4 5 7 7 10 5 6 8 8 68 Hunter Mumma '12
Brown University Brown University Bears 8 8 7 10 8 5 9 3 5 4 6 73 Madeleine Harvey '12
Christopher Gill '12
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 9 6 9 8 4 8 5 4 8 9 4 74 Neal Drake '12
Rebecca Rothman '13
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 1 2 11 11 4 10 10 8 10 9 1 9 85 Ellen Kintz '13
Matthew Stroebel '12
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 2 12 9 6 9 9 9 7 9 11 10 12 103 Joseph Dillier '12
Kathryn Weber '13
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 11 12 12 11 12 11 12 12 10 11 10 124 Eleanor Leonard '13
Kelley Connolly '13
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 10 10 10 13 11 12 13 11 12 12 11 125 Daniel Kohanna '12
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 13 13 13 12 13 13 11 13 13 13 13 140
Friars Friars Friars DNS DNS DNS DSQ DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 165
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (6 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears11111111111
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 122222222222
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 22020202020202020202020
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies1111111111111111111111
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats44444444444
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies55555555555
FriarsFriars Friars66666666666
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams77777777777
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks88888888888
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks99999999999
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1010101010101010101010
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1212121212121212121212
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals1313131313131313131313
Yale UniversityYale University Elis1414141414141414141414

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears11111111111
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 122222222222
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 22020202020202020202020
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies1111111111111111111111
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats44444444444
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies55555555555
FriarsFriars Friars66666666666
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams77777777777
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks88888888888
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks99999999999
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1010101010101010101010
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1212121212121212121212
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals1313131313131313131313
Yale UniversityYale University Elis1414141414141414141414

Conditions — 10/10/2009 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 71%  ·  Pressure 1009.3 hPa

Temperature

63°F
↑ 65°F   ↓ 58°F
Feels like 59°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.9 kn
avg  ·  max 11.1 kn
Gusts to 26.0 kn
From NW (311°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover97% Sunshine6.5 hrs Humidity71% Pressure1009.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 14 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Coast Guard: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.10)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.06 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.16
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.37 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.10 means a rating gap counts about 9% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Coast Guard by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (57 labelled days at Coast Guard).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →