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Women's Fingerlake

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 49 35 84
2 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 45 42 87
3 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 36 61 97
4 Yale University Yale University Elis 29 75 104
5 Brown University Brown University Bears 75 31 106
6 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 72 58 130
7 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 68 84 152
8 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 97 66 163
9 Washington College Washington College Shoremen 81 97 178
10 McGill University McGill University Redbirds 125 131 256
11 Hamilton College Hamilton College Hamilton 135 124 259
12 Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 128 135 263
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Yale University Yale University Elis 2 2 4 3 4 2 1 3 1 5 1 1 29 Sarah Lihan '10
Elizabeth Brim '11
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 3 3 6 4 1 1 2 1 5 6 2 2 36 Christina Pryne '10
Theresa James '10
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 1 1 1 5 6 5 11 5 2 2 3 3 45 Rebecca Dellenbaugh '10
Rachel Moncton '12
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 4 4 3 7 3 3 3 6 3 1 5 7 49 Stephanie Roble '11 [1-12]
Ashley Pellerito '11 [1-4, 7-12]
Ashley Brusso '10 [5-6]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 5 5 8 2 7 10 5 2 4 9 7 4 68 Sarah Yuskaitis '11
Hannah Littell '11
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 8 6 5 1 5 8 7 4 9 8 6 5 72 Mayumi Roller '13
Gina Marie Mattera '13
Brown University Brown University Bears 9 8 2 8 8 4 6 8 7 3 4 8 75 Emily Dellenbaugh '12
Margot Elmaleh '12
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 10 7 7 6 2 6 8 7 6 4 9 9 81 Mildred Conroy '12
Emily Fetherston '13
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 6 9 9 10 11 7 4 9 11 7 8 6 97 Hillary Paulsen '13 [1-12]
Heather Knowlton '11 [1-6]
Alexandra Gensemer '13 [7-12]
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 7 12 10 12 9 12 9 12 10 11 10 11 125 Natalie Fohl '11
Raphael Dumas '11
Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 11 11 12 11 10 11 12 11 8 10 11 10 128 Kaitlyn French '13
Allison Herard '11
Hamilton College Hamilton College Hamilton 12 10 11 9 12 9 10 10 DNS DNS DNS DNS 135 Julie Webster '11 [1-12]
Kelsey Hiscano '12 [1-2, 5-6, 9-12]
Anna Mikhailovich '12 [3-4, 7-8]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Brown University Brown University Bears 4 1 2 1 1 6 3 2 RDG 1 1 5 31 Elizabeth Barry '11
Logan Shanney '13
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 6 4 1 2 2 1 5 1 3 2 4 4 35 Katrina Williams '10
Emily Reich '12
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 1 6 7 3 3 4 4 4 2 4 2 2 42 Chandler Salisbury '13
Stephanie Gagnon '10
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 3 2 4 10 5 2 6 12 1 3 7 3 58 Ainsley Thomson '13
Madeline Jackson '11
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 7 3 10 7 4 3 1 7 4 8 6 1 61 Sara Burke '11
Jaquina Soland '11
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 2 5 5 4 7 7 2 6 6 5 8 9 66 Lauren Turner '13
Emma Lejeune '13
Yale University Yale University Elis 5 8 3 6 6 5 9 10 8 6 3 6 75 Rebecca Jackson '10
Stephanie Schuyler '12
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 9 9 6 5 10 9 8 3 5 7 5 8 84 Catherine Pelo '13
Aimee Kelleher '13
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 8 7 11 8 8 8 7 8 7 9 9 7 97 Amanda Anastasia '13
Genevieve Smith '10
Hamilton College Hamilton College Hamilton 10 10 9 9 9 10 10 5 DNS DNS DNS DNS 124 Sarah Kelley '12 [1-12]
Sarah Weatherall '12 [1-6, 9-12]
Kelsey Hiscano '12 [7-8]
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 11 11 8 12 11 11 12 9 DNS DNS 10 10 131 Gabrielle Heine '12
Emma Millson-Taylor '13
Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 12 12 12 11 12 12 11 11 10 10 11 11 135 Elizabeth Demeusy '12
Sara Fritz '12
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (17 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears11335577991111
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red2212121010886644
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green33557799111111
Hamilton CollegeHamilton College Hamilton4422121210108866
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen55779911111133
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds6644221212101088
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen77991111113355
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs8866442212121010
Penn State UniversityPenn State University Nittany Lions99111111335577
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks1010886644221212
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen11111133557799
Yale UniversityYale University Elis1212101088664422

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears2244668810101212
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red11111199775533
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green4466881010121222
Hamilton CollegeHamilton College Hamilton33111111997755
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen6688101012122244
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds55331111119977
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen8810101212224466
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs77553311111199
Penn State UniversityPenn State University Nittany Lions1010121222446688
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks99775533111111
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen1212224466881010
Yale UniversityYale University Elis11119977553311
School / Team SkipperCrew
Brown University Brown University Emily Dellenbaugh '12 Margot Elmaleh '12
Bears Elizabeth Barry '11 Logan Shanney '13
Cornell University Cornell University Hillary Paulsen '13 [1-12] Heather Knowlton '11 [1-6]
Alexandra Gensemer '13 [7-12]
Big Red Lauren Turner '13 Emma Lejeune '13
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Rebecca Dellenbaugh '10 Rachel Moncton '12
Big Green Chandler Salisbury '13 Stephanie Gagnon '10
Hamilton College Hamilton College Julie Webster '11 [1-12] Kelsey Hiscano '12 [1-2, 5-6, 9-12]
Anna Mikhailovich '12 [3-4, 7-8]
Hamilton Sarah Kelley '12 [1-12] Sarah Weatherall '12 [1-6, 9-12]
Kelsey Hiscano '12 [7-8]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Sarah Yuskaitis '11 Hannah Littell '11
Statesmen Catherine Pelo '13 Aimee Kelleher '13
McGill University McGill University Natalie Fohl '11 Raphael Dumas '11
Redbirds Gabrielle Heine '12 Emma Millson-Taylor '13
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Stephanie Roble '11 [1-12] Ashley Pellerito '11 [1-4, 7-12]
Ashley Brusso '10 [5-6]
Monarchs Katrina Williams '10 Emily Reich '12
Penn State University Penn State University Kaitlyn French '13 Allison Herard '11
Nittany Lions Elizabeth Demeusy '12 Sara Fritz '12
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Mayumi Roller '13 Gina Marie Mattera '13
Seahawks Ainsley Thomson '13 Madeline Jackson '11
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Christina Pryne '10 Theresa James '10
Midshipmen Sara Burke '11 Jaquina Soland '11
Washington College Washington College Mildred Conroy '12 Emily Fetherston '13
Shoremen Amanda Anastasia '13 Genevieve Smith '10
Yale University Yale University Sarah Lihan '10 Elizabeth Brim '11
Elis Rebecca Jackson '10 Stephanie Schuyler '12

Conditions — 10/03/2009 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 63%  ·  Pressure 1010.0 hPa

Temperature

62°F
↑ 67°F   ↓ 53°F
Feels like 58°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.8 kn
avg  ·  max 9.3 kn
Gusts to 21.0 kn
From SSW (191°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover32% Sunshine10.8 hrs Humidity63% Pressure1010.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 10 kn · W 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Cornell: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.05
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.05 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Cornell by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (70 labelled days at Cornell).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →