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Crew's Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 15 16 31
2 Brown University Brown University Bears 21 12 33
3 Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 28 29 57
4 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 51 29 80
5 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers 49 32 81
6 Brandeis University Brandeis University Judges 24 58 82
7 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 38 49 87
8 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 43 51 94
9 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 52 47 99
10 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 68 35 103
11 Amherst College Amherst College Lord Jeffs 43 76 119
12 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 64 65 129
13 Wellesley College Wellesley College Blue 71 60 131
14 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 64 73 137
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 2 1 2 3 2 5 15 Benjmain Berg '12
Leah Hughes '11
Brown University Brown University Bears 5 3 1 4 4 4 21 Tucker Adams '11
Max Straus '11
Brandeis University Brandeis University Judges 1 4 5 1 3 10 24 Helaine Meyer '14
Andrea Verdeja '14
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 8 7 4 7 1 1 28 Oliver Jennings '14
Eric Von Hohenleiten '13
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 12 2 3 9 6 6 38 Sara Makaretz '14
Margaret Bacon '14
Amherst College Amherst College Lord Jeffs 3 8 12 11 7 2 43 Jesse Lang '14
Nicholas Fournier '??
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 4 6 8 6 11 8 43 Sarah Pollick '14
Kathryn Desutter '13
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers 13 5 DSQ 2 5 9 49 Erik Verlage '11
Keren Gu '14
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 11 9 10 5 9 7 51 Roberto Melã©Ndez '12
David Rodriguez Fuentes '13
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 9 10 6 8 8 11 52 Estelle Beguin '14
Ainsley Price '14
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 6 11 7 14 14 12 64 Molly Hermann '12
Elizabeth Deveau '13
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 14 13 9 13 12 3 64 Katelyn Guerrera '12
James Fales '13
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 7 14 13 10 10 14 68 Philip Driscoll '14
Mark Funke '12
Wellesley College Wellesley College Blue 10 12 11 12 13 13 71 Emma Smith '14 [1-6]
Leigh Barton '14 [1-2]
Ann Stallings '12 [3-6]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Brown University Brown University Bears 4 1 2 3 1 1 12 Lauren Krumeich '11
Emmett Weeks '14
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 3 3 1 1 6 2 16 Mae Speight '13
Molly Clements '13
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 1 5 4 10 5 4 29 Oliver Jennings '14
Eric Von Hohenleiten '13
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 2 4 7 8 3 5 29 Benjamin Shaya '14
Vivek Dasari '14
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers 7 2 6 7 4 6 32 Iris Xu '14
Grace Young '14
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 9 6 3 2 2 13 35 Eric Lenoir '14
Ellen Kintz '13
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 12 7 5 9 7 7 47 Natalie Brady '13
Jessica Hoffman '14
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 6 11 9 6 8 9 49 Lily Madeira '14
Matthew Russell '13
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 5 9 12 4 10 11 51 Stephanie Roush '14
Elizabeth Morris '14
Brandeis University Brandeis University Judges 8 12 10 5 11 12 58 Liat Zabludovsky '13
Meghan Breslin-Jewer '11
Wellesley College Wellesley College Blue 11 8 13 12 13 3 60 Hannah Gross '13
Anna Morton '13
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 13 13 8 11 12 8 65 Daniel Ulacco '14
Zachary Salkin '13
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats DNF DNF 11 13 9 10 73 Brad Coletta '13 [1-2]
Emily Donnery '13 [3-6]
William Trumper '11 [1-2]
Amherst College Amherst College Lord Jeffs 10 10 14 14 14 14 76 Jesse Lang '14
Marco Catipovic '14
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2008 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Amherst CollegeAmherst College Lord Jeffs114466
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears335577
Brandeis UniversityBrandeis University Judges446688
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears557799
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears66881010
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies15151144
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners77991111
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers8810101212
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers9911111414
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers101012121515
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats111114141616
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies1212151511
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1414161633
Wellesley CollegeWellesley College Blue16163355

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Amherst CollegeAmherst College Lord Jeffs335577
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears446688
Brandeis UniversityBrandeis University Judges557799
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears66881010
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears77991111
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies16163355
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners8810101212
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers9911111414
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers101012121515
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers111114141616
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats1212151511
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies1414161633
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos15151144
Wellesley CollegeWellesley College Blue114466
School / Team SkipperCrew
Amherst College Amherst College Jesse Lang '14 Nicholas Fournier '??
Lord Jeffs Jesse Lang '14 Marco Catipovic '14
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Benjmain Berg '12 Leah Hughes '11
Polar Bears Mae Speight '13 Molly Clements '13
Brandeis University Brandeis University Helaine Meyer '14 Andrea Verdeja '14
Judges Liat Zabludovsky '13 Meghan Breslin-Jewer '11
Brown University Brown University Tucker Adams '11 Max Straus '11
Bears Lauren Krumeich '11 Emmett Weeks '14
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Oliver Jennings '14 Eric Von Hohenleiten '13
Mariners Oliver Jennings '14 Eric Von Hohenleiten '13
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Erik Verlage '11 Keren Gu '14
Beavers Iris Xu '14 Grace Young '14
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Roberto Melã©Ndez '12 David Rodriguez Fuentes '13
Engineers Benjamin Shaya '14 Vivek Dasari '14
Middlebury College Middlebury College Sarah Pollick '14 Kathryn Desutter '13
Panthers Stephanie Roush '14 Elizabeth Morris '14
Northeastern University Northeastern University Estelle Beguin '14 Ainsley Price '14
Huskies Natalie Brady '13 Jessica Hoffman '14
Tufts University Tufts University Sara Makaretz '14 Margaret Bacon '14
Jumbos Lily Madeira '14 Matthew Russell '13
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Philip Driscoll '14 Mark Funke '12
Bears Eric Lenoir '14 Ellen Kintz '13
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Katelyn Guerrera '12 James Fales '13
Huskies Daniel Ulacco '14 Zachary Salkin '13
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Molly Hermann '12 Elizabeth Deveau '13
Wildcats Brad Coletta '13 [1-2]
Emily Donnery '13 [3-6]		 William Trumper '11 [1-2]
Wellesley College Wellesley College Emma Smith '14 [1-6] Leigh Barton '14 [1-2]
Ann Stallings '12 [3-6]
Blue Hannah Gross '13 Anna Morton '13

Conditions — 11/07/2010 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 62%  ·  Pressure 1020.6 hPa

Temperature

42°F
↑ 46°F   ↓ 38°F
Feels like 33°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
11.3 kn
avg  ·  max 12.5 kn
Gusts to 23.7 kn
From NNW (347°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover90% Sunshine4.9 hrs Humidity62% Pressure1020.6 hPa Rain0.03 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 13 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at MIT: an underdogs’ day (−0.06)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.19 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.14
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.26 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at MIT by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (112 labelled days at MIT).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →