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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 1 18 50 68
2 University of Victoria University of Victoria Thunder 60 13 73
3 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 61 MRP 25 86 MRP
4 University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Puget Sound 27 61 88
5 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 4 51 41 MRP 92 MRP
6 University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 42 58 100
7 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 47 54 101
8 Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 2 62 MRP 42 104 MRP
9 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 45 MRP 66 MRP 111 MRP
10 University of British Columbia University of British Columbia British Columbia 60 MRP 53 MRP 113 MRP
11 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 48 68 116
12 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 74 MRP 62 MRP 136 MRP
13 Oregon State University Oregon State University Oregon State 77 MRP 70 MRP 147 MRP
14 University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Loggers 81 77 158
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 1 2 4 2 1 4 5 18 Leila Whitney '13 [1-5]
Aldyn Brudie '13 [6]
Aldyn Brudie '13 [1-5]
Leila Whitney '13 [6]
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Puget Sound 5 6 6 4 2 4 27 David Eva '12
Kyle Kubler '13
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 3 10 12 5 5 7 42 Katherine Emberley '13
Philip Gordon '12
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 6 2 5 2 8 2 45 MRP Jake Antles '13
Caylin Cordray '13
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 7 12 13 9 3 3 47 Charles Hartman '13
Angela Gossom '13
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 1 1 1 DNS DNS DNS 48 Aaron Scull '12
Andrew Fitzgerald '16
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 4 8 13 7 7 10 6 51 Sarah Hanavan '13
Peter Mcgrath '13
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia British Columbia 4 8 4 10 6 8 60 MRP Rebecca Power '13
Karl Jensen '13
University of Victoria University of Victoria Thunder 12 9 10 8 11 10 60 Sarah Loeppky '14
Mark Feeney '14
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 13 3 3 3 7 12 61 MRP Ian Reeves '12
Dong Vo '11
Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 2 11 7 11 11 1 1 62 MRP Mitchell Mclean '12
Sarah Derby '14
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 9 5 8 12 9 11 74 MRP Debbi Kenote '13
Sarah Stephens '12
Oregon State University Oregon State University Oregon State 10 11 9 6 12 9 77 MRP Carl Fixsen '12
Carl Fixsen '12
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Loggers 14 14 14 13 13 13 81 Kelsey Cohan '13
Gaelyn Moore '13
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
University of Victoria University of Victoria Thunder 1 2 1 2 2 5 13 Brianna Cerkiewicz '14
Robert Berry '13
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 2 9 5 4 4 1 25 Kristina Stewart '14
Paul Foley '15
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 4 3 1 3 1 11 2 41 MRP Sara Welsh '12
Shelby Allman '13
Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 2 9 6 9 6 9 3 42 Brianne Busey '14 [1-3]
Hannah Sheets '13 [4-6]
Graham Dudik '11 [1-3]
Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 1 7 13 10 5 5 10 50 Jackson Thomas '15 [1-6]
Alyssa Staples '14 [1-3]
Kali Pauling '14 [4-6]
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia British Columbia 4 4 8 8 1 8 53 MRP Elisha Allen '13
Alex Dodd '13
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 12 11 11 9 7 4 54 Veronica Whitley '12
Sophie Gryczan '13
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 8 14 13 11 3 9 58 Taisuke Kamoshita '11
Sophia Brady '14
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Puget Sound 13 3 12 12 DNF 6 61 Lindsay Maggard '14
Danique Gigger '14
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 5 8 7 7 8 7 62 MRP Kirsten Campbell '13
Rachael Mccrady '14
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 6 7 2 10 10 11 66 MRP Molly Utter '14
Alyce Flanagan '13
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 14 5 4 DNS DNS DNS 68 Brendan Philip '14
Samuel Fletcher '13
Oregon State University Oregon State University Oregon State 10 10 6 3 6 DNF 70 MRP Carl Fixsen '12
Carl Fixsen '12
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Loggers 11 12 14 13 DNF 12 77 Diana Fahning '13
Amy Moscowitz '14
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia British Columbia848484848484
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks333333
Oregon State UniversityOregon State University Oregon State757575757575
Portland State UniversityPortland State University Vikings 1777777777777
Portland State UniversityPortland State University Vikings 2787878787878
University of Puget SoundUniversity of Puget Sound Loggers100010001000100010001000
University of Puget SoundUniversity of Puget Sound Puget Sound222222
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Thunder838383838383
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 1737373737373
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 2111111111111
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 1878787878787
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 2111111
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 3272727272727
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 4888888888888

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia British Columbia848484848484
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks333333
Oregon State UniversityOregon State University Oregon State757575757575
Portland State UniversityPortland State University Vikings 1777777777777
Portland State UniversityPortland State University Vikings 2787878787878
University of Puget SoundUniversity of Puget Sound Loggers100010001000100010001000
University of Puget SoundUniversity of Puget Sound Puget Sound222222
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Thunder838383838383
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 1737373737373
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 2111111111111
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 1878787878787
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 2111111
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 3272727272727
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 4888888888888
School / Team SkipperCrew
Oregon State University Oregon State University Carl Fixsen '12 Carl Fixsen '12
Oregon State Carl Fixsen '12 Carl Fixsen '12
Portland State University Portland State University Leila Whitney '13 [1-5]
Aldyn Brudie '13 [6]		 Aldyn Brudie '13 [1-5]
Leila Whitney '13 [6]
Vikings 1 Jackson Thomas '15 [1-6] Alyssa Staples '14 [1-3]
Kali Pauling '14 [4-6]
Portland State University Portland State University Mitchell Mclean '12 Sarah Derby '14
Vikings 2 Brianne Busey '14 [1-3]
Hannah Sheets '13 [4-6]		 Graham Dudik '11 [1-3]
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia Rebecca Power '13 Karl Jensen '13
British Columbia Elisha Allen '13 Alex Dodd '13
University of Oregon University of Oregon Katherine Emberley '13 Philip Gordon '12
Ducks Taisuke Kamoshita '11 Sophia Brady '14
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Kelsey Cohan '13 Gaelyn Moore '13
Loggers Diana Fahning '13 Amy Moscowitz '14
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound David Eva '12 Kyle Kubler '13
Puget Sound Lindsay Maggard '14 Danique Gigger '14
University of Victoria University of Victoria Sarah Loeppky '14 Mark Feeney '14
Thunder Brianna Cerkiewicz '14 Robert Berry '13
University of Washington University of Washington Aaron Scull '12 Andrew Fitzgerald '16
Huskies 1 Brendan Philip '14 Samuel Fletcher '13
University of Washington University of Washington Jake Antles '13 Caylin Cordray '13
Huskies 2 Molly Utter '14 Alyce Flanagan '13
Western Washington University Western Washington University Debbi Kenote '13 Sarah Stephens '12
Vikings 1 Kirsten Campbell '13 Rachael Mccrady '14
Western Washington University Western Washington University Ian Reeves '12 Dong Vo '11
Vikings 2 Kristina Stewart '14 Paul Foley '15
Western Washington University Western Washington University Charles Hartman '13 Angela Gossom '13
Vikings 3 Veronica Whitley '12 Sophie Gryczan '13
Western Washington University Western Washington University Sarah Hanavan '13 Peter Mcgrath '13
Vikings 4 Sara Welsh '12 Shelby Allman '13

Conditions — 11/06/2010 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 92%  ·  Pressure 1007.1 hPa

Temperature

50°F
↑ 53°F   ↓ 45°F
Feels like 48°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.3 kn
avg  ·  max 6.7 kn
Gusts to 20.2 kn
From ESE (104°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover94% Sunshine2.6 hrs Humidity92% Pressure1007.1 hPa Rain0.07 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 6 kn · S 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Western Washington: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.17 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.20
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.18 ± 0.19)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Western Washington by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (23 labelled days at Western Washington).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →