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Maisa Women's Fall

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 32 24 56
2 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 25 41 66
3 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 40 43 83
4 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 61 37 98
5 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 38 79 117
6 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 69 65 134
7 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 92 49 141
8 George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 74 69 143
9 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 63 101 164
10 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 114 101 215
11 William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 117 121 238
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 5 3 2 2 2 1 2 1 1 3 3 25 Caroline Patten '11
Jane Rew '14
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 3 2 1 7 1 4 4 5 2 2 1 32 Sydney Bolger '12
Rebecca Evans '12
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 2 1 3 1 4 8 7 6 3 1 2 38 Mayumi Roller '13
Lauren Schoene '13
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 4 6 5 4 3 2 1 3 RDG 4 4 40 Amanda Johnson '11
Kelsi Schoenrock '12
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 1 4 7 3 7 7 5 4 8 9 6 61 Corina Radtke '14
Jordan Stock '12
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 9 5 4 8 5 5 8 2 4 6 7 63 Ryann Hall '11
Sarah Mckay '12
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 6 9 10 5 6 6 3 8 6 5 5 69 Lauren Turner '13
Martha Peterson '12
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 7 7 6 6 8 3 6 7 5 7 DNF 74 Meredith Carroll '11 [1-11]
Skye Kussman '13 [1-6, 9-11]
Anne Laterra '11 [7-8]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 8 8 8 9 9 9 9 9 7 8 8 92 Killian Corbishley '14 [1-2, 9-11]
Laura Burzenski '14 [3-8]
Laura Burzenski '14 [1-2, 9]
Britana Cremean '14 [3-8, 10-11]
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 11 11 11 11 10 10 11 11 9 10 9 114 Jessie Shifalo '11 [1-11]
Samantha Sofge '14 [1-4, 7-8]
Marie Morrow '14 [5-6, 9-11]
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 10 10 9 10 11 11 10 10 DNF DNS DNS 117 Catherine Olsen '12 [1-11]
Kaylor Wright '13 [1-8]
Meghan Tamminen '12 [9-11]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 3 2 1 2 1 6 2 4 1 1 1 24 Lauren Burke '12 [1-11]
Victoria Lynch '13 [1-2]
Nancy Hagood '14 [3-11]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 5 1 3 7 4 2 1 3 6 3 2 37 Katie Cummings '14
Jill Fattibene '14
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 2 4 2 8 5 1 8 2 4 2 3 41 Sarah Yuskaitis '11 [1-6, 9-11]
Brooke Lyon '14 [7-8]
Camille Conover '14 [1-6, 9-11]
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 1 3 5 3 6 4 4 1 3 8 5 43 Emma Kofmehl '13
Christina Johns '13
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 4 6 4 5 2 5 3 6 2 6 6 49 Sara Burke '11 [1-11]
Caroline Lockett '12 [1-8]
Britana Cremean '14 [9-11]
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 9 7 6 4 3 8 7 5 5 4 7 65 Alison Love '11
Katherine Soule '14
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 6 8 8 1 7 3 5 7 7 7 10 69 Kathleen Hilton '12
Sonya Ropek '14
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 7 5 7 9 9 10 6 9 8 5 4 79 Ainsley Thomson '13
Nina-Mercedes Rabin '13
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 8 10 9 10 10 9 9 10 9 9 8 101 Amanda Tooker '11
Mia Cooper '14
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners RAF 9 10 6 8 7 10 8 10 DSQ 9 101 Maggy Ashton '14
Erin Hofstetter '14
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 10 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 DNF 11 121 Briana Paxton '11 [1-8]
Liz Wolfe '14 [9-11]
Ashby Gaines '13 [1-8]
Erin Spencer '14 [9-11]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (49 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red113355779911
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams2244668810101
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials3355779911112
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas4466881010113
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen5577991111224
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners6688101011335
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen7799111122446
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs8810101133557
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers9911112244668
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks1010113355779
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe11112244668810

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red22446688101011
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams3355779911111
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials4466881010112
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas5577991111223
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen6688101011334
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners7799111122445
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen8810101133556
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs9911112244667
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers1010113355778
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks1111224466889
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe113355779910
School / Team SkipperCrew
Cornell University Cornell University Lauren Turner '13 Martha Peterson '12
Big Red Alison Love '11 Katherine Soule '14
Fordham University Fordham University Ryann Hall '11 Sarah Mckay '12
Rams Amanda Tooker '11 Mia Cooper '14
George Washington University George Washington University Meredith Carroll '11 [1-11] Skye Kussman '13 [1-6, 9-11]
Anne Laterra '11 [7-8]
Colonials Kathleen Hilton '12 Sonya Ropek '14
Georgetown University Georgetown University Sydney Bolger '12 Rebecca Evans '12
Hoyas Lauren Burke '12 [1-11] Victoria Lynch '13 [1-2]
Nancy Hagood '14 [3-11]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Caroline Patten '11 Jane Rew '14
Statesmen Sarah Yuskaitis '11 [1-6, 9-11]
Brooke Lyon '14 [7-8]		 Camille Conover '14 [1-6, 9-11]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Corina Radtke '14 Jordan Stock '12
Monarchs Katie Cummings '14 Jill Fattibene '14
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Mayumi Roller '13 Lauren Schoene '13
Seahawks Ainsley Thomson '13 Nina-Mercedes Rabin '13
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Jessie Shifalo '11 [1-11] Samantha Sofge '14 [1-4, 7-8]
Marie Morrow '14 [5-6, 9-11]
Mariners Maggy Ashton '14 Erin Hofstetter '14
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Killian Corbishley '14 [1-2, 9-11]
Laura Burzenski '14 [3-8]		 Laura Burzenski '14 [1-2, 9]
Britana Cremean '14 [3-8, 10-11]
Midshipmen Sara Burke '11 [1-11] Caroline Lockett '12 [1-8]
Britana Cremean '14 [9-11]
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Amanda Johnson '11 Kelsi Schoenrock '12
Quakers Emma Kofmehl '13 Christina Johns '13
William and Mary William and Mary Catherine Olsen '12 [1-11] Kaylor Wright '13 [1-8]
Meghan Tamminen '12 [9-11]
Tribe Briana Paxton '11 [1-8]
Liz Wolfe '14 [9-11]		 Ashby Gaines '13 [1-8]
Erin Spencer '14 [9-11]

Conditions — 11/06/2010 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 69%  ·  Pressure 1019.7 hPa

Temperature

51°F
↑ 53°F   ↓ 47°F
Feels like 44°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.8 kn
avg  ·  max 11.1 kn
Gusts to 23.5 kn
From N (359°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover49% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity69% Pressure1019.7 hPa Rain0.19 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 14 kn · N 18 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Old Dominion: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.02 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.01
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.35 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Old Dominion by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (76 labelled days at Old Dominion).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →