North/North

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 29 32 61
2 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 5 31 33 64
3 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 52 39 91
4 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 73 36 109
5 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 51 60 111
6 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 75 71 146
7 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 60 93 153
8 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 4 81 94 175
9 University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Puget Sound 102 79 181
10 ICSA-BUSA Participants ICSA-BUSA Participants College Sailing 113 77 190
11 University of Victoria University of Victoria Thunder 74 131 205
12 University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Loggers 117 116 233
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 1 1 8 1 2 1 7 2 2 1 3 29 Philip Gordon '12
Hannah Darrow '13
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 5 2 3 1 4 3 2 2 8 3 2 1 31 Patrick Taylor '12
Heather Rees '13
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 5 2 6 8 1 7 3 6 5 4 4 51 Peter Mcgrath '13
Sarah Hanavan '13
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 4 7 3 6 8 3 5 3 4 3 6 52 Alex Waldron '13
Debbi Kenote '13
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 3 5 2 3 4 8 1 1 11 11 11 60 Glen Stellmacher '11 [1-8]
Jimi Miller '13 [9-11]
Jimi Miller '13 [1-8]
Kris Thompson '16 [9-11]
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 7 4 9 5 10 9 8 4 6 9 2 73 Alyce Flanagan '13
Su Lin '13
University of Victoria University of Victoria Thunder 9 9 7 7 6 5 4 5 7 8 7 74 Neil Hawkes '12
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 6 6 5 2 12 10 6 9 9 5 5 75 Ashley Vincent '12
Kristina Stewart '14
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 4 8 8 4 9 11 4 10 10 1 6 10 81 Philip Bowman '11
Veronica Whitley '12
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Puget Sound 11 11 11 11 5 6 9 7 10 12 9 102 Michael Trombatore '12
Christian Cline '14
ICSA-BUSA Participants ICSA-BUSA Participants College Sailing 12 10 12 12 9 12 11 12 8 7 8 113 Aaron Scull '11 [1-11]
Chandler Ames '13 [1-8]
Pete Symes '13 [9-11]
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Loggers 10 12 10 10 7 11 12 11 12 10 12 117 David Eva '12
Kyle Kubler '13
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 2 2 4 1 4 5 1 1 1 4 7 32 Andrew Balter '12 [1-2, 5-6, 9-11]
Cara Kuhlman '11 [3-4, 7-8]
Hyojung Na '12 [1-2, 5-6, 9-11]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 5 5 4 3 3 5 2 4 2 3 1 1 33 Bryan Rust '11
Charles Hartman '13
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 1 1 2 7 1 1 11 4 4 2 2 36 Hannah Darrin '11
Molly Utter '14
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 4 3 1 5 2 3 2 9 2 3 5 39 Paul Foley '15
Meghan Mcdonald '12
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 8 6 5 10 3 4 5 3 6 6 4 60 Matt Marquardt '11
Kirsten Campbell '13
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 6 5 6 6 6 DNF 7 6 5 5 6 71 Angela Gossom '13
Jaime Liljegren '12
ICSA-BUSA Participants ICSA-BUSA Participants College Sailing 7 8 9 2 8 9 9 5 10 7 3 77 Ian Reemes '12
Matt Marquardt '11
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Puget Sound 3 7 7 4 7 8 8 10 8 8 9 79 Ellen Ytterberg '12
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 11 9 8 8 9 7 3 8 9 10 11 93 Jake Antles '13
Alex Vlad '23
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 4 10 11 10 9 11 6 6 7 7 9 8 94 Sara Welsh '12
Sophie Gryczan '13
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Loggers 9 10 11 11 10 10 12 11 11 11 10 116 Aidan Meacham '14
Annin Ramsing '13
University of Victoria University of Victoria Thunder DNF 12 12 12 12 11 10 12 12 12 DNF 131 Neil Hawkes '12
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.190+0.19
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (12 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A
ICSA-BUSA ParticipantsICSA-BUSA Participants College Sailing4444444444444444444444
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks9999999999999999999999
University of Puget SoundUniversity of Puget Sound Loggers33333333333
University of Puget SoundUniversity of Puget Sound Puget Sound22222222222
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Thunder8383838383838383838383
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 199999999999
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 21111111111111111111111
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 14343434343434343434343
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 255555555555
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 366666666666
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 477777777777
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 544444444444

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B
ICSA-BUSA ParticipantsICSA-BUSA Participants College Sailing4444444444444444444444
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks9999999999999999999999
University of Puget SoundUniversity of Puget Sound Loggers33333333333
University of Puget SoundUniversity of Puget Sound Puget Sound22222222222
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Thunder8383838383838383838383
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 199999999999
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 21111111111111111111111
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 14343434343434343434343
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 255555555555
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 366666666666
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 477777777777
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 544444444444

Conditions — 10/02/2010 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 56%  ·  Pressure 1015.7 hPa

Temperature

62°F
↑ 67°F   ↓ 52°F
Feels like 61°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
2.5 kn
avg  ·  max 3.4 kn
Gusts to 13.8 kn
From NNE (31°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover1% Sunshine10.8 hrs Humidity56% Pressure1015.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 6 kn · NE 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Washington: a typical day (−0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.11 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.10
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.11 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Washington by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (37 labelled days at Washington).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →