SAISA Open

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 13 13 26
2 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 27 15 42
3 University of Florida University of Florida Gators 29 35 64
4 Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 42 50 92
5 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 49 47 96
6 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 51 58 109
7 Rollins College Rollins College Rollins 45 75 120
8 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Tech 51 82 133
9 University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 104 38 142
10 University of North Carolina University of North Carolina North Carolina 66 83 149
11 University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington UNC Wilmington 103 56 159
12 Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Florida Tech 86 86 172
13 Emory University Emory University Emory 71 102 173
14 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Jacksonville 103 95 198
15 Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 113 94 207
16 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University North Carolina State 87 130 217
17 Florida Gulf Coast University Florida Gulf Coast University Eagles 121 106 227
18 University of Georgia University of Georgia Georgia 119 122 241
19 Auburn University Auburn University Auburn 123 133 256
20 Florida Atlantic University Florida Atlantic University Florida Atlantic 117 146 263
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 3 1 BYE BYE 1 1 2 1 13 Brendan Faria '13
Caroline Warren '12
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 2 4 1 1 7 7 1 4 27 Alex Olt '12
Nikki Bruno '12
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 1 2 3 7 4 5 4 3 29 William Heausler '13
Michelle Thomas '13
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 5 7 6 2 3 4 7 8 42 Harrison Cabiness '12
Drew Lisicki '12
Rollins College Rollins College Rollins 4 8 7 4 BYE BYE 3 7 45 J Hoyt '11
Alexa Hartman '13
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 9 3 2 12 2 3 12 6 49 Sean Ross '12
Christine Sayler '11
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 7 9 4 9 10 2 8 2 51 Niklas Anderson '15
Rachel Cruz '14
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Tech 8 13 5 3 6 6 5 5 51 Maxwell Hardage '11
Elizabeth Rahn '15
University of North Carolina University of North Carolina North Carolina 12 11 9 5 5 8 BYE BYE 66 Zachary Mathews '12
Kirby Varnadoe-Russ '14
Emory University Emory University Emory 6 5 8 11 14 9 BYE BYE 71 Robert Heinl '11
Brent Morel '12
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Florida Tech BYE BYE 10 10 8 10 15 11 86 Adam Harris '12
Chloe Mallet '12
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University North Carolina State 13 10 13 6 15 11 6 13 87 Joseph Aspland '11
Nicholas Capets '14
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Jacksonville 15 18 12 8 11 12 11 16 103 Michael Todd '11
Joseph Collura '11
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington UNC Wilmington BYE BYE 15 17 9 18 9 9 103 Oliver Evans '12
Shannon Lane '12
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 14 14 BYE BYE 12 16 10 12 104 Ervin Grove '11 [1-8]
Christine Hurst '13 [1-6]
Lucas Kindervater '13 [7-8]
Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 16 17 16 13 BYE BYE 13 10 113 Gregory Bachman '11 [1-8]
Sven Schoenwasser '14 [1-2, 7-8]
Mark Pratt '11 [3-6]
Florida Atlantic University Florida Atlantic University Florida Atlantic 11 16 14 14 13 14 17 18 117 Alexander Stewart '13
Sam Abbott '13
University of Georgia University of Georgia Georgia 10 15 17 15 17 15 16 14 119 Lauren Mclean '13
Dave Shaw '12
Florida Gulf Coast University Florida Gulf Coast University Eagles 17 6 18 16 16 13 18 17 121 Jared Horvitz '13
Sarah Heckler '11
Auburn University Auburn University Auburn 18 12 11 18 18 17 14 15 123 Samuel Hodges '13 [1-8]
Lauren Jennings '12 [1-2]
Elissa Ritchey '12 [3-4]
Anna Sprague '14 [5-8]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 2 1 3 1 1 2 2 1 13 Brendan Faria '13
Caroline Warren '12
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 1 2 1 5 2 1 1 2 15 Alex Olt '12
Nikki Bruno '12
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 3 5 4 2 4 8 5 4 35 William Heausler '13
Michelle Thomas '13
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 10 6 2 3 6 4 4 3 38 Ervin Grove '11 [1-8]
Christine Hurst '13 [1-6]
Lucas Kindervater '13 [7-8]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 4 3 10 12 3 3 BYE BYE 47 Sean Ross '12
Christine Sayler '11
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 6 9 5 8 5 5 BYE BYE 50 Harrison Cabiness '12
Drew Lisicki '12
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington UNC Wilmington 9 8 7 6 10 6 3 7 56 Oliver Evans '12
Shannon Lane '12
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 5 7 13 4 BYE BYE 6 9 58 Niklas Anderson '15
Rachel Cruz '14
Rollins College Rollins College Rollins 11 4 6 11 7 11 12 13 75 J Hoyt '11
Alexa Hartman '13
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Tech 8 10 12 16 8 7 13 8 82 Maxwell Hardage '11
Elizabeth Rahn '15
University of North Carolina University of North Carolina North Carolina 12 14 9 10 13 13 7 5 83 Zachary Mathews '12
Kirby Varnadoe-Russ '14
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Florida Tech DNS 11 8 9 9 14 8 6 86 Adam Harris '12
Chloe Mallet '12
Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 13 15 11 7 11 9 17 11 94 Gregory Bachman '11 [1-8]
Sven Schoenwasser '14 [1-2, 7-8]
Mark Pratt '11 [3-6]
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Jacksonville 14 13 BYE BYE 12 12 10 10 95 Michael Todd '11
Joseph Collura '11
Emory University Emory University Emory 7 12 15 14 14 15 11 14 102 Robert Heinl '11
Brent Morel '12
Florida Gulf Coast University Florida Gulf Coast University Eagles BYE BYE 14 13 15 10 16 12 106 Jared Horvitz '13
Sarah Heckler '11
University of Georgia University of Georgia Georgia BYE 18 16 15 17 17 9 15 122 Lauren Mclean '13
Dave Shaw '12
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University North Carolina State 16 17 17 17 BYE BYE 14 17 130 Joseph Aspland '11
Nicholas Capets '14
Auburn University Auburn University Auburn 15 16 DNF 18 16 16 15 16 133 Samuel Hodges '13 [1-8]
Lauren Jennings '12 [1-2]
Elissa Ritchey '12 [3-4]
Anna Sprague '14 [5-8]
Florida Atlantic University Florida Atlantic University Florida Atlantic 17 DNF BYE BYE 18 18 18 18 146 Alexander Stewart '13
Sam Abbott '13
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.150+0.15
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Auburn11335577
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars22202018181616
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers33557799
Duke UniversityDuke University Blue Devils442220201818
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons5577991111
Emory UniversityEmory University Emory6644222020
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators88664422
Florida Atlantic UniversityFlorida Atlantic University Florida Atlantic779911111313
Florida Gulf Coast UniversityFlorida Gulf Coast University Eagles99111113131515
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Florida Tech1919113355
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Georgia1010886644
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Georgia Tech1111131315151717
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Jacksonville121210108866
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes1818161614141212
University of North CarolinaUniversity of North Carolina North Carolina1313151517171919
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University North Carolina State14141212101088
Rollins CollegeRollins College Rollins15151717191911
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls1616141412121010
University of TennesseeUniversity of Tennessee Volunteers171719191133
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington UNC Wilmington2020181816161414

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Auburn1212141416161818
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars1111997755
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers1414161618182020
Duke UniversityDuke University Blue Devils131311119977
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons16161818202022
Emory UniversityEmory University Emory15151313111199
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators1717151513131111
Florida Atlantic UniversityFlorida Atlantic University Florida Atlantic181820202244
Florida Gulf Coast UniversityFlorida Gulf Coast University Eagles2020224466
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Florida Tech1010121214141616
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Georgia1919171715151313
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Georgia Tech22446688
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Jacksonville11191917171515
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes77553311
University of North CarolinaUniversity of North Carolina North Carolina4466881010
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University North Carolina State331119191717
Rollins CollegeRollins College Rollins668810101212
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls5533111919
University of TennesseeUniversity of Tennessee Volunteers88101012121414
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington UNC Wilmington99775533
School / Team SkipperCrew
Auburn University Auburn University Samuel Hodges '13 [1-8] Lauren Jennings '12 [1-2]
Elissa Ritchey '12 [3-4]
Anna Sprague '14 [5-8]
Auburn Samuel Hodges '13 [1-8] Lauren Jennings '12 [1-2]
Elissa Ritchey '12 [3-4]
Anna Sprague '14 [5-8]
Clemson University Clemson University Harrison Cabiness '12 Drew Lisicki '12
Tigers Harrison Cabiness '12 Drew Lisicki '12
College of Charleston College of Charleston Brendan Faria '13 Caroline Warren '12
Cougars Brendan Faria '13 Caroline Warren '12
Duke University Duke University Gregory Bachman '11 [1-8] Sven Schoenwasser '14 [1-2, 7-8]
Mark Pratt '11 [3-6]
Blue Devils Gregory Bachman '11 [1-8] Sven Schoenwasser '14 [1-2, 7-8]
Mark Pratt '11 [3-6]
Eckerd College Eckerd College Niklas Anderson '15 Rachel Cruz '14
Tritons Niklas Anderson '15 Rachel Cruz '14
Emory University Emory University Robert Heinl '11 Brent Morel '12
Emory Robert Heinl '11 Brent Morel '12
Florida Atlantic University Florida Atlantic University Alexander Stewart '13 Sam Abbott '13
Florida Atlantic Alexander Stewart '13 Sam Abbott '13
Florida Gulf Coast University Florida Gulf Coast University Jared Horvitz '13 Sarah Heckler '11
Eagles Jared Horvitz '13 Sarah Heckler '11
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Adam Harris '12 Chloe Mallet '12
Florida Tech Adam Harris '12 Chloe Mallet '12
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Maxwell Hardage '11 Elizabeth Rahn '15
Georgia Tech Maxwell Hardage '11 Elizabeth Rahn '15
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Michael Todd '11 Joseph Collura '11
Jacksonville Michael Todd '11 Joseph Collura '11
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Joseph Aspland '11 Nicholas Capets '14
North Carolina State Joseph Aspland '11 Nicholas Capets '14
Rollins College Rollins College J Hoyt '11 Alexa Hartman '13
Rollins J Hoyt '11 Alexa Hartman '13
University of Florida University of Florida William Heausler '13 Michelle Thomas '13
Gators William Heausler '13 Michelle Thomas '13
University of Georgia University of Georgia Lauren Mclean '13 Dave Shaw '12
Georgia Lauren Mclean '13 Dave Shaw '12
University of Miami University of Miami Alex Olt '12 Nikki Bruno '12
Hurricanes Alex Olt '12 Nikki Bruno '12
University of North Carolina University of North Carolina Zachary Mathews '12 Kirby Varnadoe-Russ '14
North Carolina Zachary Mathews '12 Kirby Varnadoe-Russ '14
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Oliver Evans '12 Shannon Lane '12
UNC Wilmington Oliver Evans '12 Shannon Lane '12
University of South Florida University of South Florida Sean Ross '12 Christine Sayler '11
Bulls Sean Ross '12 Christine Sayler '11
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Ervin Grove '11 [1-8] Christine Hurst '13 [1-6]
Lucas Kindervater '13 [7-8]
Volunteers Ervin Grove '11 [1-8] Christine Hurst '13 [1-6]
Lucas Kindervater '13 [7-8]

Conditions — 09/18/2010 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 68%  ·  Pressure 1018.4 hPa

Temperature

82°F
↑ 86°F   ↓ 74°F
Feels like 90°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.4 kn
avg  ·  max 4.6 kn
Gusts to 14.2 kn
From ENE (61°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover30% Sunshine10.6 hrs Humidity68% Pressure1018.4 hPa Rain0.02 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 6 kn · NE 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Charleston: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.07 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.03
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.04 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Charleston by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (69 labelled days at Charleston).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →