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SAISA South Points #2

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 15 34 49
2 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 1 24 29 53
3 Rollins College Rollins College Rollins 53 17 70
4 University of Florida University of Florida Gators 34 38 72
5 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 56 46 102
6 Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Florida Tech 35 68 103
7 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 2 72 60 132
8 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Jacksonville 81 76 157
9 Florida Gulf Coast University Florida Gulf Coast University Eagles 85 84 169
10 New College of Florida New College of Florida New College 96 102 198
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 1 1 3 1 1 2 2 2 1 1 15 Nicholas Voss '12
Chelsea Rivera '12
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 1 3 2 4 3 2 1 1 3 3 2 24 Bryan White '13
Alexandra Martinez '14
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 2 3 1 4 6 3 3 7 2 3 34 James Lehan '13
Katherine Finney '12
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Florida Tech 5 4 2 2 3 4 4 1 5 5 35 Adam Harris '12
Chloe Mallet '12
Rollins College Rollins College Rollins 4 7 5 6 5 6 7 5 4 4 53 Seth Pierce '11
Amy Uhl '13
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 7 5 6 5 4 7 6 4 6 6 56 Walker Banks '14
Meredith Weber '14
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 2 8 9 7 9 9 5 5 6 7 7 72 Christine Sayler '11
Amaya Devicente '11
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Jacksonville 6 6 9 7 8 9 10 9 9 8 81 Michael Todd '11
Lily Everson '12
Florida Gulf Coast University Florida Gulf Coast University Eagles OCS 8 10 8 7 8 8 8 8 9 85 Steven Johnston '11
Virginia Dean '14
New College of Florida New College of Florida New College 9 10 8 10 10 10 9 10 10 10 96 Elliot Evins '13
Maria Phillips '13
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Rollins College Rollins College Rollins 1 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 4 3 17 Tristan Jackson '11
Caroline Leed '14
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 1 5 2 3 5 4 3 3 2 1 1 29 William Felder '12
Kaitlin Kramer '13
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 3 1 5 6 3 5 2 3 2 4 34 Amy Gaylord '12
Liam Munzenmaier '13
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 4 4 2 3 2 2 7 4 5 5 38 Danny Levy '11
Ashley Arenson '11
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 2 7 4 2 7 4 8 7 3 2 46 Erik Brydges '14
Saige Liparulo '13
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 2 6 6 6 4 8 7 5 5 7 6 60 Kimberly Calnan '12
Tiffani Coleman '13
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Florida Tech 7 5 7 8 5 8 6 6 8 8 68 Zach Kowalski '12
Philip Gwinnell '12
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Jacksonville 8 8 8 7 9 6 9 8 6 7 76 Patrick Oglesby '11
John Quartucio '13
Florida Gulf Coast University Florida Gulf Coast University Eagles 9 9 9 10 6 9 4 10 9 9 84 Catherine Gorman '12
Claire Gorman '14
New College of Florida New College of Florida New College DNS DNS 10 9 10 10 10 9 DNS DNS 102 Lucas Ballestin '12
Michael Long '14
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (51 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons1122334455
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators221110109988
Florida Gulf Coast UniversityFlorida Gulf Coast University Eagles3344556677
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Florida Tech443322111010
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Jacksonville5566778899
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes101099887766
New College of FloridaNew College of Florida New College6655443322
Rollins CollegeRollins College Rollins778899101011
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls 18877665544
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls 2991010112233

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons11111212131314141515
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators12121111202019191818
Florida Gulf Coast UniversityFlorida Gulf Coast University Eagles13131414151516161717
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Florida Tech14141313121211112020
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Jacksonville15151616171718181919
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes20201919181817171616
New College of FloridaNew College of Florida New College16161515141413131212
Rollins CollegeRollins College Rollins17171818191920201111
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls 118181717161615151414
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls 219192020111112121313

Conditions — 09/18/2010 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 54%  ·  Pressure 1015.0 hPa

Temperature

86°F
↑ 91°F   ↓ 76°F
Feels like 89°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.2 kn
avg  ·  max 9.8 kn
Gusts to 19.6 kn
From ENE (75°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover52% Sunshine10.6 hrs Humidity54% Pressure1015.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 12 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at South Florida: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.13)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.11 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.24
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.27 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.13 means a rating gap counts about 11% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at South Florida by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (75 labelled days at South Florida).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →