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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 87 46 133
2 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles UC Los Angeles 1 85 53 138
3 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 49 110 159
4 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 1 90 78 168
5 University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 106 73 179
6 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 130 95 225
7 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 2 106 140 246
8 California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 101 154 255
9 University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 1 128 138 266
10 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles UC Los Angeles 2 160 116 276
11 University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 134 146 280
12 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego UC San Diego 165 134 299
13 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 153 150 303
14 California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 1 198 131 329
15 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 138 192 330
16 University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz UC Santa Cruz 163 194 357
17 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 153 218 371
18 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Berkeley 2 247 138 385
19 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Berkeley 1 195 211 406
20 Chapman University Chapman University Panthers 187 240 427
21 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 230 231 461
22 University of California at Davis University of California at Davis UC Davis 1 256 232 488
23 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 238 260 498
24 Santa Clara Santa Clara Santa Clara 253 MRP 253 MRP 506 MRP
25 California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 2 231 283 514
26 University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 2 251 276 527
27 University of California at Davis University of California at Davis UC Davis 2 280 258 538
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 3 8 1 2 7 5 3 2 3 8 5 49 Ryan Sullivan '12
Keely Scates '12
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles UC Los Angeles 1 9 6 6 3 10 BYE 8 6 10 13 3 4 85 Oscar Jasklowski '11
Carly Olenick '13
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 13 1 1 7 1 BYE 7 7 21 4 11 7 87 Zachary Hester '10 [1-8, 11-12]
Craig Schifferns '12 [9-10]
Laura Hughes '14 [1-8, 11-12]
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 1 1 2 5 OCS 13 4 1 1 6 6 4 19 90 Kevin Laube '14
Carolyn Ortel '14
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 7 20 2 4 4 1 6 4 4 22 21 6 101 Sean Kelly '12 [1-12]
Jessica Schember '12 [1-10]
Nevin Garcia '12 [11-12]
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 2 6 11 3 OCS 3 5 10 8 9 5 17 1 106 Molly Mckinney '14
Iris Clayter '13
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 10 7 24 5 7 3 BYE BYE 7 2 2 21 106 Jack Porter '11 [1-12]
Christopher Huang '12 [1-8]
William Larsen '13 [9-12]
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 1 3 9 9 13 9 13 3 11 12 9 12 25 128 Elliot Drake '12 [1-11]
Mat Laffitte '13 [12]
Jessica Prange '14 [1-11]
Taylor Walker '14 [12]
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 5 OCS 14 9 8 2 16 10 1 11 16 10 130 Stephen Lue '12 [1-12]
Alexander Kraebel '11 [1-8]
Emily Dahl '13 [9-12]
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 15 8 15 8 21 BYE 2 22 11 7 5 9 134 Scott Proctor '11
Hazel Mahony '11
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 22 12 11 6 16 14 9 2 5 15 18 8 138 Hannah Darrin '11
Katie Schmidt '11
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 8 4 12 12 5 8 17 19 15 14 15 24 153 Erika Vranizan '12
Ashley Vincent '12
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 16 5 7 11 17 6 12 20 22 19 6 12 153 Thomas Maher '12
Francesca Delle Cese '12
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles UC Los Angeles 2 23 17 16 2 6 9 OCS 13 19 8 1 18 160 Carmen Bozina '11
Amy Stuyvesant '13
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz UC Santa Cruz 4 19 4 10 26 12 OCS 5 8 16 9 22 163 Andrew Cowley '12
Anne-Marie Harrison '13
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego UC San Diego DNS 13 20 25 15 10 OCS 9 3 1 10 3 165 Eric Alamillo '13
Vincent Voong '12
Chapman University Chapman University Panthers 14 14 17 17 19 11 14 17 13 10 14 27 187 Max Moosmann '11
Colin Camisasca '11
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Berkeley 1 DNF 16 13 14 23 19 4 16 14 17 20 11 195 Travis Benton '14 [1-12]
Jacob Freimer '11 [1-10]
Ashley Borom '11 [11-12]
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 1 17 22 21 21 12 21 11 12 16 12 13 20 198 Bradley Schoch '11
Mark Hurdle '13
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 18 24 26 22 11 16 19 21 23 20 7 23 230 Peter Mcgrath '13
Sarah Hanavan '13
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 2 20 21 19 24 18 20 13 14 24 23 19 16 231 Ashley Eberhard '11
Natalie Cardoso '13
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 11 23 BYE 19 24 18 18 25 20 18 25 17 238 Aaron Scull '12
Maximilian Lutz '13
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Berkeley 2 DNF 15 25 20 27 17 20 18 26 25 24 2 247 Megan Hayes '13
Sorcha Evenhouse '14
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 2 12 25 23 18 14 23 21 24 25 26 27 13 251 Cara Kuhlman '11
Gina Ginsberg '14
Santa Clara Santa Clara Santa Clara DNF 10 10 16 20 24 23 27 17 21 23 14 253 MRP
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis UC Davis 1 19 18 22 23 22 22 24 23 18 24 26 15 256 Jonathan Wilkerson '11
Karisa Chapa '14
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis UC Davis 2 21 26 18 15 25 25 22 26 27 27 22 26 280 Brittany Hirsch '13
Madeline Perez '12
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 1 1 1 6 3 1 2 2 4 12 5 8 46 William Peterson '11
Tahnee Allman '12
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles UC Los Angeles 1 BYE 10 3 2 7 3 11 1 6 3 1 2 53 Judge Ryan '14
Erica Parker '14
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 3 12 8 5 2 2 8 5 11 1 6 10 73 Rex Cameron '12 [1-12]
Blair Johnston '11 [1-6, 9-12]
Austin Moore '13 [7-8]
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 1 BYE 2 9 3 12 10 3 3 2 7 9 16 78 Benjamin Pedrick '11 [1-12]
Alysha De Souza '12 [1-6]
Katie Riklin '13 [7-12]
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans OCS 8 2 1 1 9 6 7 3 5 14 11 95 Kelsey Rupp '12 [1-12]
Erik Samuels '13 [1-4, 7-8]
Natalie Rastello '11 [5-6, 9-12]
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 8 5 16 22 10 5 1 9 DSQ 2 3 1 110 Nicholas Kaschak '12 [1-4, 9-12]
Matt Foster '11 [5-8]
Christina Nagatani '11 [1-4, 9-12]
Caitlin Beavers '12 [5-8]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles UC Los Angeles 2 6 4 11 10 13 4 16 15 20 4 10 3 116 Charlotte Hughes '13
Anna Schoenbrunner '11
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 1 16 14 19 7 5 14 5 18 5 15 8 5 131 James Hardenbergh '??
Zachary Haney '11
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego UC San Diego 12 11 4 17 17 8 9 4 8 14 15 15 134 Matthew Nguyen '12
Brooke Sharp '11
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 1 5 7 6 19 16 13 13 19 15 10 11 4 138 Philip Gordon '12
Hannah Darrow '13
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Berkeley 2 13 6 14 9 23 12 7 10 13 6 13 12 138 Aubrey Toole '12
Sarah Adams '13
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 2 OCS 3 7 13 8 19 23 13 1 16 2 7 140 Tally Buckstaff '14
Mckenzie Wilson '14
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 14 17 10 25 11 15 10 11 BYE 8 7 6 146 Caleb Cunningham '12
Ellen Hayes '11
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 9 9 12 24 18 6 17 14 17 11 4 9 150 Erik Lund '14
Christine Gorney '11
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers OCS 15 5 4 6 17 4 6 16 21 12 20 154 Scott Doyle '14
Sara Himes '13
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 20 19 15 18 19 11 14 12 10 9 20 25 192 Alyce Flanagan '13
Su Lin '13
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz UC Santa Cruz 11 18 DSQ 8 9 18 12 17 7 19 25 22 194 Connor Bescos '11
Kimberley Cohan '14
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Berkeley 1 7 16 17 15 15 20 19 16 22 17 21 26 211 Lauren Amery '12
Michelle Hanson '13
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 15 25 13 12 21 24 26 25 12 13 19 13 218 Debbi Kenote '13
Kirsten Campbell '13
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 17 21 18 23 20 21 15 24 18 22 18 14 231 Matt Marquardt '11
Charles Hartman '13
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis UC Davis 1 22 22 21 11 22 23 21 21 14 20 17 18 232 William Van Trigt '11
Kay Larsh '12
Chapman University Chapman University Panthers 10 13 22 14 25 25 20 20 24 24 22 21 240 Alyssa Aoki '12
Taylor Forster '13
Santa Clara Santa Clara Santa Clara 21 24 24 21 4 7 18 8 25 27 27 27 253 MRP
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis UC Davis 2 19 23 23 16 14 22 27 23 21 23 24 23 258 Elizabeth Thome '11
Marnie Phillips '14
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 18 20 20 27 24 16 24 22 23 26 16 24 260 Molly Utter '14
Jake Antles '13
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 2 24 27 25 20 26 27 22 26 19 18 23 19 276 Christina Wilson '12
Katherine Emberley '13
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 2 23 26 26 26 27 26 25 27 9 25 26 17 283 Christina Stege '14
Chelsey Hale '13
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.280+0.28
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2010 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Berkeley 1232324242525272728282929
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Berkeley 2242425252727282829293131
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers1133449911111212
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang334499111112121414
Chapman UniversityChapman University Panthers414147474848737387878888
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows353537374141474748487373
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters 1111112121414191921212222
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters 2121214141919212122222323
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks 173738787888890901133
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks 29911111212141419192121
Santa ClaraSanta Clara Santa Clara191921212222232324242525
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans373741414747484873738787
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal 1212122222323242425252727
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal 2222223232424252527272828
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns141419192121222223232424
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis UC Davis 1474748487373878788889090
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis UC Davis 24848737387878888909011
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters252527272828292931313333
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles UC Los Angeles 1272728282929313133333535
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles UC Los Angeles 2282829293131333335353737
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego UC San Diego292933333333353537374141
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos313131313535373741414747
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz UC Santa Cruz333335353737414147474848
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 144991111121214141919
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 29090113344991111
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 1878788889090113344
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 28888909011334499

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Berkeley 1232324242525272728282929
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Berkeley 2242425252727282829293131
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers1133449911111212
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang334499111112121414
Chapman UniversityChapman University Panthers414147474848737387878888
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows353537374141474748487373
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters 1111112121414191921212222
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters 2121214141919212122222323
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks 173738787888890901133
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks 29911111212141419192121
Santa ClaraSanta Clara Santa Clara191921212222232324242525
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans373741414747484873738787
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal 1212122222323242425252727
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal 2222223232424252527272828
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns141419192121222223232424
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis UC Davis 1474748487373878788889090
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis UC Davis 24848737387878888909011
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters252527272828292931313333
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles UC Los Angeles 1272728282929313133333535
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles UC Los Angeles 2282829293131333335353737
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego UC San Diego292931313333353537374141
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos313133333535373741414747
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz UC Santa Cruz333335353737414147474848
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 144991111121214141919
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 29090113344991111
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 1878788889090113344
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 28888909011334499
School / Team SkipperCrew
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Thomas Maher '12 Francesca Delle Cese '12
Mustang Erik Lund '14 Christine Gorney '11
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Sean Kelly '12 [1-12] Jessica Schember '12 [1-10]
Nevin Garcia '12 [11-12]
Keelhaulers Scott Doyle '14 Sara Himes '13
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Bradley Schoch '11 Mark Hurdle '13
Otters 1 James Hardenbergh '?? Zachary Haney '11
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Ashley Eberhard '11 Natalie Cardoso '13
Otters 2 Christina Stege '14 Chelsey Hale '13
Chapman University Chapman University Max Moosmann '11 Colin Camisasca '11
Panthers Alyssa Aoki '12 Taylor Forster '13
Stanford University Stanford University Kevin Laube '14 Carolyn Ortel '14
Cardinal 1 Benjamin Pedrick '11 [1-12] Alysha De Souza '12 [1-6]
Katie Riklin '13 [7-12]
Stanford University Stanford University Molly Mckinney '14 Iris Clayter '13
Cardinal 2 Tally Buckstaff '14 Mckenzie Wilson '14
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Travis Benton '14 [1-12] Jacob Freimer '11 [1-10]
Ashley Borom '11 [11-12]
Berkeley 1 Lauren Amery '12 Michelle Hanson '13
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Megan Hayes '13 Sorcha Evenhouse '14
Berkeley 2 Aubrey Toole '12 Sarah Adams '13
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Jonathan Wilkerson '11 Karisa Chapa '14
UC Davis 1 William Van Trigt '11 Kay Larsh '12
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Brittany Hirsch '13 Madeline Perez '12
UC Davis 2 Elizabeth Thome '11 Marnie Phillips '14
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Jack Porter '11 [1-12] Christopher Huang '12 [1-8]
William Larsen '13 [9-12]
Anteaters Rex Cameron '12 [1-12] Blair Johnston '11 [1-6, 9-12]
Austin Moore '13 [7-8]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Oscar Jasklowski '11 Carly Olenick '13
UC Los Angeles 1 Judge Ryan '14 Erica Parker '14
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Carmen Bozina '11 Amy Stuyvesant '13
UC Los Angeles 2 Charlotte Hughes '13 Anna Schoenbrunner '11
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Eric Alamillo '13 Vincent Voong '12
UC San Diego Matthew Nguyen '12 Brooke Sharp '11
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Ryan Sullivan '12 Keely Scates '12
Gauchos Nicholas Kaschak '12 [1-4, 9-12]
Matt Foster '11 [5-8]		 Christina Nagatani '11 [1-4, 9-12]
Caitlin Beavers '12 [5-8]
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Andrew Cowley '12 Anne-Marie Harrison '13
UC Santa Cruz Connor Bescos '11 Kimberley Cohan '14
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Zachary Hester '10 [1-8, 11-12]
Craig Schifferns '12 [9-10]		 Laura Hughes '14 [1-8, 11-12]
Rainbows William Peterson '11 Tahnee Allman '12
University of Oregon University of Oregon Elliot Drake '12 [1-11]
Mat Laffitte '13 [12]		 Jessica Prange '14 [1-11]
Taylor Walker '14 [12]
Ducks 1 Philip Gordon '12 Hannah Darrow '13
University of Oregon University of Oregon Cara Kuhlman '11 Gina Ginsberg '14
Ducks 2 Christina Wilson '12 Katherine Emberley '13
University of Southern California University of Southern California Stephen Lue '12 [1-12] Alexander Kraebel '11 [1-8]
Emily Dahl '13 [9-12]
Trojans Kelsey Rupp '12 [1-12] Erik Samuels '13 [1-4, 7-8]
Natalie Rastello '11 [5-6, 9-12]
University of Texas University of Texas Scott Proctor '11 Hazel Mahony '11
Longhorns Caleb Cunningham '12 Ellen Hayes '11
University of Washington University of Washington Aaron Scull '12 Maximilian Lutz '13
Huskies 1 Molly Utter '14 Jake Antles '13
University of Washington University of Washington Hannah Darrin '11 Katie Schmidt '11
Huskies 2 Alyce Flanagan '13 Su Lin '13
Western Washington University Western Washington University Peter Mcgrath '13 Sarah Hanavan '13
Vikings 1 Matt Marquardt '11 Charles Hartman '13
Western Washington University Western Washington University Erika Vranizan '12 Ashley Vincent '12
Vikings 2 Debbi Kenote '13 Kirsten Campbell '13

Conditions — 10/16/2010 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 61%  ·  Pressure 1017.2 hPa

Temperature

62°F
↑ 68°F   ↓ 53°F
Feels like 58°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.3 kn
avg  ·  max 7.5 kn
Gusts to 17.3 kn
From WSW (250°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover97% Sunshine9.0 hrs Humidity61% Pressure1017.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 9 kn · SW 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Berkeley: an underdogs’ day (−0.07)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.02 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.05
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.21 ± 0.06)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Berkeley by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (24 labelled days at Berkeley).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →