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Donaghy Bowl

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 15 16 31
2 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 1 24 25 49
3 Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 17 38 55
4 Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats 40 32 72
5 Mariners Mariners Mariners 44 29 73
6 Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech 34 48 82
7 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 2 54 38 92
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 4 3 1 1 1 1 3 1 15 Renã©E Gagnã© '12
Ruth Summers '12
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 3 2 2 2 2 3 1 2 17 Brooke Baker '13
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 1 1 1 3 3 4 4 2 6 24 Thomas Presti '13
Eleanor Leonard '13
Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech 2 7 4 4 6 2 5 4 34 Matthew Connolly '12
Brennan Ashton '13
Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats 5 5 6 6 3 6 6 3 40 Steven Apperle '12 [1-2, 5-6]
Michael Hoffman '12 [3-4, 7-8]
Christopher Voorman '14 [1-2, 5-6]
Emily Greagori '13 [3-4, 7-8]
Mariners Mariners Mariners 6 6 5 5 5 5 7 5 44
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 2 DNS 4 DNS 7 DNF 7 4 DSQ 54 Marta Chlus '13
Kelley Connolly '13
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 1 2 DNF 1 1 1 1 16 Cameron Barclift '14
Mara Rettig '15
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 1 3 2 1 1 6 2 7 3 25 James Fales '13
Rachel Perry '13
Mariners Mariners Mariners 2 3 4 2 7 4 3 4 29
Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats 4 6 3 5 3 7 2 2 32 Kyle Ribinsky '15
Mary Herman '13
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 2 5 5 6 6 2 3 6 5 38 Thomas O'Neill '12
Katelyn Guerrera '12
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 6 4 5 3 4 5 4 7 38
Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech 7 DNF 7 4 5 6 5 6 48 Matthew Connolly '12
Brennan Ashton '13
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2011 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies 144111114142020
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies 220209919191818
Johnson and Wales UniversityJohnson and Wales University Wildcats99111114142020
MarinersMariners Mariners14142020991313
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos18184411111414
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals11111414202099
Worcester Polytechnic InstituteWorcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech13131818441111

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies 1991919181844
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies 244111114142020
Johnson and Wales UniversityJohnson and Wales University Wildcats11111414202099
MarinersMariners Mariners18184411111414
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos20209913131818
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals13131818441111
Worcester Polytechnic InstituteWorcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech14142020991313

Conditions — 09/18/2011 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 55%  ·  Pressure 1029.7 hPa

Temperature

63°F
↑ 66°F   ↓ 55°F
Feels like 58°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.7 kn
avg  ·  max 9.3 kn
Gusts to 22.4 kn
From ENE (61°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover36% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity55% Pressure1029.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at U. Connecticut: an underdogs’ day (−0.07)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.13 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.06
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.20 ± 0.23)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at U. Connecticut by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 7 labelled days at U. Connecticut, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →