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Mascoma Invitational (N. Series 2)

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 61
2 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 99
3 University of Vermont University of Vermont Cats 117
4 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 137
5 University of Vermont University of Vermont Green Cats 156
6 Bates College Bates College Bobcats 214
7 Williams College Williams College Ephs 235
8 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 258
9 Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 263
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts B 1 5 4 3 2 1 2 3 1 22 Nate Jermain '15
Lauren Jones '15
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green B 3 3 7 1 3 3 6 1 10 37 Colin Murphy '15
Victor Hollenberg '14
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts A 5 4 1 2 4 10 1 5 7 39 Colby Vavolotis '13
John Sudekum '15
University of Vermont University of Vermont Cats B 9 6 3 7 1 6 5 10 6 53 Francis Meisenbach '??
Eva Williford '14
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos A 8 8 2 6 7 8 4 7 4 54 Cameron Barclift '14
Mara Rettig '15
University of Vermont University of Vermont Green Cats B 4 11 8 4 6 2 7 8 8 58 Catherine Robinson '15
Ellie O'Brien '12
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green A 2 16 5 8 5 5 10 2 9 62 Warren (Trace) Smith '15
Alexa Krupp '15
University of Vermont University of Vermont Cats A 13 2 6 5 11 7 3 4 13 64 John Duncan '13
Nick Hanna '15
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos B DSQ 1 9 10 15 4 8 15 2 83 Kate Levinson '15
Emily Shaw '12
University of Vermont University of Vermont Green Cats A 11 10 10 9 8 12 15 12 11 98 Jeffrey Chace '15
Henry O'Brien '15
Bates College Bates College Bobcats A 14 9 14 14 12 16 14 6 5 104 Connor Bair-Cucchiaro '15
Samuel Wells '15
Bates College Bates College Bobcats B 7 18 12 11 13 9 9 14 17 110 Samuel Scribner '15
Jacob Barbato '15
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners A 10 15 11 16 17 17 13 9 3 111 Hollister Poole '15
Maureen Blanchard '15
Williams College Williams College Ephs A 12 7 13 12 16 11 12 13 15 111 Timothy Lorenzen '12
Rachael Burns '15
Williams College Williams College Ephs B 6 17 15 13 10 15 16 16 16 124 Brent Bomkamp '15
Elizabeth Dorr '12
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers B 16 12 18 15 14 14 11 11 14 125 Sarah Pollick '14
Elizabeth Briggs '15
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers A 17 14 16 17 9 13 17 18 12 133 Jack Kerby-Miller '14
Elizabeth Morris '14
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners B 15 13 17 18 18 18 18 17 18 152 Alison Mitchell '16
Molly Howe '15
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2010 (10 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats111111111
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green222222222
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners444444444
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers333333333
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos555555555
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts666666666
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Cats777777777
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Green Cats888888888
Williams CollegeWilliams College Ephs999999999

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats101010101010101010
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green111111111111111111
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners131313131313131313
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers121212121212121212
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos141414141414141414
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts151515151515151515
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Cats161616161616161616
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Green Cats171717171717171717
Williams CollegeWilliams College Ephs181818181818181818

Conditions — 09/24/2011 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 93%  ·  Pressure 1017.1 hPa

Temperature

71°F
↑ 72°F   ↓ 69°F
Feels like 75°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.6 kn
avg  ·  max 8.1 kn
Gusts to 18.7 kn
From SW (214°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine1.4 hrs Humidity93% Pressure1017.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 9 kn · NE 5 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Dartmouth: a typical day (+0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.07 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.07
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.48 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Dartmouth by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (34 labelled days at Dartmouth).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →