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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 8 21 29
2 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 19 18 37
3 University of Washington University of Washington Husky Women 43 21 64
4 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 4 39 39 78
5 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 7 47 56 103
6 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 58 49 107
7 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 5 63 51 114
8 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 50 67 117
9 Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 1 54 66 120
10 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 6 79 51 130
11 University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 94 50 144
12 University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Puget Sound 1 56 89 145
13 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 3 72 92 164
14 Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 2 147 30 177
15 University of Oregon University of Oregon Women's 98 83 181
16 University of Victoria University of Victoria Thunder 122 60 182
17 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 107 83 190
18 Pioneers Pioneers Pioneers 81 116 197
19 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 8 113 111 224
20 University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Puget Sound 2 127 107 234
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 8 Karl Haelsig '14
Samuel Fletcher '13
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 4 2 2 2 2 6 1 19 Christopher Fuller '12
Caylin Cordray '13
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 4 3 9 4 6 4 8 5 39 Patrick Taylor '12
Keegan Strandness '15
University of Washington University of Washington Husky Women 9 10 11 4 3 3 3 43 Lily Grimshaw '15
Molly Utter '14
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 7 5 6 9 5 7 11 4 47 Angela Gossom '13
Sophie Gryczan '13
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 6 12 5 8 8 5 6 50 Paul Foley '15
Maia Hanson '15
Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 1 11 5 8 7 5 2 16 54 Leila Whitney '13
Jennifer Russell '15
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Puget Sound 1 2 7 6 14 13 7 7 56 Mike Knape '12
Ellen Ytterberg '12
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 7 8 3 9 11 9 11 58 Alex Waldron '13 [1-7]
Jackson Dean '12 [1-2, 5-7]
Jessica Bennett '12 [3-4]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 5 8 4 7 13 18 4 9 63 Ian Reeves '12
Nicole Chavez '13
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 3 16 15 12 3 6 12 8 72 Mariah Vane '13
Sarah Redmond '15
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 6 12 14 10 11 9 10 13 79 Debbi Kenote '13
Abraham Dons-Borreguero '15
Pioneers Pioneers Pioneers 13 3 15 15 12 13 10 81
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 10 11 16 12 16 17 12 94 Ryan Fritsen '14
Danielle Dow '13
University of Oregon University of Oregon Women's 15 13 13 10 15 15 17 98 Caitlyn Bryson '11
Mickey Scott '14
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 14 16 14 17 14 18 14 107 Meghan Mcdonald '12 [1-7]
Chris Chaves '14 [1-2, 5-7]
Morwenna Probert-Baker '14 [3-4]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 8 17 17 17 16 17 14 15 113 Greyson Spencer '13
Rachael Mccrady '14
University of Victoria University of Victoria Thunder 18 18 19 19 10 19 19 122 Giselle Hood '12
Sarah Loeppky '14
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Puget Sound 2 19 19 18 18 19 16 18 127 Benjamin Greene '14 [1-2]
Kelsey Cohan '13 [3-7]
Jacqueline Mathes '12 [1-2, 5-7]
Benjamin Greene '14 [3-4]
Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 2 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 147 Johan Jorna '14
Stephanie Mendoza '13
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 2 2 8 4 1 1 18 Jake Antles '13
Alison Sienkiewicz '14
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 1 1 2 3 6 8 21 Zachary Forcade '13
Jordan Cutter '14
University of Washington University of Washington Husky Women 3 8 1 2 2 5 21 Alyce Flanagan '13
Ivy Gooch '12
Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 2 10 4 3 1 8 4 30 Johan Jorna '14
Stephanie Mendoza '13
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 4 4 10 5 5 5 10 39 Erika Vranizan '12
Shelby Copeland '14
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 13 3 4 6 9 14 49 Taylor Martin '16
Carly Temple-Wareham '15
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 7 11 7 12 4 9 50 Matt Marquardt '12
Dylan Carter '12
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 5 8 5 6 8 12 12 51 Casey Pruitt '13
Alexandra Michael '15
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 6 12 6 15 9 3 6 51 Ashley Vincent '12
Margaret Okrasinski '15
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 7 9 13 14 10 7 3 56 Ashley Krzeszowski '15
Sarah Hanavan '13
University of Victoria University of Victoria Thunder 11 9 12 15 11 2 60 Ted Alley '16
Julie Cunningham '14
Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 1 6 7 9 14 15 15 66 Aldyn Brudie '13
Brianne Busey '14
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 5 14 13 11 17 7 67 Christopher Shank '14
Kirsten Campbell '13
University of Oregon University of Oregon Women's 16 18 10 13 10 16 83 Laura Marshall '12
Jamie Wai '12
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 17 12 11 16 14 13 83 Nick Etscheid '15
Shelby Allman '13
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Puget Sound 1 15 15 16 7 18 18 89 David Eva '12 [1-4]
Kyle Kubler '13 [5-6]
Juhyun Shin '14 [1-4]
David Eva '12 [5-6]
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 3 14 16 19 19 13 11 92 Michael Mallory '15
Parker Steichen '14
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Puget Sound 2 20 19 17 18 16 17 107 Lindsay Maggard '14 [1-6]
Nichole Lindquist-Kleissler '15 [1-2, 5-6]
Kyle Kubler '13 [3-4]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 8 19 17 20 17 19 19 111 Alexander Martin '15
Kristina Stewart '14
Pioneers Pioneers Pioneers 18 20 18 20 20 20 116
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.150+0.15
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (17 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Portland State UniversityPortland State University Vikings 178787878787878
Portland State UniversityPortland State University Vikings 277777777777777
University of Puget SoundUniversity of Puget Sound Puget Sound 23333333
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 181818181818181
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 282828282828282
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 11000100010001000100010001000
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 35555555
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 58888888
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 65555555
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 841414141414141

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Portland State UniversityPortland State University Vikings 1787878787878
Portland State UniversityPortland State University Vikings 2777777777777
University of Puget SoundUniversity of Puget Sound Puget Sound 2333333
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 1818181818181
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 2828282828282
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 1100010001000100010001000
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 3555555
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 5888888
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 6555555
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 8414141414141
School / Team SkipperCrew
Portland State University Portland State University Leila Whitney '13 Jennifer Russell '15
Vikings 1 Aldyn Brudie '13 Brianne Busey '14
Portland State University Portland State University Johan Jorna '14 Stephanie Mendoza '13
Vikings 2 Johan Jorna '14 Stephanie Mendoza '13
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ryan Fritsen '14 Danielle Dow '13
Ducks Matt Marquardt '12 Dylan Carter '12
University of Oregon University of Oregon Caitlyn Bryson '11 Mickey Scott '14
Women's Laura Marshall '12 Jamie Wai '12
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Mike Knape '12 Ellen Ytterberg '12
Puget Sound 1 David Eva '12 [1-4]
Kyle Kubler '13 [5-6]		 Juhyun Shin '14 [1-4]
David Eva '12 [5-6]
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Benjamin Greene '14 [1-2]
Kelsey Cohan '13 [3-7]		 Jacqueline Mathes '12 [1-2, 5-7]
Benjamin Greene '14 [3-4]
Puget Sound 2 Lindsay Maggard '14 [1-6] Nichole Lindquist-Kleissler '15 [1-2, 5-6]
Kyle Kubler '13 [3-4]
University of Victoria University of Victoria Giselle Hood '12 Sarah Loeppky '14
Thunder Ted Alley '16 Julie Cunningham '14
University of Washington University of Washington Karl Haelsig '14 Samuel Fletcher '13
Huskies 1 Zachary Forcade '13 Jordan Cutter '14
University of Washington University of Washington Christopher Fuller '12 Caylin Cordray '13
Huskies 2 Jake Antles '13 Alison Sienkiewicz '14
University of Washington University of Washington Mariah Vane '13 Sarah Redmond '15
Huskies 3 Michael Mallory '15 Parker Steichen '14
University of Washington University of Washington Lily Grimshaw '15 Molly Utter '14
Husky Women Alyce Flanagan '13 Ivy Gooch '12
Western Washington University Western Washington University Paul Foley '15 Maia Hanson '15
Vikings 1 Christopher Shank '14 Kirsten Campbell '13
Western Washington University Western Washington University Alex Waldron '13 [1-7] Jackson Dean '12 [1-2, 5-7]
Jessica Bennett '12 [3-4]
Vikings 2 Taylor Martin '16 Carly Temple-Wareham '15
Western Washington University Western Washington University Meghan Mcdonald '12 [1-7] Chris Chaves '14 [1-2, 5-7]
Morwenna Probert-Baker '14 [3-4]
Vikings 3 Nick Etscheid '15 Shelby Allman '13
Western Washington University Western Washington University Patrick Taylor '12 Keegan Strandness '15
Vikings 4 Erika Vranizan '12 Shelby Copeland '14
Western Washington University Western Washington University Ian Reeves '12 Nicole Chavez '13
Vikings 5 Casey Pruitt '13 Alexandra Michael '15
Western Washington University Western Washington University Debbi Kenote '13 Abraham Dons-Borreguero '15
Vikings 6 Ashley Vincent '12 Margaret Okrasinski '15
Western Washington University Western Washington University Angela Gossom '13 Sophie Gryczan '13
Vikings 7 Ashley Krzeszowski '15 Sarah Hanavan '13
Western Washington University Western Washington University Greyson Spencer '13 Rachael Mccrady '14
Vikings 8 Alexander Martin '15 Kristina Stewart '14

Conditions — 10/01/2011 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 77%  ·  Pressure 1009.4 hPa

Temperature

53°F
↑ 56°F   ↓ 50°F
Feels like 47°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.3 kn
avg  ·  max 10.3 kn
Gusts to 23.9 kn
From WNW (297°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover89% Sunshine3.0 hrs Humidity77% Pressure1009.4 hPa Rain0.10 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 12 kn · NW 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Washington: an underdogs’ day (−0.06)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.10 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.04
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.25 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Washington by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (37 labelled days at Washington).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →