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Top 9 Regatta

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 139
2 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 156
3 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Big Blue 189
4 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 192
5 SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 238
6 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 243
7 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 317
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen B 2 5 3 3 4 2 5 4 4 4 8 2 7 2 55 Markus Edegran '16
Kristin Rovito '14
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs A 1 1 2 2 6 6 10 14 3 1 1 6 3 1 57 Scott Hoffmann '14
Julia Wiesner '14
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas B 8 3 4 9 2 5 3 2 7 12 5 9 1 8 78 Alex Post '15 [1-14]
Jack Hogan '22 [1-12]
Samuel Oldroyd '14 [13-14]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs B 4 2 5 4 7 3 8 5 8 10 2 3 8 13 82 Evan Hoffmann '14
Colin Voigt '15
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Big Blue B 13 6 11 1 3 1 4 8 6 7 3 11 9 7 90 Andrea Luna '15
Arianna Baker '12
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Big Blue A 7 4 1 8 10 7 11 13 2 8 12 4 6 6 99 Zach Runci '13
Shannon Wilkins '13
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen A 6 7 12 5 1 4 14 11 1 6 10 10 10 4 101 George Prieto '13
Elizabeth Morrison '14
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks A 3 8 OCS 10 14 9 1 6 11 3 11 5 4 10 110 Don Hause Iii '14
Ainsley Thomson '13
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas A 5 14 8 7 8 12 9 3 5 11 7 14 2 9 114 Tristan Berne '12
Margaret Totaro '13
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers A 11 12 6 6 9 14 2 1 10 14 14 7 5 5 116 Mike Carr '15
Thomas Sippel '14
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers B 9 9 7 DNF 13 8 7 10 14 2 6 8 11 3 122 Julia Paxton '14
Jamileh Soueidan '15
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks B 10 10 10 11 5 13 12 12 12 9 4 1 12 12 133 Thomas Galster '15
Marina Carlson '12
Fordham University Fordham University Rams B 12 11 13 12 11 11 6 9 9 13 9 12 14 14 156 Matthew Winter '14
Mary Hamilton '14
Fordham University Fordham University Rams A 14 13 9 DNF 12 10 13 7 13 5 13 13 13 11 161 Mia Cooper '14
Jennifer Irwin '15
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (49 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams11223344556677
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas221114141313121211111010
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen33445566778899
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers44332211141413131212
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Big Blue6655443322111414
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs556677889910101111
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks7788991010111112121313

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams88776655443322
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas991010111112121313141411
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen1010998877665544
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers1111121213131414112233
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Big Blue131314141122334455
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs12121111101099887766
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks141413131212111110109988

Conditions — 10/29/2011 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 91%  ·  Pressure 1009.6 hPa

Temperature

52°F
↑ 61°F   ↓ 44°F
Feels like 47°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.2 kn
avg  ·  max 16.2 kn
Gusts to 31.9 kn
From WNW (288°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine2.1 hrs Humidity91% Pressure1009.6 hPa Rain0.13 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 18 kn · N 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Old Dominion: a typical day (+0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.04 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.19 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Old Dominion by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (76 labelled days at Old Dominion).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →