Navigate

Women's Pacific Coast Championship

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 6 17 23
2 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 16 10 26
3 University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 24 19 43
4 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 20 26 46
5 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 30 26 56
6 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Berkeley 25 34 59
7 California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 25 40 65
8 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego UC San Diego 45 20 65
9 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 34 33 67
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2009 (35 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Berkeley22446
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows99224
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters33557
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans1010335
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal44668
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters55779
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins668810
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego UC San Diego8810103
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos77992

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Berkeley33557
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows1010335
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters44668
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans22446
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal55779
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters668810
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins77992
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego UC San Diego99224
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos8810103

Conditions — 10/22/2011 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 56%  ·  Pressure 1017.5 hPa

Temperature

74°F
↑ 82°F   ↓ 59°F
Feels like 74°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.4 kn
avg  ·  max 5.4 kn
Gusts to 14.2 kn
From N (357°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover10% Sunshine10.1 hrs Humidity56% Pressure1017.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 6 kn · N 5 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Stanford: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.13)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.21
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.06 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.13 means a rating gap counts about 12% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Stanford by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (48 labelled days at Stanford).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →