Colgate Fall Open

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Colgate University Colgate University Colgate 32 11 43
2 Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 26 21 47
3 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 20 32 52
4 Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 26 34 60
5 University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Bulls 31 38 69
6 Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 41 37 78
7 Hamilton College Hamilton College Hamilton 50 59 109
8 Skidmore College Skidmore College Skidmore 62 56 118
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 6 3 1 1 3 2 1 3 20 Gregory Reppucci '15
Juliet Levine '14
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 1 4 3 3 5 3 5 2 26 Andrew Murphy '14
Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 2 1 4 2 4 5 4 4 26 John Shanahan '16
Emma Stevenson '13
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Bulls 4 6 5 6 2 1 2 5 31 Luke Miller '15
Dante Iozzo '16
Colgate University Colgate University Colgate 3 2 6 5 6 6 3 1 32 Morgan Beals '13 [1-6]
Emily Bicks '16 [7-8]
Margaret Mcmullen '13 [1-4]
Lauren Radigan '13 [5-6]
Morgan Beals '13 [7-8]
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 5 5 2 4 7 4 8 6 41 Sarah Gross '15
Russell Morton '14
Hamilton College Hamilton College Hamilton 7 8 7 7 1 7 6 7 50 James Mcmanus '13
Skidmore College Skidmore College Skidmore 8 7 8 8 8 8 7 8 62 Zoe Bent '13 [1-8]
Jeremy Ritter-Wiseman '15 [1-4]
Matthew Sumner '15 [5-8]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Colgate University Colgate University Colgate 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 2 11 Caroline Libby '14 [1-2, 5-8]
Emily Bicks '16 [3-4]
Emily Bicks '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Caroline Libby '14 [3-4]
Mackenzie Hargrave '16 [7-8]
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 1 2 2 4 2 1 3 6 21 Nicholas Woviotis '15
Patrick Stege '14
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 5 6 4 2 3 3 6 3 32 Max Joh-Carnella '16
Dalton Brauer '16
Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 3 3 6 6 4 5 2 5 34 Charles Herlihy '14
Ashley Zenerovitz '13
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 8 5 3 3 7 6 4 1 37 Andrew Grasso '15
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Bulls 4 4 5 5 5 4 7 4 38 Andrew Green '14
Collin Mandris '13
Skidmore College Skidmore College Skidmore 7 7 7 7 8 7 5 8 56 Julie Jursik '15
Andrew Lowy '15
Hamilton College Hamilton College Hamilton 6 8 8 8 6 8 8 7 59 James Mcmanus '13

Conditions — 09/29/2012 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 81%  ·  Pressure 1015.0 hPa

Temperature

53°F
↑ 56°F   ↓ 51°F
Feels like 50°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.6 kn
avg  ·  max 6.0 kn
Gusts to 15.7 kn
From NNW (338°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover92% Sunshine2.4 hrs Humidity81% Pressure1015.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 8 kn · NW 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Colgate: an underdogs’ day (−0.02)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.13 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.11
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.27 ± 0.20)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Colgate by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Colgate: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →