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SAISA South Points #3

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 1 22
2 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 2 70
3 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 81
4 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 131
5 Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 141
6 New College of Florida New College of Florida New College 155
7 Rollins College Rollins College Tars 165
8 Florida Atlantic Florida Atlantic Florida Atlantic 207
9 University of Florida University of Florida Gators 225
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 1 A 1 2 1 2 1 1 2 10 Benjamin Mohney '15
Rebecca Campbell '16
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 1 B 2 1 2 1 3 2 1 12 Aj Degen '16
Darcy Jensen '16
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 2 A 3 3 4 4 4 3 4 25 Sydney Jones '13 [1-4, 6-7]
Megan Hostetter '19 [5]
Megan Hostetter '19 [1-4, 6-7]
Sydney Jones '13 [5]
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons A 7 5 13 3 2 4 5 39 Amy Baxter '13
Ann Williamson '15
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons B 5 6 5 8 7 5 6 42 Benjamin Chafee '16
Rachel Rice '16
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 2 B 11 7 3 5 6 6 7 45 Sara Simon '15
Ali Yarbrough '16
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes A 9 8 11 7 5 8 3 51 Lucas Hickling '15
Alice Schreiber '16
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles A 10 4 9 13 12 10 9 67 Joseph Geller '16
Frank Arthurs '13
Rollins College Rollins College Tars B 13 12 10 6 11 7 8 67 Benjamin Getchell '16
Alexis Ryan '16
New College of Florida New College of Florida New College B 6 14 8 9 8 13 10 68 Michael Long '14
Patrick Tonissen '15
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles B 8 11 6 10 14 12 13 74 Joseph Geller '16
Frank Arthurs '13
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes B 12 15 7 12 9 14 11 80 Bryce Scarfone '15 [1-6]
Matt Jaykus '14 [7]
Tucker Isgrig '13 [1-6]
Florida Atlantic Florida Atlantic Florida Atlantic A 14 10 12 15 10 11 14 86
New College of Florida New College of Florida New College A 4 9 15 11 16 16 16 87 Elliot Evins '13 [1-4, 7]
Richard Zay '14 [5-6]
Maria Phillips '13 [1-2, 5-7]
Richard Zay '14 [3-4]
Rollins College Rollins College Tars A 15 13 14 14 13 17 12 98 Chad Murray '15
Alexandria Mickler '16
University of Florida University of Florida Gators A 17 17 18 18 15 9 15 109 Daniel Schulman '14 [1-4]
Ryan Johnson '14 [5-7]
Megan Touton '15 [1-4]
University of Florida University of Florida Gators B 16 18 16 17 17 15 17 116 Angela Skane '16
Amy Rumbaugh '15
Florida Atlantic Florida Atlantic Florida Atlantic B 18 16 17 16 18 18 18 121
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (51 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons1122334
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles2233445
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators4455667
Florida AtlanticFlorida Atlantic Florida Atlantic3344556
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes5566778
New College of FloridaNew College of Florida New College6677889
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars77889910
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls 18899101011
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls 2991010111112

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons10101111121213
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles11111212131314
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators13131414151516
Florida AtlanticFlorida Atlantic Florida Atlantic12121313141415
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes14141515161617
New College of FloridaNew College of Florida New College15151616171718
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars1616171718181
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls 117171818112
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls 2181811223

Conditions — 09/22/2012 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 75%  ·  Pressure 1016.1 hPa

Temperature

80°F
↑ 83°F   ↓ 74°F
Feels like 88°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.3 kn
avg  ·  max 5.6 kn
Gusts to 11.5 kn
From NNW (337°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover64% Sunshine9.3 hrs Humidity75% Pressure1016.1 hPa Rain0.02 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at South Florida: a favourites’ day (+0.07)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.10 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.17
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.44 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at South Florida by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (75 labelled days at South Florida).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →