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SAISA North Points #3

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 5 6 11
2 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 8 6 14
3 Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 7 8 15
4 The Citadel The Citadel Citadel 18 12 30
5 University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 16 20 36
6 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 20 20 40
7 University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 20 26 46
8 Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 33 13 46
9 University of North Carolina University of North Carolina North Carolina 22 28 50
10 Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 28 31 59
11 Davidson College Davidson College Davidson 31 28 59
12 University of Georgia University of Georgia Georgia 26 39 65
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 1 2 2 5 Marten Kendrick '15
Frances Tsenn '17
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 2 4 1 7 Edwin Strong '15
Meredith Rutledge '16
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 4 1 3 8 Ellinor Walters '17
Cassidy Shevitz '14
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 7 3 6 16 Cole Barney '14
Mallory Blackwood '15
The Citadel The Citadel Citadel 8 6 4 18 Robert Marshall '15
Hammond Edwards '15
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 3 9 8 20 Benton Morton '14
Katherine Kristoffersen '15
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 5 5 10 20 Patrick Kopiwoda '15 [1-3]
Zachary Newton '15 [1-2]
Benjamin Murphy '15 [3]
University of North Carolina University of North Carolina North Carolina 6 11 5 22 Jack Largess '16
Elyse Schaefer '15
University of Georgia University of Georgia Georgia 12 7 7 26 Matthew Weber '15
Edward Wiegand '17
Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 9 10 9 28 Brent Deangelis '16 [1-3]
Rachael Wilks '16 [1-2]
Edward Martin '16 [3]
Davidson College Davidson College Davidson 11 8 12 31 Christopher Masone '17 [1-2]
Andrew Cannard '17 [3]
Jacob Brotzman '15 [1-2]
Robert Kopf '17 [3]
Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 10 12 11 33 Jackson Morton '14
Jennifer Yland '14
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 1 1 4 6 John Reddaway '15
Alex Richardson '15
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 3 2 1 6 Irene Abascal '17 [1-3]
Bayley Davidson '17 [1]
Charlotte Saxe '16 [2-3]
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 2 3 3 8 John Roberts '17
Mateo Gomez '17
The Citadel The Citadel Citadel 5 5 2 12 Jared Chrysostom '15
Austin Winkler '16
Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 4 4 5 13 Hans Lie-Nielsen '14
Jacob Dooris '17
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 6 7 7 20 Paul Guntner '16
Cole Barclay '16
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 8 6 6 20 Jeffrey Pyles '14
Cameron Paul '16
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 9 9 8 26 Carson Reddick '15 [1-3]
Jessica Ganley '16 [1-2]
Carson Reddick '15 [3]
Davidson College Davidson College Davidson 7 10 11 28 Ryan Welch '16
Peter Baay '17
University of North Carolina University of North Carolina North Carolina 10 8 10 28 Thomas Bruce '16
Molly Bruce '16
Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 11 11 9 31 Alexandra Dessert '16 [1-3]
Jonathan Ashworth '17 [1-2]
Kyle Solomon '17 [3]
University of Georgia University of Georgia Georgia DNS DNS DNS 39 Benjamin Burghaus '14
Hannah Dorsey '15
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2013 (25 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Tigers112
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars443
The CitadelThe Citadel Citadel221
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers334
Davidson CollegeDavidson College Davidson556
Duke UniversityDuke University Blue Devils665
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Georgia778
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets887
University of North CarolinaUniversity of North Carolina North Carolina10109
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack9910
University of TennesseeUniversity of Tennessee Volunteers121211
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks111112

Division B

Team1B2B3B
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Tigers112
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars443
The CitadelThe Citadel Citadel221
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers334
Davidson CollegeDavidson College Davidson556
Duke UniversityDuke University Blue Devils665
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Georgia778
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets887
University of North CarolinaUniversity of North Carolina North Carolina10109
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack9910
University of TennesseeUniversity of Tennessee Volunteers121211
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks111112
School / Team SkipperCrew
Auburn University Auburn University Brent Deangelis '16 [1-3] Rachael Wilks '16 [1-2]
Edward Martin '16 [3]
Tigers Alexandra Dessert '16 [1-3] Jonathan Ashworth '17 [1-2]
Kyle Solomon '17 [3]
Clemson University Clemson University Edwin Strong '15 Meredith Rutledge '16
Tigers John Roberts '17 Mateo Gomez '17
College of Charleston College of Charleston Ellinor Walters '17 Cassidy Shevitz '14
Cougars Irene Abascal '17 [1-3] Bayley Davidson '17 [1]
Charlotte Saxe '16 [2-3]
Davidson College Davidson College Christopher Masone '17 [1-2]
Andrew Cannard '17 [3]		 Jacob Brotzman '15 [1-2]
Robert Kopf '17 [3]
Davidson Ryan Welch '16 Peter Baay '17
Duke University Duke University Jackson Morton '14 Jennifer Yland '14
Blue Devils Hans Lie-Nielsen '14 Jacob Dooris '17
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Marten Kendrick '15 Frances Tsenn '17
Yellow Jackets John Reddaway '15 Alex Richardson '15
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Benton Morton '14 Katherine Kristoffersen '15
Wolfpack Paul Guntner '16 Cole Barclay '16
The Citadel The Citadel Robert Marshall '15 Hammond Edwards '15
Citadel Jared Chrysostom '15 Austin Winkler '16
University of Georgia University of Georgia Matthew Weber '15 Edward Wiegand '17
Georgia Benjamin Burghaus '14 Hannah Dorsey '15
University of North Carolina University of North Carolina Jack Largess '16 Elyse Schaefer '15
North Carolina Thomas Bruce '16 Molly Bruce '16
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Cole Barney '14 Mallory Blackwood '15
Seahawks Jeffrey Pyles '14 Cameron Paul '16
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Patrick Kopiwoda '15 [1-3] Zachary Newton '15 [1-2]
Benjamin Murphy '15 [3]
Volunteers Carson Reddick '15 [1-3] Jessica Ganley '16 [1-2]
Carson Reddick '15 [3]

Conditions — 09/28/2013 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 68%  ·  Pressure 1019.9 hPa

Temperature

71°F
↑ 75°F   ↓ 63°F
Feels like 69°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.2 kn
avg  ·  max 11.7 kn
Gusts to 21.8 kn
From NNE (31°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover87% Sunshine7.0 hrs Humidity68% Pressure1019.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 13 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Charleston: a typical day (−0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.12 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.10
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.26 ± 0.20)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Charleston by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (69 labelled days at Charleston).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →