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SAISA South 2nd Annual USF Women's

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 1 32
2 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 2 33
3 Florida Gulf Coast University Florida Gulf Coast University Eagles 51
4 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 52
5 New College of Florida New College of Florida New College 52
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 1 A 2 4 2 1 9 Charlie Bess '17
Ali Yarbrough '16
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 2 B 4 2 1 2 9 Rebecca Campbell '16
Kayla Burrows '17
Florida Gulf Coast University Florida Gulf Coast University Eagles A 3 3 4 3 13 Susannah Spoto '16
Jordan Banko '17
New College of Florida New College of Florida New College B 1 6 3 4 14 Sophia Schultz '17
Batya Levy '15
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons A 5 5 5 6 21 Jessica Resnick '16
Audrey Franchett '17
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 1 B 8 1 7 7 23 Kristen Walker '17
Morganne Morrison '15
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 2 A 6 7 6 5 24 Lauren Youngerman '16
Lizette Arnold '17
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons B 7 8 8 8 31 Heidi Carlson '16
Aliki Fornier '17
New College of Florida New College of Florida New College A 9 10 10 9 38 Margaret Swerdloff '17
Montara Erickson '17
Florida Gulf Coast University Florida Gulf Coast University Eagles B 10 9 9 10 38 Rebecca Creekmore '15
Tiffany Talks '17
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (51 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons1111
Florida Gulf Coast UniversityFlorida Gulf Coast University Eagles2222
New College of FloridaNew College of Florida New College3333
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls 14444
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls 25555

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons11111111
Florida Gulf Coast UniversityFlorida Gulf Coast University Eagles12121212
New College of FloridaNew College of Florida New College13131313
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls 114141414
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls 215151515

Conditions — 09/29/2013 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 65%  ·  Pressure 1014.4 hPa

Temperature

81°F
↑ 85°F   ↓ 72°F
Feels like 86°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.0 kn
avg  ·  max 5.8 kn
Gusts to 14.8 kn
From NE (50°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover16% Sunshine10.2 hrs Humidity65% Pressure1014.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at South Florida: a favourites’ day (+0.09)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.20 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.30
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.54 ± 0.32)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.09 means a rating gap counts about 8% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at South Florida by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (75 labelled days at South Florida).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →